Ohio State
W-L: (24-28) PR = 93.8493Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 6-10 206 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 3-12 207 H Army PAT ( 4- 9, 91.1) 11- 0 208 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 8- 5 213 A Northern Illinois MA ( 2- 7, 89.2) 7- 2 213 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 6-14 214 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 15- 7 215 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 9- 0 215 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 4- 7 220 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 0- 2 220 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 4- 8 221 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 11- 2 221 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 0- 8 227 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 1-11 228 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 3- 6 228 H Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 5-10 301 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1- 3 301 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1- 3 306 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 5- 2 306 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 1- 9 308 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 10- 2 310 H Western Michigan MA ( 2- 8, 90.8) 10-11 313 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 6-12 314 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 5- 6 315 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 6-12 320 H Indiana State MV ( 1- 8, 88.3) 10- 0 320 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 8- 6 321 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 5-11 321 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5- 6 322 H Indiana State MV ( 1- 8, 88.3) 11- 1 325 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 10- 3 327 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 9- 9 328 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 2-10 329 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 10- 0 331 H Bowling Green MA ( 0- 2, 85.4) 18- 7 404 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 9- 5 405 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 10- 1 405 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 1- 2 408 H Dayton A10 ( 1- 8, 87.7) 12- 4 410 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 8-10 411 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 1-11 412 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 13- 2 415 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 9- 1 417 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 4- 3 418 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 7-15 419 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 9- 0 421 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 5- 9 424 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 3- 0 425 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 6-13 426 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 0- 1 501 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 5- 4 502 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 2- 8 503 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 3- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Florida Atlantic 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.45
206 H Indiana 3-12 -9 -2 --- -7.36
207 H Army 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.46
208 A Wisconsin 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.72
213 A Northern Illinois 7- 2 5 4 1.13
213 A Texas 6-14 -8 -6 - -2.15
214 H Abilene Christian 15- 7 8 7 1.15
215 A Syracuse 9- 0 9 4 ++ 4.78
215 A Texas 4- 7 -3 -6 + 2.85
220 H Delaware 0- 2 -2 3 -- -5.14
220 A Virginia 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.62
221 A Delaware 11- 2 9 2 +++ 7.34
221 A Virginia 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.62
227 H Northwestern 1-11 -10 -1 --- -9.17
228 A Duke 3- 6 -3 -4 0.51
228 H Boston University 5-10 -5 1 -- -5.59
301 A Duke 1- 3 -2 -4 1.51
301 A Duke 1- 3 -2 -4 1.51
306 H Iowa 5- 2 3 2 1.37
306 H Iowa 1- 9 -8 2 --- -9.63
308 H Iowa 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.37
310 H Western Michigan 10-11 -1 4 -- -4.76
313 A Purdue 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.66
314 A Purdue 5- 6 -1 -1 0.34
315 A Purdue 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.66
320 H Indiana State 10- 0 10 6 + 3.71
320 H Campbell 8- 6 2 3 -0.50
321 H Campbell 5-11 -6 3 --- -8.50
321 H Louisville 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.04
322 H Indiana State 11- 1 10 6 + 3.71
325 H California 10- 3 7 3 + 3.74
327 A Arizona State 9- 9 0 -3 + 3.34
328 A Washington 2-10 -8 -4 -- -4.36
329 H Michigan State 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.99
331 H Bowling Green 18- 7 11 9 1.82
404 A Minnesota 9- 5 4 2 + 2.09
405 A Minnesota 10- 1 9 2 +++ 7.09
405 A Minnesota 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.91
408 H Dayton 12- 4 8 7 1.14
410 A Michigan 8-10 -2 -2 -0.35
411 A Michigan 1-11 -10 -2 --- -8.35
412 A Michigan 13- 2 11 -2 +++ 12.65
415 H Pittsburgh 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.12
417 H Penn State 4- 3 1 0 1.37
418 H Penn State 7-15 -8 0 --- -7.63
419 H Penn State 9- 0 9 0 +++ 9.37
421 H Akron 5- 9 -4 4 --- -7.97
424 A Oregon 3- 0 3 -3 +++ 6.39
425 A Oregon 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.61
501 H Washington 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.15
502 H Washington 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.85
503 H Washington 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.15
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Indiana 3-12 -9 -2 --- -7.36 221 A Virginia 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.62 227 H Northwestern 1-11 -10 -1 --- -9.17 306 H Iowa 1- 9 -8 2 --- -9.63 321 H Campbell 5-11 -6 3 --- -8.50 411 A Michigan 1-11 -10 -2 --- -8.35 418 H Penn State 7-15 -8 0 --- -7.63 421 H Akron 5- 9 -4 4 --- -7.97 220 H Delaware 0- 2 -2 3 -- -5.14 228 H Boston University 5-10 -5 1 -- -5.59 310 H Western Michigan 10-11 -1 4 -- -4.76 313 A Purdue 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.66 315 A Purdue 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.66 328 A Washington 2-10 -8 -4 -- -4.36 206 A Florida Atlantic 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.45 213 A Texas 6-14 -8 -6 - -2.15 220 A Virginia 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.62 405 A Minnesota 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.91 425 A Oregon 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.61 502 H Washington 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Army 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.46 221 A Delaware 11- 2 9 2 +++ 7.34 308 H Iowa 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.37 405 A Minnesota 10- 1 9 2 +++ 7.09 412 A Michigan 13- 2 11 -2 +++ 12.65 419 H Penn State 9- 0 9 0 +++ 9.37 424 A Oregon 3- 0 3 -3 +++ 6.39 215 A Syracuse 9- 0 9 4 ++ 4.78 329 H Michigan State 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.99 415 H Pittsburgh 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.12 208 A Wisconsin 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.72 215 A Texas 4- 7 -3 -6 + 2.85 320 H Indiana State 10- 0 10 6 + 3.71 322 H Indiana State 11- 1 10 6 + 3.71 325 H California 10- 3 7 3 + 3.74 327 A Arizona State 9- 9 0 -3 + 3.34 404 A Minnesota 9- 5 4 2 + 2.09 501 H Washington 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.15 503 H Washington 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 6-10 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.48 -1.07
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 3-12 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 H Army ( 4- 9, 91.1) 11- 0 -8.85 10.52 -0.74 0.48 9.30
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 8- 5 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.48 13.35
3 A Northern Illin ( 2- 7, 89.2) 7- 2 -10.66 8.71 0.74 0.48 8.99
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 6-14 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.48 -0.05
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 15- 7 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.48 6.15
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 9- 0 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.48 8.65
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 4- 7 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.48 -0.05
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 0- 2 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.48 -2.19
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 4- 8 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.48 -1.11
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 11- 2 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.48 11.09
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 0- 8 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.48 -1.11
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 1-11 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.48 -1.24
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 3- 6 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.48 -0.60
3 H Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 5-10 -5.90 13.47 -0.74 0.48 -1.58
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.48 -0.60
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.48 -0.60
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 5- 2 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.48 11.12
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 1- 9 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.48 -1.83
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 10- 2 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.48 11.12
3 H Western Michig ( 2- 8, 90.8) 10-11 -9.07 10.30 -0.74 0.48 -2.33
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 6-12 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.48 -1.12
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 5- 6 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.48 -1.12
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 6-12 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.48 -1.12
3 H Indiana State ( 1- 8, 88.3) 10- 0 -11.60 7.77 -0.74 0.48 6.68
3 H Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 8- 6 -7.81 11.56 -0.74 0.48 10.29
3 H Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 5-11 -7.81 11.56 -0.74 0.48 -2.03
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 5- 6 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.48 -1.21
3 H Indiana State ( 1- 8, 88.3) 11- 1 -11.60 7.77 -0.74 0.48 6.68
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 10- 3 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.48 9.57
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 9- 9 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.48 0.00
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 2-10 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.48 -0.57
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 10- 0 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.48 8.86
3 H Bowling Green ( 0- 2, 85.4) 18- 7 -14.49 4.88 -0.74 0.48 3.93
3 A Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 9- 5 -8.70 10.67 0.74 0.48 10.86
3 A Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 10- 1 -8.70 10.67 0.74 0.48 10.86
3 A Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 1- 2 -8.70 10.67 0.74 0.48 -1.89
3 H Dayton ( 1- 8, 87.7) 12- 4 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.48 6.15
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 8-10 -5.14 14.23 0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 1-11 -5.14 14.23 0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 13- 2 -5.14 14.23 0.74 0.48 14.24
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 9- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.48 8.98
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 4- 3 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.48 13.02
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 7-15 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.48 -1.35
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 9- 0 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.48 13.02
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 5- 9 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.48 -2.38
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 3- 0 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.48 15.90
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 6-13 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.48 -0.63
3 H Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 0- 1 -5.67 13.70 -0.74 0.48 -1.53
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 5- 4 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.48 14.71
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 2- 8 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.48 -0.93
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.48 14.71
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214.82
|
winning pts = 248.2153 losing points = -33.3938
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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