Murray State
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 89.9410Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 5 213 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 1- 9 214 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 5- 8 214 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 6- 1 218 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 2- 4 227 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 6- 5 228 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 4- 7 301 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 0- 8 301 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 0- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H North Texas 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.23
213 A Mississippi State 1- 9 -8 -7 -0.67
214 A Rutgers 5- 8 -3 -4 1.24
214 A North Texas 6- 1 5 -3 +++ 8.26
218 H Kentucky 2- 4 -2 -3 1.05
227 H Michigan State 6- 5 1 0 0.90
228 A Michigan State 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.61
301 A Kentucky 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.47
301 A Kentucky 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H North Texas 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.23 301 A Kentucky 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.47 301 A Kentucky 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A North Texas 6- 1 5 -3 +++ 8.26 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 1- 5 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 2.80 -11.46
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 1- 9 -3.37 16.00 0.74 2.80 -3.68
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 5- 8 -6.46 12.91 0.74 2.80 -8.00
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 6- 1 -7.44 11.93 0.74 2.80 70.96
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 2- 4 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 2.80 -9.68
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 6- 5 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 2.80 52.17
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 4- 7 -9.31 10.06 0.74 2.80 -12.00
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 0- 8 -6.17 13.20 0.74 2.80 -7.60
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 0- 8 -6.17 13.20 0.74 2.80 -7.60
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63.09
|
winning pts = 123.1226 losing points = -60.0340
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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