UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Northern Color
  
Northern Colorado     
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 91.1725

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 1-10 213 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0-12 214 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 3- 8 220 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 3- 4 222 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 6- 4 228 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 1- 5 301 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 4- 5 301 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 4- 5 420 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 1- 6 505 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 12- 3

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A UCLA                    1-10      -9    -9           0.12
   213 A Grand Canyon            0-12     -12    -5    ---   -6.76
   214 A Grand Canyon            3- 8      -5    -5           0.24
   220 A UTSA                    3- 4      -1     0          -1.08
   222 A UTSA                    6- 4       2     0           1.92
   228 A Colorado State          1- 5      -4    -1    -     -3.00
   301 A Colorado State          4- 5      -1    -1          -0.00
   301 A Colorado State          4- 5      -1    -1          -0.00
   420 A Texas                   1- 6      -5    -9    +      3.53
   505 H Weber State            12- 3       9     4    ++     5.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Grand Canyon            0-12     -12    -5    ---   -6.76
   228 A Colorado State          1- 5      -4    -1    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Weber State            12- 3       9     4    ++     5.04
   420 A Texas                   1- 6      -5    -9    +      3.53

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A UCLA            (52-11, 99.5)     1-10       -0.35      19.02       0.74         2.52            -0.49
   3 A Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     0-12       -4.23      15.14       0.74         2.52            -4.39
   3 A Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     3- 8       -4.23      15.14       0.74         2.52            -4.39
   3 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     3- 4       -9.55       9.82       0.74         2.52           -11.10
   3 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     6- 4       -9.55       9.82       0.74         2.52            53.25
   3 A Colorado State  (25-27, 91.4)     1- 5       -8.47      10.90       0.74         2.52            -9.74
   3 A Colorado State  (25-27, 91.4)     4- 5       -8.47      10.90       0.74         2.52            -9.74
   3 A Colorado State  (25-27, 91.4)     4- 5       -8.47      10.90       0.74         2.52            -9.74
   3 A Texas           (52-13, 99.0)     1- 6       -0.94      18.43       0.74         2.52            -0.25
   3 H Weber State     ( 2-23, 88.0)    12- 3      -11.95       7.42      -0.74         2.52            33.68
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        37.08

winning pts = 86.9332 losing points = -49.8512

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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