UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick UNC Greensboro
  
UNC Greensboro        
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 91.1498

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 0- 6 206 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 5- 7 207 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4- 2 208 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 0- 2 212 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 6- 7 214 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 6- 3 228 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 0-11 301 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1-10 301 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1-10 314 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 8- 0 318 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 8- 1 408 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 7- 6 510 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 4- 0 515 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 1- 0 516 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 0- 8 516 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 1- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Western Kentucky        0- 6      -6    -2    --    -4.30
   206 A Georgia Southern        5- 7      -2     0          -1.76
   207 A Western Kentucky        4- 2       2    -3    ++     5.18
   208 A Georgia Southern        0- 2      -2     0          -1.76
   212 H App State               6- 7      -1    -1          -0.23
   214 H App State               6- 3       3    -1    +      3.77
   228 H Indiana                 0-11     -11    -4    ---   -6.66
   301 H Indiana                 1-10      -9    -4    --    -4.66
   301 H Indiana                 1-10      -9    -4    --    -4.66
   314 H Tarleton State          8- 0       8     0    +++    7.58
   318 H Southern Miss           8- 1       7     0    +++    6.77
   408 H Charlotte               7- 6       1     0           1.41
   510 H Samford                 4- 0       4     2    +      2.49
   516 H Georgia                 0- 8      -8    -6    -     -2.20
   516 H Clemson                 1- 4      -3    -2          -0.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Indiana                 0-11     -11    -4    ---   -6.66
   206 H Western Kentucky        0- 6      -6    -2    --    -4.30
   301 H Indiana                 1-10      -9    -4    --    -4.66
   301 H Indiana                 1-10      -9    -4    --    -4.66
   516 H Georgia                 0- 8      -8    -6    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Tarleton State          8- 0       8     0    +++    7.58
   318 H Southern Miss           8- 1       7     0    +++    6.77
   207 A Western Kentucky        4- 2       2    -3    ++     5.18
   214 H App State               6- 3       3    -1    +      3.77
   510 H Samford                 4- 0       4     2    +      2.49

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     0- 6       -6.31      13.06      -0.74         1.58            -5.56
   3 A Georgia Southe  (19-31, 90.6)     5- 7       -9.26      10.11       0.74         1.58            -6.71
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     4- 2       -6.31      13.06       0.74         1.58            43.48
   3 A Georgia Southe  (19-31, 90.6)     0- 2       -9.26      10.11       0.74         1.58            -6.71
   3 H App State       (29-22, 92.7)     6- 7       -7.23      12.14      -0.74         1.58            -6.28
   3 H App State       (29-22, 92.7)     6- 3       -7.23      12.14      -0.74         1.58            35.90
   3 H Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     0-11       -3.67      15.70      -0.74         1.58            -3.47
   3 H Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     1-10       -3.67      15.70      -0.74         1.58            -3.47
   3 H Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     1-10       -3.67      15.70      -0.74         1.58            -3.47
   3 H Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     8- 0       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         1.58            32.14
   3 H Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     8- 1       -8.24      11.13      -0.74         1.58            32.74
   3 H Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     7- 6       -7.60      11.77      -0.74         1.58            34.75
   3 H Samford         ( 3-18, 90.4)     4- 0       -9.52       9.85      -0.74         1.58            28.70
   3 A Clemson         (33-24, 93.9)     1- 0       -5.99      13.38       0.74         1.58            44.51
   3 H Georgia         (44-17, 97.7)     0- 8       -2.21      17.16      -0.74         1.58            -2.32
   3 H Clemson         (33-24, 93.9)     1- 4       -5.99      13.38      -0.74         1.58            -5.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       208.91

winning pts = 252.1992 losing points = -43.2853

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------