Nevada
W-L: (37-19) PR = 95.4464Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 2- 6 206 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 9- 0 207 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 207 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 1- 0 208 A Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 8- 0 213 H Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 6- 1 213 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 6- 7 214 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 3- 6 214 A Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 5- 0 215 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 4- 2 217 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 7- 9 219 A Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 2- 4 220 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 8- 3 220 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 5- 6 221 H UC Riverside BW ( 2-11, 89.5) 10- 2 227 H Sacred Heart MAAC ( 1- 1, 92.7) 5- 1 227 A UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 12- 4 228 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 6- 3 228 A UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 4- 0 301 A Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 10- 6 301 A Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 10- 6 306 A Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 7- 5 306 H Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 7- 9 307 H Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 10- 2 307 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 8- 5 308 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 3- 7 313 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 2- 6 314 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 8- 0 315 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 9- 4 317 A Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 5- 1 320 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 13- 6 321 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 6- 7 322 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 10- 6 323 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 10- 2 327 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 10- 1 328 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 2- 9 329 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 9- 3 402 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 3- 4 403 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 4- 3 404 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 4- 3 408 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 7- 4 408 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 13- 2 411 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 8-12 411 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 12- 7 414 H Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 6- 1 418 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 2- 0 418 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 23- 7 419 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 11- 3 424 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 9- 8 425 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 7- 4 426 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 4- 4 430 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 3- 4 501 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 2- 4 502 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 4- 7 508 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 14-10 509 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0- 3 509 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A LSU 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.68
206 H Illinois 9- 0 9 6 + 2.81
207 A LSU 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.68
208 A Lamar 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.93
213 H Portland State 6- 1 5 8 - -2.74
213 A Arizona State 6- 7 -1 -2 0.75
214 H Indiana 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.95
214 A Pacific 5- 0 5 5 0.03
215 A Indiana 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.53
217 A Arizona 7- 9 -2 -2 0.37
219 A Oregon State 2- 4 -2 4 --- -6.10
220 H California 8- 3 5 5 0.14
220 A UCLA 5- 6 -1 -5 + 3.84
221 H UC Riverside 10- 2 8 7 1.27
227 H Sacred Heart 5- 1 4 4 0.49
227 A UC Davis 12- 4 8 3 ++ 4.75
228 A Santa Clara 6- 3 3 4 -1.39
228 A UC Davis 4- 0 4 3 0.75
301 A Sacramento State 10- 6 4 4 0.11
301 A Sacramento State 10- 6 4 4 0.11
306 A Oregon State 7- 5 2 4 - -2.10
306 H Sacramento State 7- 9 -2 5 --- -7.37
307 H Oregon State 10- 2 8 6 + 2.42
307 A Oregon 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.80
308 A Oregon 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.20
313 H Boise State 2- 6 -4 4 --- -7.76
314 H Boise State 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.24
315 H Boise State 9- 4 5 4 1.24
317 A Pacific 5- 1 4 5 -0.97
320 A Utah State 13- 6 7 5 1.70
321 A Utah State 6- 7 -1 5 --- -6.30
322 A Utah State 10- 6 4 5 -1.30
323 A Utah Valley 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.62
327 A UCLA 10- 1 9 -5 +++ 13.84
328 A Oklahoma State 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -4.60
329 H San José State 9- 3 6 6 -0.28
402 A Grand Canyon 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.03
403 A Grand Canyon 4- 3 1 -1 1.97
404 A Grand Canyon 4- 3 1 -1 1.97
408 A San Diego State 7- 4 3 2 0.55
408 A San Diego State 13- 2 11 2 +++ 8.55
411 H New Mexico 8-12 -4 4 --- -7.99
411 H New Mexico 12- 7 5 4 1.01
414 H Pacific 6- 1 5 6 -1.46
418 A Colorado State 2- 0 2 3 -1.28
418 A Colorado State 23- 7 16 3 +++ 10.72
419 A Colorado State 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.72
424 H Fresno State 9- 8 1 5 - -3.59
425 H Fresno State 7- 4 3 5 -1.59
426 A Houston 4- 4 0 4 - -3.59
430 H BYU 3- 4 -1 5 -- -5.77
501 A UNLV 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.20
502 A UNLV 4- 7 -3 3 --- -6.20
508 A Grand Canyon 14-10 4 -1 ++ 4.97
509 A Grand Canyon 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.03
509 A Grand Canyon 10-11 -1 -1 -0.03
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A Oregon State 2- 4 -2 4 --- -6.10 306 H Sacramento State 7- 9 -2 5 --- -7.37 313 H Boise State 2- 6 -4 4 --- -7.76 321 A Utah State 6- 7 -1 5 --- -6.30 411 H New Mexico 8-12 -4 4 --- -7.99 502 A UNLV 4- 7 -3 3 --- -6.20 207 A LSU 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.68 328 A Oklahoma State 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -4.60 430 H BYU 3- 4 -1 5 -- -5.77 501 A UNLV 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.20 213 H Portland State 6- 1 5 8 - -2.74 214 H Indiana 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.95 306 A Oregon State 7- 5 2 4 - -2.10 308 A Oregon 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.20 424 H Fresno State 9- 8 1 5 - -3.59 426 A Houston 4- 4 0 4 - -3.59 509 A Grand Canyon 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A UCLA 10- 1 9 -5 +++ 13.84 408 A San Diego State 13- 2 11 2 +++ 8.55 418 A Colorado State 23- 7 16 3 +++ 10.72 208 A Lamar 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.93 227 A UC Davis 12- 4 8 3 ++ 4.75 307 A Oregon 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.80 314 H Boise State 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.24 323 A Utah Valley 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.62 419 A Colorado State 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.72 508 A Grand Canyon 14-10 4 -1 ++ 4.97 206 H Illinois 9- 0 9 6 + 2.81 215 A Indiana 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.53 220 A UCLA 5- 6 -1 -5 + 3.84 307 H Oregon State 10- 2 8 6 + 2.42 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 2- 6 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.44 -0.47
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 9- 0 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.44 7.72
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.44 -0.47
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 1- 0 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.44 10.17
3 A Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 8- 0 -7.27 12.10 0.74 0.44 11.36
3 H Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 6- 1 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.44 6.35
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 6- 7 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.44 -0.60
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 3- 6 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.44 -0.97
3 A Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 5- 0 -10.17 9.20 0.74 0.44 8.79
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 4- 2 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.44 14.54
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 7- 9 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.44 -0.46
3 A Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 2- 4 -9.29 10.08 0.74 0.44 -1.89
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 8- 3 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.44 8.90
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 5- 6 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.44 -0.09
3 H UC Riverside ( 2-11, 89.5) 10- 2 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.44 7.24
3 H Sacred Heart ( 1- 1, 92.7) 5- 1 -7.22 12.15 -0.74 0.44 10.09
3 A UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 12- 4 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.44 10.32
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 6- 3 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.44 9.31
3 A UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 4- 0 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.44 10.32
3 A Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 10- 6 -9.08 10.29 0.74 0.44 9.76
3 A Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 10- 6 -9.08 10.29 0.74 0.44 9.76
3 A Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 7- 5 -9.29 10.08 0.74 0.44 9.57
3 H Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 7- 9 -9.08 10.29 -0.74 0.44 -2.17
3 H Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 10- 2 -9.29 10.08 -0.74 0.44 8.26
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 8- 5 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.44 14.78
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 3- 7 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.44 -0.59
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 2- 6 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.44 -1.82
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 8- 0 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.44 9.87
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 9- 4 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.44 9.87
3 A Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 5- 1 -10.17 9.20 0.74 0.44 8.79
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 13- 6 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.44 8.50
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 6- 7 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.44 -2.16
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 10- 6 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.44 8.50
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 10- 2 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.44 10.20
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 10- 1 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.44 17.47
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 2- 9 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.44 -0.45
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 9- 3 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.44 7.64
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 3- 4 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.44 -0.77
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 4- 3 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.44 14.05
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 4- 3 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.44 14.05
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 7- 4 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.44 11.02
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 13- 2 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.44 11.02
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 8-12 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.44 -1.87
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 12- 7 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.44 9.66
3 H Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 6- 1 -10.17 9.20 -0.74 0.44 7.48
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 2- 0 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.44 10.29
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 23- 7 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.44 10.29
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 11- 3 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.44 10.29
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 9- 8 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.44 9.13
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 7- 4 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.44 9.13
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 4- 4 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.44 0.00
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 3- 4 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.44 -2.04
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 2- 4 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.44 -1.69
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 4- 7 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.44 -1.69
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 14-10 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.44 14.05
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 0- 3 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.44 -0.77
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 10-11 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.44 -0.77
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356.79
|
winning pts = 378.5294 losing points = -21.7415
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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