UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick North Dakota S
  
North Dakota State    
W-L: ( 4- 7) PR = 92.1771

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 5- 4 221 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 5- 6 306 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 2- 7 307 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 10- 2 307 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 14- 7 308 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 5- 9 313 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 1- 2 313 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 5- 0 314 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 1- 2 327 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 1- 2 328 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 0- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Minnesota               5- 4       1     0           0.77
   221 A Iowa State              5- 6      -1    -3           1.62
   306 A UNLV                    2- 7      -5     0    --    -4.93
   307 H Utah Tech              10- 2       8     4    ++     4.27
   307 A UNLV                   14- 7       7     0    +++    7.07
   308 A Utah Tech               5- 9      -4     2    ---   -6.24
   313 A California Baptist      1- 2      -1    -2           0.78
   313 A California Baptist      5- 0       5    -2    +++    6.78
   314 A California Baptist      1- 2      -1    -2           0.78
   327 H Troy                    1- 2      -1     0          -1.16
   328 H New Mexico              0- 9      -9     1    ---   -9.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Utah Tech               5- 9      -4     2    ---   -6.24
   328 H New Mexico              0- 9      -9     1    ---   -9.72
   306 A UNLV                    2- 7      -5     0    --    -4.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A UNLV                   14- 7       7     0    +++    7.07
   313 A California Baptist      5- 0       5    -2    +++    6.78
   307 H Utah Tech              10- 2       8     4    ++     4.27

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     5- 4       -8.70      10.67       0.74         2.29            52.31
   3 A Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)     5- 6       -5.85      13.52       0.74         2.29            -5.85
   3 A UNLV            (29-21, 91.5)     2- 7       -8.39      10.98       0.74         2.29            -8.76
   3 H Utah Tech       (20-31, 89.2)    10- 2      -10.71       8.66      -0.74         2.29            36.30
   3 A UNLV            (29-21, 91.5)    14- 7       -8.39      10.98       0.74         2.29            53.71
   3 A Utah Tech       (20-31, 89.2)     5- 9      -10.71       8.66       0.74         2.29           -11.42
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     1- 2       -6.69      12.68       0.74         2.29            -6.81
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     5- 0       -6.69      12.68       0.74         2.29            61.51
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     1- 2       -6.69      12.68       0.74         2.29            -6.81
   3 H Troy            (31-20, 92.8)     1- 2       -7.14      12.23      -0.74         2.29            -9.03
   3 H New Mexico      (26-27, 92.2)     0- 9       -7.70      11.67      -0.74         2.29            -9.68
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       145.45

winning pts = 203.8167 losing points = -58.3691

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------