Northwestern
W-L: (29-20) PR = 95.4252Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 9- 1 206 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 3- 4 207 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0- 8 207 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 7- 1 208 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 13- 5 212 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 5 213 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 4- 6 214 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 3- 0 214 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 3- 8 215 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 5-11 220 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 4- 1 220 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 6 221 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 7 221 A Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 12- 1 222 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 8- 6 226 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 3- 4 227 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 11- 1 227 H Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 4- 6 228 A Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 6- 3 228 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1- 6 307 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 0- 2 308 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 4-10 313 A Detroit Mercy HL ( 0- 8, 86.2) 11- 2 313 A Northern Kentucky HL ( 0- 6, 88.0) 16- 1 314 H Detroit Mercy HL ( 0- 8, 86.2) 8- 3 314 H Northern Iowa MV ( 2- 6, 91.3) 10- 2 320 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 6- 1 321 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 19- 5 322 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 5- 0 326 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 11- 6 327 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 0-16 328 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 3- 6 403 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 4- 0 404 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 5- 9 405 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 9-11 408 A DePaul BE ( 1- 5, 90.6) 5- 9 410 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 8- 2 411 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 13- 4 412 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 17- 3 417 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 10- 0 418 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 8- 7 419 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 8- 0 421 A Northern Illinois MA ( 2- 7, 89.2) 5- 4 424 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 8- 7 425 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 11- 1 426 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 2 501 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 5- 1 502 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 2- 3 503 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 6- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Toledo 9- 1 8 6 1.69
206 A Texas State 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.08
207 A Arizona State 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.23
207 H Texas State 7- 1 6 3 + 3.44
208 A Memphis 13- 5 8 5 + 2.78
212 H Texas Tech 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.93
213 A UCF 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.43
214 H Missouri 3- 0 3 2 1.33
214 H Georgia 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.47
215 H Penn State 5-11 -6 1 --- -7.21
220 H Southeast Missouri Sta 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.43
220 A Arkansas 0- 6 -6 -5 -1.02
221 A Arkansas 0- 7 -7 -5 - -2.02
221 A Southeast Missouri Sta 12- 1 11 6 ++ 5.05
222 H Grand Canyon 8- 6 2 0 1.50
226 A Utah 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.37
227 A Ohio State 11- 1 10 1 +++ 9.17
227 H Boston University 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.17
228 A Boston University 6- 3 3 1 + 2.31
228 A Duke 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.07
307 A Washington 0- 2 -2 -2 0.06
308 A Washington 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.94
313 A Detroit Mercy 11- 2 9 8 0.54
313 A Northern Kentucky 16- 1 15 7 +++ 7.34
314 H Detroit Mercy 8- 3 5 10 -- -4.95
314 H Northern Iowa 10- 2 8 5 + 3.10
320 A Illinois 6- 1 5 5 0.32
321 A Illinois 19- 5 14 5 +++ 9.32
322 A Illinois 5- 0 5 5 0.32
326 A Kansas 11- 6 5 -1 ++ 5.51
327 A Washington 0-16 -16 -2 --- -11.94
328 A South Alabama 3- 6 -3 2 -- -5.30
403 H Michigan 4- 0 4 1 + 2.59
404 H Michigan 5- 9 -4 1 -- -5.41
405 H Michigan 9-11 -2 1 - -3.41
408 A DePaul 5- 9 -4 4 --- -8.10
410 A Penn State 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.28
411 A Penn State 13- 4 9 0 +++ 9.28
412 A Penn State 17- 3 14 0 +++ 14.28
417 H Michigan State 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.42
418 H Michigan State 8- 7 1 6 -- -4.58
419 H Michigan State 8- 0 8 6 + 2.42
421 A Northern Illinois 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.44
424 A Purdue 8- 7 1 0 0.77
425 H UAB 11- 1 10 5 ++ 5.30
426 H North Texas 1- 2 -1 4 -- -4.71
501 H Minnesota 5- 1 4 5 -0.97
502 H Minnesota 2- 3 -1 5 -- -5.97
503 H Minnesota 6- 0 6 5 1.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Arizona State 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.23 215 H Penn State 5-11 -6 1 --- -7.21 327 A Washington 0-16 -16 -2 --- -11.94 408 A DePaul 5- 9 -4 4 --- -8.10 220 H Southeast Missouri Sta 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.43 227 H Boston University 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.17 314 H Detroit Mercy 8- 3 5 10 -- -4.95 328 A South Alabama 3- 6 -3 2 -- -5.30 404 H Michigan 5- 9 -4 1 -- -5.41 418 H Michigan State 8- 7 1 6 -- -4.58 421 A Northern Illinois 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.44 426 H North Texas 1- 2 -1 4 -- -4.71 502 H Minnesota 2- 3 -1 5 -- -5.97 206 A Texas State 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.08 214 H Georgia 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.47 221 A Arkansas 0- 7 -7 -5 - -2.02 228 A Duke 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.07 308 A Washington 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.94 405 H Michigan 9-11 -2 1 - -3.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Ohio State 11- 1 10 1 +++ 9.17 313 A Northern Kentucky 16- 1 15 7 +++ 7.34 321 A Illinois 19- 5 14 5 +++ 9.32 410 A Penn State 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.28 411 A Penn State 13- 4 9 0 +++ 9.28 412 A Penn State 17- 3 14 0 +++ 14.28 221 A Southeast Missouri Sta 12- 1 11 6 ++ 5.05 326 A Kansas 11- 6 5 -1 ++ 5.51 417 H Michigan State 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.42 425 H UAB 11- 1 10 5 ++ 5.30 207 H Texas State 7- 1 6 3 + 3.44 208 A Memphis 13- 5 8 5 + 2.78 228 A Boston University 6- 3 3 1 + 2.31 314 H Northern Iowa 10- 2 8 5 + 3.10 403 H Michigan 4- 0 4 1 + 2.59 419 H Michigan State 8- 0 8 6 + 2.42 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 9- 1 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.51 8.83
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 3- 4 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.51 -1.43
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 0- 8 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.51 -0.70
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 7- 1 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.51 12.69
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 13- 5 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.51 9.95
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 5 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.51 -0.36
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 4- 6 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.51 -0.75
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 3- 0 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.51 13.61
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 3- 8 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.51 -0.76
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 5-11 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.51 -1.46
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 4- 1 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.51 7.68
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0- 6 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.51 -0.13
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0- 7 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.51 -0.13
3 A Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 12- 1 -11.16 8.21 0.74 0.51 9.20
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 8- 6 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.51 14.81
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 3- 4 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.51 -0.99
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 11- 1 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.51 14.47
3 H Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 4- 6 -5.90 13.47 -0.74 0.51 -1.71
3 A Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 6- 3 -5.90 13.47 0.74 0.51 14.62
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 1- 6 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.51 -0.65
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 0- 2 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.51 -0.62
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 4-10 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.51 -0.62
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0- 8, 86.2) 11- 2 -13.68 5.69 0.74 0.51 6.62
3 A Northern Kentu ( 0- 6, 88.0) 16- 1 -11.88 7.49 0.74 0.51 8.47
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 0- 8, 86.2) 8- 3 -13.68 5.69 -0.74 0.51 5.09
3 H Northern Iowa ( 2- 6, 91.3) 10- 2 -8.64 10.73 -0.74 0.51 10.28
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 6- 1 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.51 10.51
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 19- 5 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.51 10.51
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 5- 0 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.51 10.51
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 11- 6 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.51 15.85
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 0-16 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.51 -0.62
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 3- 6 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.51 -1.74
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 4- 0 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.51 13.87
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 5- 9 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.51 -1.51
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 9-11 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.51 -1.51
3 A DePaul ( 1- 5, 90.6) 5- 9 -9.32 10.05 0.74 0.51 -2.21
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 8- 2 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.51 15.61
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 13- 4 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.51 15.61
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 17- 3 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.51 15.61
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 10- 0 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.51 9.58
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 8- 7 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.51 9.58
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 8- 0 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.51 9.58
3 A Northern Illin ( 2- 7, 89.2) 5- 4 -10.66 8.71 0.74 0.51 9.72
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 8- 7 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.51 15.08
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 11- 1 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.51 10.49
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 1- 2 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.51 -2.11
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 5- 1 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.51 10.22
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 2- 3 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.51 -2.43
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 6- 0 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.51 10.22
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306.42
|
winning pts = 328.8582 losing points = -22.4386
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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