UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick McNeese
  
McNeese               
W-L: (18-11) PR = 92.8134

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 3-13 206 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 5- 2 206 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 6- 2 207 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 13- 5 207 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 9- 1 212 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 12-11 212 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 3- 8 217 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 8- 6 218 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 5- 2 220 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 7- 3 220 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 5- 3 221 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 1- 9 221 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 1 224 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 3- 9 226 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 11- 4 228 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 5- 4 228 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 6- 2 301 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 0- 8 301 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 0- 8 303 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 14- 9 324 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2- 5 408 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1-11 421 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 4- 3 428 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 0-10 430 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 5- 0 502 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 6- 5 503 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 6 515 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0- 8 516 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 1- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 H Texas Tech              3-13     -10    -6    --    -4.32
   206 H North Texas             5- 2       3     1           1.90
   206 H UL Monroe               6- 2       4     1    +      3.08
   207 H Tulsa                  13- 5       8     2    +++    6.28
   207 H UL Monroe               9- 1       8     1    +++    7.08
   212 A Ole Miss               12-11       1    -3    ++     4.23
   212 H Ole Miss                3- 8      -5    -2    -     -3.26
   217 A Southern Miss           8- 6       2     0           1.59
   218 A South Alabama           5- 2       3     0    +      3.31
   220 H Houston                 7- 3       4     2           1.55
   220 H Missouri                5- 3       2    -1    +      2.94
   221 H Houston                 1- 9      -8     2    ---  -10.45
   221 H Missouri                4- 1       3    -1    +      3.94
   224 H LSU                     3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.53
   226 H Iowa                   11- 4       7     1    +++    6.40
   228 A Baylor                  5- 4       1    -2    +      3.15
   228 A Baylor                  6- 2       4    -2    +++    6.15
   301 A Baylor                  0- 8      -8    -2    --    -5.85
   301 A Baylor                  0- 8      -8    -2    --    -5.85
   303 A Houston                14- 9       5     1    ++     4.04
   324 A Louisiana               2- 5      -3    -1          -1.85
   408 A Texas A&M               1-11     -10    -5    --    -5.29
   421 H Louisiana               4- 3       1     0           0.66
   428 H Kansas                  0-10     -10    -2    ---   -8.36
   430 A UTEP                    5- 0       5     3           1.57
   502 H Nicholls                6- 5       1     1          -0.19
   503 H Nicholls                7- 6       1     1          -0.19
   515 A Arizona State           0- 8      -8    -4    -     -3.62
   516 H UConn                   1- 5      -4     2    ---   -6.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Houston                 1- 9      -8     2    ---  -10.45
   428 H Kansas                  0-10     -10    -2    ---   -8.36
   516 H UConn                   1- 5      -4     2    ---   -6.16
   205 H Texas Tech              3-13     -10    -6    --    -4.32
   301 A Baylor                  0- 8      -8    -2    --    -5.85
   301 A Baylor                  0- 8      -8    -2    --    -5.85
   408 A Texas A&M               1-11     -10    -5    --    -5.29
   212 H Ole Miss                3- 8      -5    -2    -     -3.26
   224 H LSU                     3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.53
   515 A Arizona State           0- 8      -8    -4    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Tulsa                  13- 5       8     2    +++    6.28
   207 H UL Monroe               9- 1       8     1    +++    7.08
   226 H Iowa                   11- 4       7     1    +++    6.40
   228 A Baylor                  6- 2       4    -2    +++    6.15
   212 A Ole Miss               12-11       1    -3    ++     4.23
   303 A Houston                14- 9       5     1    ++     4.04
   206 H UL Monroe               6- 2       4     1    +      3.08
   218 A South Alabama           5- 2       3     0    +      3.31
   220 H Missouri                5- 3       2    -1    +      2.94
   221 H Missouri                4- 1       3    -1    +      3.94
   228 A Baylor                  5- 4       1    -2    +      3.15

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Texas Tech      (60-11, 99.2)     3-13       -0.66      18.71      -0.74         0.87            -0.61
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     5- 2       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.87            19.44
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     6- 2       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.87            19.76
   3 H Tulsa           (20-31, 91.8)    13- 5       -8.06      11.31      -0.74         0.87            18.37
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     9- 1       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.87            19.76
   3 A Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)    12-11       -4.60      14.77       0.74         0.87            26.96
   3 H Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)     3- 8       -4.60      14.77      -0.74         0.87            -2.32
   3 A Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     8- 6       -8.24      11.13       0.74         0.87            20.64
   3 A South Alabama   (29-27, 92.4)     5- 2       -7.52      11.85       0.74         0.87            21.89
   3 H Houston         (20-30, 91.1)     7- 3       -8.79      10.58      -0.74         0.87            17.10
   3 H Missouri        (24-31, 94.5)     5- 3       -5.40      13.97      -0.74         0.87            22.99
   3 H Houston         (20-30, 91.1)     1- 9       -8.79      10.58      -0.74         0.87            -4.14
   3 H Missouri        (24-31, 94.5)     4- 1       -5.40      13.97      -0.74         0.87            22.99
   3 H LSU             (37-21, 97.0)     3- 9       -2.88      16.49      -0.74         0.87            -1.57
   3 H Iowa            (27-26, 93.0)    11- 4       -6.94      12.43      -0.74         0.87            20.31
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     5- 4       -5.67      13.70       0.74         0.87            25.10
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     6- 2       -5.67      13.70       0.74         0.87            25.10
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     0- 8       -5.67      13.70       0.74         0.87            -2.14
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     0- 8       -5.67      13.70       0.74         0.87            -2.14
   3 A Houston         (20-30, 91.1)    14- 9       -8.79      10.58       0.74         0.87            19.68
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     2- 5       -6.68      12.69       0.74         0.87            -2.58
   3 A Texas A&M       (38-19, 96.8)     1-11       -3.12      16.25       0.74         0.87            -1.03
   3 H Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     4- 3       -6.68      12.69      -0.74         0.87            20.76
   3 H Kansas          (34-24, 95.2)     0-10       -4.71      14.66      -0.74         0.87            -2.37
   3 A UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)     5- 0      -11.26       8.11       0.74         0.87            15.38
   3 H Nicholls        ( 8-10, 92.4)     6- 5       -7.53      11.84      -0.74         0.87            19.29
   3 H Nicholls        ( 8-10, 92.4)     7- 6       -7.53      11.84      -0.74         0.87            19.29
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     0- 8       -3.45      15.92       0.74         0.87            -1.18
   3 H UConn           ( 3-13, 91.4)     1- 5       -8.50      10.87      -0.74         0.87            -4.02
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       350.70

winning pts = 374.8110 losing points = -24.1089

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------