Mercer
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 86.0464Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 12- 9 213 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 2-10 214 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 2-13 214 H Army PAT ( 4- 9, 91.1) 5- 3 218 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 5- 3 220 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 0-13 221 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0-17 222 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1-16 306 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 2-11 306 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 0- 8 307 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 1- 5 325 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1-18 401 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 2-15 408 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Western Kentucky 12- 9 3 -7 +++ 9.80
213 H Iowa 2-10 -8 -6 -1.83
214 H Western Kentucky 2-13 -11 -7 -- -4.20
214 H Army 5- 3 2 -4 +++ 6.26
218 H Georgia Southern 5- 3 2 -4 ++ 5.86
220 H Ole Miss 0-13 -13 -9 -- -4.49
221 A Tennessee 0-17 -17 -12 - -2.39
222 A Ole Miss 1-16 -15 -10 -- -4.01
306 H Michigan State 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.20
306 A NC State 0- 8 -8 -7 -0.53
307 A NC State 1- 5 -4 -7 + 3.47
325 A Georgia 1-18 -17 -12 -1.61
401 A Georgia Tech 2-15 -13 -10 - -3.47
408 A Georgia Southern 1- 4 -3 -5 + 2.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Western Kentucky 2-13 -11 -7 -- -4.20 220 H Ole Miss 0-13 -13 -9 -- -4.49 222 A Ole Miss 1-16 -15 -10 -- -4.01 306 H Michigan State 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.20 221 A Tennessee 0-17 -17 -12 - -2.39 401 A Georgia Tech 2-15 -13 -10 - -3.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Western Kentucky 12- 9 3 -7 +++ 9.80 214 H Army 5- 3 2 -4 +++ 6.26 218 H Georgia Southern 5- 3 2 -4 ++ 5.86 307 A NC State 1- 5 -4 -7 + 3.47 408 A Georgia Southern 1- 4 -3 -5 + 2.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 12- 9 -6.31 13.06 -0.74 1.80 44.35
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 2-10 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 1.80 -6.92
3 H Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 2-13 -6.31 13.06 -0.74 1.80 -6.35
3 H Army ( 4- 9, 91.1) 5- 3 -8.85 10.52 -0.74 1.80 35.21
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 5- 3 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 1.80 33.75
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 0-13 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 1.80 -4.81
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0-17 -2.99 16.38 0.74 1.80 -2.02
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 1-16 -4.60 14.77 0.74 1.80 -3.47
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 2-11 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 1.80 -9.05
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 0- 8 -7.13 12.24 0.74 1.80 -5.75
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 1- 5 -7.13 12.24 0.74 1.80 -5.75
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 1-18 -2.21 17.16 0.74 1.80 -1.32
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 2-15 -5.06 14.31 0.74 1.80 -3.89
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 1- 4 -9.26 10.11 0.74 1.80 -7.66
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56.32
|
winning pts = 113.3035 losing points = -56.9877
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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