UNC Wilmington
W-L: ( 2-11) PR = 89.8818Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 3- 4 207 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 2- 4 208 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 9-15 218 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 1- 6 228 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 228 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 3 301 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 4- 6 301 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 301 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 4- 6 301 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 303 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 8- 0 317 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 0-17 331 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 6- 0
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H App State 3- 4 -1 -2 1.04
207 H Kennesaw State 2- 4 -2 3 -- -4.63
208 H App State 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.96
218 A East Carolina 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.86
228 A Georgia 1- 9 -8 -9 0.55
228 A South Alabama 0- 3 -3 -3 0.24
301 H South Alabama 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.24
301 A Georgia 1- 9 -8 -9 0.55
301 H South Alabama 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.24
301 A Georgia 1- 9 -8 -9 0.55
303 H Coastal Carolina 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 8.86
317 A Duke 0-17 -17 -7 --- -6.53
331 H East Carolina 6- 0 6 -1 +++ 6.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Duke 0-17 -17 -7 --- -6.53 207 H Kennesaw State 2- 4 -2 3 -- -4.63 208 H App State 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.96 218 A East Carolina 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Coastal Carolina 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 8.86 331 H East Carolina 6- 0 6 -1 +++ 6.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 3- 4 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 1.94 -7.73
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 2- 4 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 1.94 -12.26
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 9-15 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 1.94 -7.73
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 1- 6 -8.62 10.75 0.74 1.94 -7.64
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 -2.21 17.16 0.74 1.94 -1.42
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 0- 3 -7.52 11.85 0.74 1.94 -6.57
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 4- 6 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 1.94 -8.01
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 -2.21 17.16 0.74 1.94 -1.42
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 4- 6 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 1.94 -8.01
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 -2.21 17.16 0.74 1.94 -1.42
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 8- 0 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 1.94 39.59
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 0-17 -3.29 16.08 0.74 1.94 -2.47
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 6- 0 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 1.94 38.81
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13.72
|
winning pts = 78.3984 losing points = -64.6743
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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