Nicholls
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 92.3696Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 6- 1 214 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 1- 0 220 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 6- 5 220 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 12- 2 225 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 3- 7 227 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 1- 3 227 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 3- 5 228 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 5- 8 228 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 2- 5 301 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 8- 7 301 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 8- 7 303 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 1- 4 310 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 2-12 325 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 4- 5 430 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 7- 0 502 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 5- 6 502 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 11- 1 503 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A New Mexico 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.57
220 A Troy 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.13
220 A Kennesaw State 12- 2 10 4 +++ 6.36
225 H Southern Miss 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.45
227 A LSU 1- 3 -2 -5 + 3.39
227 H Iowa 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.15
228 A Iowa 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.67
228 H Memphis 2- 5 -3 4 --- -6.65
301 H Memphis 8- 7 1 4 - -2.65
301 H Memphis 8- 7 1 4 - -2.65
303 A South Alabama 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.25
310 H LSU 2-12 -10 -4 --- -6.09
325 A Southern Miss 4- 5 -1 0 -0.97
430 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 7- 0 7 4 + 2.93
502 A McNeese 5- 6 -1 -1 0.19
502 H Stephen F. Austin 11- 1 10 0 +++ 9.77
503 A McNeese 6- 7 -1 -1 0.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Memphis 2- 5 -3 4 --- -6.65 310 H LSU 2-12 -10 -4 --- -6.09 225 H Southern Miss 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.45 227 H Iowa 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.15 301 H Memphis 8- 7 1 4 - -2.65 301 H Memphis 8- 7 1 4 - -2.65 303 A South Alabama 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Kennesaw State 12- 2 10 4 +++ 6.36 502 H Stephen F. Austin 11- 1 10 0 +++ 9.77 214 A New Mexico 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.57 220 A Troy 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.13 227 A LSU 1- 3 -2 -5 + 3.39 430 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 7- 0 7 4 + 2.93 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 6- 1 -7.70 11.67 0.74 1.40 34.75
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 1- 0 -8.50 10.87 0.74 1.40 32.52
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 6- 5 -7.14 12.23 0.74 1.40 36.32
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 12- 2 -11.91 7.46 0.74 1.40 22.97
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 3- 7 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 1.40 -6.29
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 1- 3 -2.88 16.49 0.74 1.40 -1.50
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 3- 5 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 1.40 -5.38
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 5- 8 -6.94 12.43 0.74 1.40 -4.34
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 2- 5 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 1.40 -7.83
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 8- 7 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 1.40 22.93
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 8- 7 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 1.40 22.93
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 1- 4 -7.52 11.85 0.74 1.40 -4.74
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 2-12 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 1.40 -2.53
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 4- 5 -8.24 11.13 0.74 1.40 -5.25
3 A Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 7- 0 -12.34 7.03 0.74 1.40 21.76
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 5- 6 -7.09 12.28 0.74 1.40 -4.44
3 H Stephen F. Aus ( 6- 5, 92.9) 11- 1 -7.02 12.35 -0.74 1.40 32.51
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 6- 7 -7.09 12.28 0.74 1.40 -4.44
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179.94
|
winning pts = 226.6815 losing points = -46.7405
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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