UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick UMass Lowell
  
UMass Lowell          
W-L: ( 2- 4) PR = 89.3631

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 1- 6 206 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 0- 8 207 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 0-10 208 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 12- 2 220 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 3- 4 221 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 3- 1

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A UT Arlington            1- 6      -5    -3    -     -2.47
   206 A New Mexico State        0- 8      -8    -3    --    -4.70
   207 A Utah Valley             0-10     -10    -3    ---   -7.30
   208 A UTEP                   12- 2      10     0    +++   10.02
   220 A UTSA                    3- 4      -1    -2           0.73
   221 A UTSA                    3- 1       2    -2    +      3.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Utah Valley             0-10     -10    -3    ---   -7.30
   206 A New Mexico State        0- 8      -8    -3    --    -4.70
   206 A UT Arlington            1- 6      -5    -3    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A UTEP                   12- 2      10     0    +++   10.02
   221 A UTSA                    3- 1       2    -2    +      3.73

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     1- 6       -8.75      10.62       0.74         4.20           -16.82
   0 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     0- 8       -7.98      11.39       0.74         4.20           -15.21
   0 A Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     0-10       -8.58      10.79       0.74         4.20           -16.46
   0 A UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)    12- 2      -11.26       8.11       0.74         4.20            74.34
   0 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     3- 4       -9.55       9.82       0.74         4.20           -18.50
   0 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     3- 1       -9.55       9.82       0.74         4.20            88.75
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        96.10

winning pts = 163.0946 losing points = -66.9905

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------