McNeese 
W-L: (18-11) PR = 92.8134
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
205 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 3-13
206 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 5- 2
206 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 6- 2
207 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 13- 5
207 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 9- 1
212 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 12-11
212 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 3- 8
217 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 8- 6
218 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 5- 2
220 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 7- 3
220 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 5- 3
221 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 1- 9
221 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 1
224 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 3- 9
226 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 11- 4
228 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 5- 4
228 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 6- 2
301 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 0- 8
301 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 0- 8
303 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 14- 9
324 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2- 5
408 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1-11
421 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 4- 3
428 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 0-10
430 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 5- 0
502 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 6- 5
503 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 6
515 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0- 8
516 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Texas Tech 3-13 -10 -6 -- -4.32
206 H North Texas 5- 2 3 1 1.90
206 H UL Monroe 6- 2 4 1 + 3.08
207 H Tulsa 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.28
207 H UL Monroe 9- 1 8 1 +++ 7.08
212 A Ole Miss 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.23
212 H Ole Miss 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.26
217 A Southern Miss 8- 6 2 0 1.59
218 A South Alabama 5- 2 3 0 + 3.31
220 H Houston 7- 3 4 2 1.55
220 H Missouri 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.94
221 H Houston 1- 9 -8 2 --- -10.45
221 H Missouri 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.94
224 H LSU 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.53
226 H Iowa 11- 4 7 1 +++ 6.40
228 A Baylor 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.15
228 A Baylor 6- 2 4 -2 +++ 6.15
301 A Baylor 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.85
301 A Baylor 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.85
303 A Houston 14- 9 5 1 ++ 4.04
324 A Louisiana 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.85
408 A Texas A&M 1-11 -10 -5 -- -5.29
421 H Louisiana 4- 3 1 0 0.66
428 H Kansas 0-10 -10 -2 --- -8.36
430 A UTEP 5- 0 5 3 1.57
502 H Nicholls 6- 5 1 1 -0.19
503 H Nicholls 7- 6 1 1 -0.19
515 A Arizona State 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.62
516 H UConn 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
221 H Houston 1- 9 -8 2 --- -10.45
428 H Kansas 0-10 -10 -2 --- -8.36
516 H UConn 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.16
205 H Texas Tech 3-13 -10 -6 -- -4.32
301 A Baylor 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.85
301 A Baylor 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.85
408 A Texas A&M 1-11 -10 -5 -- -5.29
212 H Ole Miss 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.26
224 H LSU 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.53
515 A Arizona State 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.62
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Tulsa 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.28
207 H UL Monroe 9- 1 8 1 +++ 7.08
226 H Iowa 11- 4 7 1 +++ 6.40
228 A Baylor 6- 2 4 -2 +++ 6.15
212 A Ole Miss 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.23
303 A Houston 14- 9 5 1 ++ 4.04
206 H UL Monroe 6- 2 4 1 + 3.08
218 A South Alabama 5- 2 3 0 + 3.31
220 H Missouri 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.94
221 H Missouri 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.94
228 A Baylor 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.15
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 3-13 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.87 -0.61
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 5- 2 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.87 19.44
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 6- 2 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.87 19.76
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 13- 5 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.87 18.37
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 9- 1 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.87 19.76
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 12-11 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.87 26.96
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 3- 8 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.87 -2.32
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 8- 6 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.87 20.64
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 5- 2 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.87 21.89
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 7- 3 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.87 17.10
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 5- 3 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.87 22.99
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 1- 9 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.87 -4.14
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 4- 1 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.87 22.99
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 3- 9 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.87 -1.57
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 11- 4 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.87 20.31
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 5- 4 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.87 25.10
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 6- 2 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.87 25.10
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 0- 8 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.87 -2.14
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 0- 8 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.87 -2.14
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 14- 9 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.87 19.68
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 2- 5 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.87 -2.58
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 1-11 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.87 -1.03
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 4- 3 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.87 20.76
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 0-10 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.87 -2.37
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 5- 0 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.87 15.38
3 H Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 6- 5 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.87 19.29
3 H Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 6 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.87 19.29
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 0- 8 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.87 -1.18
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 1- 5 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.87 -4.02
------
350.70
|
winning pts = 374.8110 losing points = -24.1089
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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