North Texas
W-L: (31-24) PR = 92.4567Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2-10 206 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 2- 5 207 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 6- 7 207 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5-10 208 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 5- 4 213 A Murray State MV ( 2- 7, 89.9) 5- 1 213 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 2- 8 214 H Murray State MV ( 2- 7, 89.9) 1- 6 214 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 1- 3 215 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 2-10 218 H East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 4- 0 220 A East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 4- 3 220 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 3- 8 221 A SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 6-10 221 A East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 14- 4 222 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 8- 0 222 A Southern SWAC ( 2- 3, 87.3) 9- 1 227 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 2 227 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2-10 228 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 16- 6 228 H Detroit Mercy HL ( 0- 8, 86.2) 18- 1 301 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2- 7 301 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2- 7 303 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 4-16 306 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 5- 2 307 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 6- 5 307 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 1 313 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 9- 8 314 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 6- 1 315 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 9- 1 320 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 2- 5 321 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 11- 6 322 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 6- 4 325 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 5- 3 327 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 13- 3 328 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 3- 2 329 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 1- 5 402 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 13- 4 402 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 5- 4 403 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 7-17 408 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 1- 6 410 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 5- 1 411 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 4- 3 411 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 2- 8 415 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 9- 7 417 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 0- 1 417 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 4- 2 419 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 7- 9 422 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 8- 2 424 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 2- 9 425 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 4- 0 426 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 2- 1 430 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 4- 2 501 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 2 502 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Texas Tech 2-10 -8 -8 -0.47
206 A McNeese 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.90
207 A Jacksonville State 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.05
207 A Louisiana 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.50
208 H UL Monroe 5- 4 1 1 0.44
213 A Murray State 5- 1 4 2 + 2.23
213 H Rutgers 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.76
214 H Murray State 1- 6 -5 3 --- -8.26
214 A Mississippi State 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.81
215 A Mississippi State 2-10 -8 -5 - -3.19
218 H East Texas A&M 4- 0 4 7 - -3.32
220 A East Texas A&M 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.83
220 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 3- 8 -5 -3 -1.91
221 A SIU Edwardsville 6-10 -4 4 --- -8.17
221 A East Texas A&M 14- 4 10 6 ++ 4.17
222 H SIU Edwardsville 8- 0 8 6 + 2.35
222 A Southern 9- 1 8 4 + 3.60
227 H Abilene Christian 10- 2 8 5 + 2.54
227 A Texas Tech 2-10 -8 -8 -0.47
228 A Abilene Christian 16- 6 10 4 +++ 6.02
228 H Detroit Mercy 18- 1 17 7 +++ 7.02
301 A Texas Tech 2- 7 -5 -8 + 2.53
301 A Texas Tech 2- 7 -5 -8 + 2.53
303 H Oklahoma 4-16 -12 -7 -- -5.30
306 A UAB 5- 2 3 0 + 2.75
307 A UAB 6- 5 1 0 0.75
307 A UAB 3- 1 2 0 1.75
313 H Tulsa 9- 8 1 1 -0.36
314 H Tulsa 6- 1 5 1 + 3.64
315 H Tulsa 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.64
320 A UTSA 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.36
321 A UTSA 11- 6 5 1 + 3.64
322 A UTSA 6- 4 2 1 0.64
325 H Abilene Christian 5- 3 2 5 - -3.46
327 H Memphis 13- 3 10 4 +++ 6.26
328 H Coastal Carolina 3- 2 1 2 -0.72
329 A Charlotte 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.41
402 H Florida Atlantic 13- 4 9 -1 +++ 10.46
402 H Florida Atlantic 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.46
403 H Florida Atlantic 7-17 -10 -1 --- -8.54
408 A Tarleton State 1- 6 -5 0 -- -5.24
410 H East Carolina 5- 1 4 2 + 2.08
411 H East Carolina 4- 3 1 2 -0.92
411 H East Carolina 2- 8 -6 2 --- -7.92
415 A Abilene Christian 9- 7 2 4 -1.98
417 A Memphis 4- 2 2 2 -0.26
419 A Memphis 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.26
422 H Tarleton State 8- 2 6 2 ++ 4.27
424 H Wichita State 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.54
425 A Coastal Carolina 4- 0 4 0 + 3.77
426 A Northwestern 2- 1 1 -4 ++ 4.71
430 H App State 4- 2 2 1 1.47
501 A South Florida 1- 2 -1 -2 0.73
502 A South Florida 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Murray State 1- 6 -5 3 --- -8.26 221 A SIU Edwardsville 6-10 -4 4 --- -8.17 403 H Florida Atlantic 7-17 -10 -1 --- -8.54 411 H East Carolina 2- 8 -6 2 --- -7.92 213 H Rutgers 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.76 220 A East Texas A&M 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.83 303 H Oklahoma 4-16 -12 -7 -- -5.30 320 A UTSA 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.36 408 A Tarleton State 1- 6 -5 0 -- -5.24 419 A Memphis 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.26 424 H Wichita State 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.54 207 A Louisiana 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.50 215 A Mississippi State 2-10 -8 -5 - -3.19 218 H East Texas A&M 4- 0 4 7 - -3.32 325 H Abilene Christian 5- 3 2 5 - -3.46 329 A Charlotte 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Abilene Christian 16- 6 10 4 +++ 6.02 228 H Detroit Mercy 18- 1 17 7 +++ 7.02 315 H Tulsa 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.64 327 H Memphis 13- 3 10 4 +++ 6.26 402 H Florida Atlantic 13- 4 9 -1 +++ 10.46 221 A East Texas A&M 14- 4 10 6 ++ 4.17 422 H Tarleton State 8- 2 6 2 ++ 4.27 426 A Northwestern 2- 1 1 -4 ++ 4.71 207 A Jacksonville State 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.05 213 A Murray State 5- 1 4 2 + 2.23 214 A Mississippi State 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.81 222 H SIU Edwardsville 8- 0 8 6 + 2.35 222 A Southern 9- 1 8 4 + 3.60 227 H Abilene Christian 10- 2 8 5 + 2.54 301 A Texas Tech 2- 7 -5 -8 + 2.53 301 A Texas Tech 2- 7 -5 -8 + 2.53 306 A UAB 5- 2 3 0 + 2.75 314 H Tulsa 6- 1 5 1 + 3.64 321 A UTSA 11- 6 5 1 + 3.64 402 H Florida Atlantic 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.46 410 H East Carolina 5- 1 4 2 + 2.08 425 A Coastal Carolina 4- 0 4 0 + 3.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2-10 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.46 -0.02
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 2- 5 -7.09 12.28 0.74 0.46 -1.45
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 6- 7 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.46 -1.01
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5-10 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.46 -1.36
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 5- 4 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.46 10.42
3 A Murray State ( 2- 7, 89.9) 5- 1 -9.96 9.41 0.74 0.46 9.31
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 2- 8 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.46 -1.65
3 H Murray State ( 2- 7, 89.9) 1- 6 -9.96 9.41 -0.74 0.46 -2.45
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 1- 3 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.46 -0.60
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 2-10 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.46 -0.60
3 H East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 4- 0 -14.02 5.35 -0.74 0.46 4.23
3 A East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 4- 3 -14.02 5.35 0.74 0.46 5.59
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 3- 8 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.46 -1.00
3 A SIU Edwardsvil ( 2- 9, 87.5) 6-10 -12.36 7.01 0.74 0.46 -2.66
3 A East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 14- 4 -14.02 5.35 0.74 0.46 5.59
3 H SIU Edwardsvil ( 2- 9, 87.5) 8- 0 -12.36 7.01 -0.74 0.46 5.75
3 A Southern ( 2- 3, 87.3) 9- 1 -12.59 6.78 0.74 0.46 6.90
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 2 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.46 5.93
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2-10 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.46 -0.02
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 16- 6 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.46 7.29
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 0- 8, 86.2) 18- 1 -13.68 5.69 -0.74 0.46 4.54
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2- 7 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.46 -0.02
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2- 7 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.46 -0.02
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 4-16 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.46 -0.17
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 5- 2 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.46 10.71
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 6- 5 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.46 10.71
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 3- 1 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.46 10.71
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 9- 8 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.46 9.68
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 6- 1 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.46 9.68
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 9- 1 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.46 9.68
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 2- 5 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.46 -2.02
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 11- 6 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.46 9.68
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 6- 4 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.46 9.68
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 5- 3 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.46 5.93
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 13- 3 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.46 7.50
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 3- 2 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.46 9.36
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 1- 5 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.46 -1.57
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 13- 4 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.46 12.27
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 5- 4 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.46 12.27
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 7-17 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.46 -1.37
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 1- 6 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.46 -1.76
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 5- 1 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.46 9.17
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 4- 3 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.46 9.17
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 2- 8 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.46 -2.15
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 9- 7 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.46 7.29
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 0- 1 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.46 -2.22
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 4- 2 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.46 8.86
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 7- 9 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.46 -2.22
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 8- 2 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.46 9.35
3 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 2- 9 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.46 -1.37
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 4- 0 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.46 10.72
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 2- 1 -4.47 14.90 0.74 0.46 14.33
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 4- 2 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.46 10.44
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 1- 2 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.46 -1.31
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 3- 5 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.46 -1.31
------
242.38
|
winning pts = 272.7143 losing points = -30.3319
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------