North Alabama
W-L: ( 2- 5) PR = 90.3709Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 5- 1 207 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 2-10 208 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 4- 2 222 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 5 310 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 2- 4 325 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0-12 414 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 3- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Middle Tennessee 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.62
207 A Troy 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.87
208 H Middle Tennessee 4- 2 2 1 1.14
222 A South Alabama 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.25
310 H Ole Miss 2- 4 -2 -4 + 2.19
325 A Alabama 0-12 -12 -10 - -2.49
414 A Ole Miss 3- 7 -4 -6 1.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Troy 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.87 222 A South Alabama 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.25 325 A Alabama 0-12 -12 -10 - -2.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Middle Tennessee 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.62 310 H Ole Miss 2- 4 -2 -4 + 2.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 5- 1 -9.65 9.72 0.74 3.60 75.33
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 2-10 -7.14 12.23 0.74 3.60 -11.52
3 H Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 4- 2 -9.65 9.72 -0.74 3.60 64.64
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 0- 5 -7.52 11.85 0.74 3.60 -12.20
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 2- 4 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 3.60 -9.62
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0-12 -0.76 18.61 0.74 3.60 -0.04
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 3- 7 -4.60 14.77 0.74 3.60 -6.95
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99.64
|
winning pts = 139.9678 losing points = -40.3277
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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