Mississippi State
W-L: (43-20) PR = 96.5274Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 10- 0 206 H Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 9- 3 206 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 5- 2 207 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 8- 1 210 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 5- 0 213 H Murray State MV ( 2- 7, 89.9) 9- 1 213 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 8- 0 214 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 7- 2 214 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 3- 1 215 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 10- 2 218 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 8- 4 220 H Belmont MV ( 5- 5, 93.3) 0- 1 220 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 6- 2 221 H Belmont MV ( 5- 5, 93.3) 4- 1 221 H Delaware State MEAC ( 0- 3, 82.2) 19- 1 225 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 8- 3 227 A Wofford SO ( 1- 5, 89.5) 9- 1 228 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 8- 0 228 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 0- 3 301 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 9- 1 301 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 9- 1 304 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 6- 1 306 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 1- 0 306 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 3- 1 307 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 4- 0 307 A Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 9- 1 308 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 4- 2 310 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 4- 0 310 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 9- 0 313 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 3 314 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 0 315 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 4 318 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 4- 0 320 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 3- 6 321 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 3- 2 322 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 4- 7 325 H UT Martin OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 7- 0 328 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 0- 2 329 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 0 330 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 4- 3 403 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 0- 2 404 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 9- 5 405 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 4- 5 410 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 1- 0 411 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 8 412 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 3-10 417 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 3 418 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 0- 4 419 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 9-10 424 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 5- 3 425 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 5- 2 426 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 3- 3 430 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 1- 1 501 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 2- 3 502 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 0- 3 505 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 4- 3 506 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 3 515 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 3- 2 516 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 4- 0 517 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 5- 0 522 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 11- 9 523 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1- 7 524 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 6- 0 528 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 8 529 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Baylor 10- 0 10 2 +++ 8.44
206 H Northwestern State 9- 3 6 7 -1.24
206 A Wichita State 5- 2 3 1 1.87
207 A New Mexico 8- 1 7 4 + 3.41
210 H Southern Miss 5- 0 5 6 -0.61
213 H Murray State 9- 1 8 7 0.67
213 H Rutgers 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.17
214 H Rutgers 7- 2 5 4 1.17
214 H North Texas 3- 1 2 5 - -2.81
215 H North Texas 10- 2 8 5 + 3.19
218 H Memphis 8- 4 4 8 - -3.81
220 H Samford 6- 2 4 7 - -2.89
221 H Belmont 4- 1 3 4 -0.97
221 H Delaware State 19- 1 18 15 0.00
225 A Georgia Tech 8- 3 5 1 ++ 4.05
227 A Wofford 9- 1 8 6 1.75
228 H Georgia Southern 8- 0 8 7 1.37
228 A Clemson 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.87
301 A Clemson 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.13
301 A Clemson 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.13
304 A UAB 6- 1 5 4 0.68
306 A South Alabama 3- 1 2 3 -1.40
307 H New Mexico 4- 0 4 5 -1.07
307 A Samford 9- 1 8 5 + 2.59
308 A South Alabama 4- 2 2 3 -1.40
310 H Southeast Missouri Sta 4- 0 4 9 -- -4.53
310 H Southeast Missouri Sta 9- 0 9 9 0.47
313 H Tennessee 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.35
315 H Tennessee 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.35
318 H UAB 4- 0 4 6 -1.80
320 A Georgia 3- 6 -3 -2 -1.09
321 A Georgia 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.91
322 A Georgia 4- 7 -3 -2 -1.09
325 H UT Martin 7- 0 7 10 - -2.87
328 A Iowa State 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.73
329 H South Carolina 2- 0 2 2 -0.30
330 H South Carolina 4- 3 1 2 -1.30
403 A Florida 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.09
404 A Florida 9- 5 4 -2 ++ 5.91
405 A Florida 4- 5 -1 -2 0.91
411 H Arkansas 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.60
412 H Arkansas 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.60
417 A Texas A&M 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.00
418 A Texas A&M 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.00
419 A Texas A&M 9-10 -1 -1 -0.00
424 H LSU 5- 3 2 0 1.75
425 H LSU 5- 2 3 0 + 2.75
426 A Ole Miss 3- 3 0 0 -0.49
430 H Missouri 1- 1 0 3 - -2.77
501 A Ole Miss 2- 3 -1 0 -1.49
502 A Ole Miss 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.49
505 H Kentucky 4- 3 1 4 - -2.54
506 A Arkansas 0- 3 -3 -4 0.88
515 H Saint Mary's 3- 2 1 5 - -3.67
516 A Oregon 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.72
517 H Saint Mary's 5- 0 5 5 0.33
522 A Oklahoma 11- 9 2 -4 +++ 6.11
523 H Oklahoma 1- 7 -6 -3 - -3.37
524 A Oklahoma 6- 0 6 -4 +++ 10.11
528 A Texas Tech 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.55
529 H Texas 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.31
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Clemson 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.87 310 H Southeast Missouri Sta 4- 0 4 9 -- -4.53 411 H Arkansas 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.60 412 H Arkansas 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.60 528 A Texas Tech 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.55 214 H North Texas 3- 1 2 5 - -2.81 218 H Memphis 8- 4 4 8 - -3.81 220 H Samford 6- 2 4 7 - -2.89 313 H Tennessee 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.35 315 H Tennessee 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.35 325 H UT Martin 7- 0 7 10 - -2.87 328 A Iowa State 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.73 418 A Texas A&M 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.00 430 H Missouri 1- 1 0 3 - -2.77 502 A Ole Miss 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.49 505 H Kentucky 4- 3 1 4 - -2.54 515 H Saint Mary's 3- 2 1 5 - -3.67 523 H Oklahoma 1- 7 -6 -3 - -3.37 529 H Texas 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A Baylor 10- 0 10 2 +++ 8.44 301 A Clemson 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.13 301 A Clemson 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.13 522 A Oklahoma 11- 9 2 -4 +++ 6.11 524 A Oklahoma 6- 0 6 -4 +++ 10.11 213 H Rutgers 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.17 225 A Georgia Tech 8- 3 5 1 ++ 4.05 404 A Florida 9- 5 4 -2 ++ 5.91 516 A Oregon 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.72 207 A New Mexico 8- 1 7 4 + 3.41 215 H North Texas 10- 2 8 5 + 3.19 307 A Samford 9- 1 8 5 + 2.59 321 A Georgia 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.91 425 H LSU 5- 2 3 0 + 2.75 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 10- 0 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.39 11.20
3 H Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 9- 3 -9.87 9.50 -0.74 0.39 6.79
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 5- 2 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.39 11.53
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 8- 1 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.39 9.62
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 5- 0 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.39 8.06
3 H Murray State ( 2- 7, 89.9) 9- 1 -9.96 9.41 -0.74 0.39 6.72
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 8- 0 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.39 9.44
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 7- 2 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.39 9.44
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 3- 1 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.39 8.67
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 10- 2 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.39 8.67
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 8- 4 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.39 6.35
3 H Belmont ( 5- 5, 93.3) 0- 1 -6.60 12.77 -0.74 0.39 -1.42
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 6- 2 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.39 7.06
3 H Belmont ( 5- 5, 93.3) 4- 1 -6.60 12.77 -0.74 0.39 9.33
3 H Delaware State ( 0- 3, 82.2) 19- 1 -17.69 1.68 -0.74 0.39 0.73
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 8- 3 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.39 11.67
3 A Wofford ( 1- 5, 89.5) 9- 1 -10.37 9.00 0.74 0.39 7.56
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 8- 0 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 0.39 7.27
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 0- 3 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.39 -1.02
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 9- 1 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.39 10.96
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 9- 1 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.39 10.96
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 6- 1 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.39 9.06
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 1- 0 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.39 8.47
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 3- 1 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.39 9.77
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 4- 0 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.39 8.47
3 A Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 9- 1 -9.52 9.85 0.74 0.39 8.21
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 4- 2 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.39 9.77
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 4- 0 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.39 5.79
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 9- 0 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.39 5.79
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 3 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.39 -0.72
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 0 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.39 12.13
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 4 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.39 -0.72
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 4- 0 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.39 7.91
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 3- 6 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 -0.28
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 13.89
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 4- 7 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 -0.28
3 H UT Martin ( 0- 8, 87.4) 7- 0 -12.50 6.87 -0.74 0.39 4.75
3 A Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 0- 2 -5.85 13.52 0.74 0.39 -0.99
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2- 0 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.39 10.62
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 4- 3 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.39 10.62
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 0- 2 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 -0.28
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 9- 5 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 13.88
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 4- 5 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 -0.28
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 1- 0 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.39 14.27
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0- 8 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.39 -0.19
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 3-10 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.39 -0.19
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 1- 3 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.39 -0.46
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 0- 4 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.39 -0.46
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 9-10 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.39 -0.46
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 5- 3 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.39 12.21
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.39 12.21
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 3- 3 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.39 0.00
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 1- 1 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.39 0.00
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 2- 3 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.39 -0.75
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 0- 3 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.39 -0.75
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 4- 3 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.39 9.66
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0- 3 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.39 -0.10
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 3- 2 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.39 8.78
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 4- 0 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.39 12.96
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 5- 0 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.39 8.78
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 11- 9 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.39 15.60
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1- 7 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.39 -0.14
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 6- 0 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.39 15.60
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 8 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.39 -0.02
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0- 4 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.39 -0.33
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401.38
|
winning pts = 411.2321 losing points = -9.8515
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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