New Mexico State
W-L: (26-26) PR = 91.9161Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H UMass Lowell AE ( 2- 4, 89.4) 8- 0 206 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 11- 9 207 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 7- 6 207 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 8-15 208 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 12-20 208 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 2-15 213 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 6-18 213 H Montana BSKY ( 1- 8, 89.8) 8- 3 214 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 7-11 214 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 4-11 215 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 5- 3 215 A Northern Illinois MA ( 2- 7, 89.2) 5- 1 220 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 3- 5 220 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 1- 8 221 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 5- 6 221 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1- 9 222 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 6-10 227 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 10- 2 227 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 5- 3 228 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 11- 3 228 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 0- 2 301 A North Dakota SM ( 4- 5, 91.6) 2- 5 301 A North Dakota SM ( 4- 5, 91.6) 2- 5 306 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 14- 5 307 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 15-14 308 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 7- 1 310 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 9- 1 313 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 8- 1 314 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 5-13 315 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 3 320 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 10- 6 321 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 8- 5 322 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 2- 4 327 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 8- 3 328 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 5- 7 329 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4- 9 402 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 3- 6 403 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 5- 3 404 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 6 410 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 3 411 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 3- 0 412 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0 417 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 4- 0 418 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 5- 7 419 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 1- 0 421 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 6-10 424 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 3- 1 425 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 2-11 426 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 12- 3 430 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 0- 8 501 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 1- 3 502 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 11- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H UMass Lowell 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.70
206 H UT Arlington 11- 9 2 2 0.49
207 H Utah Valley 7- 6 1 1 -0.34
207 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 8-15 -7 -4 - -3.37
208 H UT Arlington 12-20 -8 2 --- -9.51
208 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 2-15 -13 -4 --- -9.37
213 H Oklahoma 6-18 -12 -7 -- -4.76
213 H Montana 8- 3 5 3 + 2.10
214 H Idaho State 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.33
214 H Minnesota 4-11 -7 1 --- -8.46
215 H Minnesota 5- 3 2 1 0.54
215 A Northern Illinois 5- 1 4 2 + 2.07
220 A Michigan 3- 5 -2 -4 1.58
220 H Southern Utah 1- 8 -7 2 --- -8.95
221 A Southern Utah 5- 6 -1 0 -1.46
221 A Arizona State 1- 9 -8 -5 - -2.72
222 H Jacksonville State 6-10 -4 -2 -1.89
227 H Saint Francis 10- 2 8 6 + 2.09
227 A UTSA 5- 3 2 1 1.18
228 A UT Arlington 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.97
228 A UTSA 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.82
301 A North Dakota 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.60
301 A North Dakota 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.60
306 H Louisiana Tech 14- 5 9 0 +++ 9.13
307 H Louisiana Tech 15-14 1 0 1.13
308 H Louisiana Tech 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.13
310 H New Mexico 9- 1 8 0 +++ 7.54
313 A Sam Houston 8- 1 7 0 +++ 7.47
314 A Sam Houston 5-13 -8 0 --- -7.53
315 A Sam Houston 1- 3 -2 0 -1.53
320 H FIU 10- 6 4 0 + 3.98
321 H FIU 8- 5 3 0 + 2.98
322 H FIU 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.02
327 A Kansas 8- 3 5 -4 +++ 9.02
328 A Baylor 5- 7 -2 -3 1.05
329 H Western Kentucky 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.07
402 A Jacksonville State 3- 6 -3 -4 0.59
403 A Jacksonville State 5- 3 2 -4 ++ 5.59
404 A Jacksonville State 2- 6 -4 -4 -0.41
410 H UTEP 8- 3 5 4 0.98
411 H UTEP 3- 0 3 4 -1.02
412 H UTEP 8- 0 8 4 + 3.98
417 A Middle Tennessee 4- 0 4 1 + 3.07
418 A Middle Tennessee 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.93
421 A New Mexico 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.98
424 H Delaware 3- 1 2 1 0.79
425 H Delaware 2-11 -9 1 --- -10.21
426 A UL Monroe 12- 3 9 -1 +++ 10.47
430 H Wichita State 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.00
501 A Missouri State 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.38
502 A Missouri State 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.62
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H UT Arlington 12-20 -8 2 --- -9.51 208 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 2-15 -13 -4 --- -9.37 214 H Minnesota 4-11 -7 1 --- -8.46 220 H Southern Utah 1- 8 -7 2 --- -8.95 314 A Sam Houston 5-13 -8 0 --- -7.53 425 H Delaware 2-11 -9 1 --- -10.21 430 H Wichita State 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.00 213 H Oklahoma 6-18 -12 -7 -- -4.76 214 H Idaho State 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.33 329 H Western Kentucky 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.07 207 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 8-15 -7 -4 - -3.37 221 A Arizona State 1- 9 -8 -5 - -2.72 228 A UTSA 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.82 301 A North Dakota 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.60 301 A North Dakota 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.60 322 H FIU 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.02 418 A Middle Tennessee 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.93 421 A New Mexico 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.98 501 A Missouri State 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A UT Arlington 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.97 306 H Louisiana Tech 14- 5 9 0 +++ 9.13 308 H Louisiana Tech 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.13 310 H New Mexico 9- 1 8 0 +++ 7.54 313 A Sam Houston 8- 1 7 0 +++ 7.47 327 A Kansas 8- 3 5 -4 +++ 9.02 426 A UL Monroe 12- 3 9 -1 +++ 10.47 502 A Missouri State 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.62 206 H UMass Lowell 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.70 403 A Jacksonville State 5- 3 2 -4 ++ 5.59 213 H Montana 8- 3 5 3 + 2.10 215 A Northern Illinois 5- 1 4 2 + 2.07 227 H Saint Francis 10- 2 8 6 + 2.09 320 H FIU 10- 6 4 0 + 3.98 321 H FIU 8- 5 3 0 + 2.98 412 H UTEP 8- 0 8 4 + 3.98 417 A Middle Tennessee 4- 0 4 1 + 3.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UMass Lowell ( 2- 4, 89.4) 8- 0 -10.54 8.83 -0.74 0.48 7.84
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 11- 9 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.48 9.57
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 7- 6 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.48 9.74
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 8-15 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 12-20 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.48 -2.30
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 2-15 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 6-18 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.48 -0.18
3 H Montana ( 1- 8, 89.8) 8- 3 -10.14 9.23 -0.74 0.48 8.22
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 7-11 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.48 -2.26
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 4-11 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.48 -2.29
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 5- 3 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.48 9.63
3 A Northern Illin ( 2- 7, 89.2) 5- 1 -10.66 8.71 0.74 0.48 9.16
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 3- 5 -5.14 14.23 0.74 0.48 -1.07
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 1- 8 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.48 -2.41
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 5- 6 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.48 -2.05
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 1- 9 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.48 -0.66
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 6-10 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.48 -1.42
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 10- 2 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.48 5.30
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 5- 3 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.48 10.24
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 11- 3 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.48 11.01
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 0- 2 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.48 -2.13
3 A North Dakota ( 4- 5, 91.6) 2- 5 -8.33 11.04 0.74 0.48 -1.84
3 A North Dakota ( 4- 5, 91.6) 2- 5 -8.33 11.04 0.74 0.48 -1.84
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 14- 5 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.48 11.16
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 15-14 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.48 11.16
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 7- 1 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.48 11.16
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 9- 1 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.48 10.59
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 8- 1 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.48 11.49
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 5-13 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.48 -1.82
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 1- 3 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.48 -1.82
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 10- 6 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.48 11.02
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 8- 5 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.48 11.02
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 2- 4 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.48 -1.94
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 8- 3 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.48 14.93
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 5- 7 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.48 -1.20
3 H Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 4- 9 -6.31 13.06 -0.74 0.48 -1.71
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 3- 6 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.48 -1.06
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 5- 3 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.48 14.52
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.48 -1.06
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 3 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.48 7.14
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 3- 0 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.48 7.14
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.48 7.14
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 4- 0 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 10.14
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 5- 7 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 -2.16
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 1- 0 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 10.14
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 6-10 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.48 -1.69
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 3- 1 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.48 9.86
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 2-11 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.48 -2.23
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 12- 3 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.48 12.46
3 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 0- 8 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.48 -1.45
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 1- 3 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.48 -2.03
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 11- 2 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.48 10.67
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219.78
|
winning pts = 262.4888 losing points = -42.7133
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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