Oregon State
W-L: ( 2-15) PR = 90.6080Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 5- 2 207 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 4-12 213 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 4- 5 214 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 5- 8 215 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 5-10 219 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 3- 4 219 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 4- 2 228 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 1-21 228 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 3- 6 301 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 3-13 301 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 3-13 304 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 3-11 306 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 5- 7 306 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 3- 8 307 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 2-10 311 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 1- 3 422 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 2- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Utah Tech 5- 2 3 1 + 2.33
207 A UCLA 4-12 -8 -10 1.68
213 A Baylor 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.36
214 A San Diego State 5- 8 -3 -2 -0.62
215 A San Diego State 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.62
219 H California Baptist 3- 4 -1 -2 0.86
219 H Nevada 4- 2 2 -4 +++ 6.10
228 A Florida 1-21 -20 -8 --- -6.18
228 H California 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.02
301 H UCLA 3-13 -10 -8 -1.80
301 H UCLA 3-13 -10 -8 -1.80
304 H Oregon 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.85
306 H Nevada 5- 7 -2 -4 + 2.10
306 A Oregon 3- 8 -5 -7 1.63
307 A Nevada 2-10 -8 -6 - -2.42
311 H Penn State 1- 3 -2 -4 1.61
422 A Oregon 2- 7 -5 -7 1.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Florida 1-21 -20 -8 --- -6.18 215 A San Diego State 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.62 228 H California 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.02 304 H Oregon 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.85 307 A Nevada 2-10 -8 -6 - -2.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H Nevada 4- 2 2 -4 +++ 6.10 206 A Utah Tech 5- 2 3 1 + 2.33 213 A Baylor 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.36 306 H Nevada 5- 7 -2 -4 + 2.10 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 5- 2 -10.71 8.66 0.74 1.48 27.89
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 4-12 -0.35 19.02 0.74 1.48 -0.29
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 4- 5 -5.67 13.70 0.74 1.48 -3.66
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 5- 8 -7.65 11.72 0.74 1.48 -5.12
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 5-10 -7.65 11.72 0.74 1.48 -5.12
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 3- 4 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 1.48 -5.51
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 4- 2 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 1.48 42.03
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 1-21 -2.21 17.16 0.74 1.48 -1.09
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 3- 6 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 1.48 -6.90
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 3-13 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 1.48 -0.81
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 3-13 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 1.48 -0.81
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 3-11 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 1.48 -3.07
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 5- 7 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 1.48 -3.85
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 3- 8 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.48 -1.97
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 2-10 -4.45 14.92 0.74 1.48 -2.75
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 1- 3 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 1.48 -4.21
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 2- 7 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.48 -1.97
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22.78
|
winning pts = 69.9171 losing points = -47.1322
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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