UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Northern Iowa
  
Northern Iowa         
W-L: ( 2- 6) PR = 91.2630

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 3- 5 220 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2 224 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2-10 228 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 9- 2 314 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 2-10 324 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 10- 4 331 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 2-10 422 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 17-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Iowa State              3- 5      -2    -2           0.05
   220 A UL Monroe               1- 2      -1    -2           1.12
   224 A Louisiana               2-10      -8    -3    --    -5.30
   228 A Louisiana Tech          9- 2       7    -2    +++    9.27
   314 A Northwestern            2-10      -8    -5    -     -3.10
   324 A Illinois               10- 4       6     1    ++     5.48
   331 A Iowa State              2-10      -8    -4    --    -4.47
   422 H Iowa                   17-21      -4    -1    -     -3.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Louisiana               2-10      -8    -3    --    -5.30
   331 A Iowa State              2-10      -8    -4    --    -4.47
   314 A Northwestern            2-10      -8    -5    -     -3.10
   422 H Iowa                   17-21      -4    -1    -     -3.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Louisiana Tech          9- 2       7    -2    +++    9.27
   324 A Illinois               10- 4       6     1    ++     5.48

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)     3- 5       -5.85      13.52      -0.74         3.15           -10.38
   3 A UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     1- 2       -7.26      12.11       0.74         3.15           -10.27
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     2-10       -6.68      12.69       0.74         3.15            -9.36
   3 A Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     9- 2       -7.11      12.26       0.74         3.15            81.91
   3 A Northwestern    (29-20, 95.4)     2-10       -4.47      14.90       0.74         3.15            -5.88
   3 A Illinois        (16-39, 90.0)    10- 4       -9.90       9.47       0.74         3.15            64.36
   3 A Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)     2-10       -5.85      13.52       0.74         3.15            -8.04
   3 H Iowa            (27-26, 93.0)    17-21       -6.94      12.43      -0.74         3.15           -12.10
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        90.24

winning pts = 146.2729 losing points = -56.0326

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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