UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Portland State
  
Portland State        
W-L: ( 2- 9) PR = 88.4522

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 2-10 212 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 0-23 212 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 5-11 213 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 1- 6 214 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 2-20 305 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 7- 3 305 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 1- 8 306 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 4- 1 313 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 4- 7 314 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 2- 3 505 A Montana BSKY ( 1- 8, 89.8) 3- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Boise State             2-10      -8    -5    -     -3.28
   212 H Indiana                 0-23     -23    -7    ---   -6.96
   212 A Arizona State           5-11      -6    -9    +      2.74
   213 A Nevada                  1- 6      -5    -8    +      2.74
   214 A Arizona State           2-20     -18    -9    --    -5.26
   305 H California Baptist      7- 3       4    -4    +++    8.02
   305 A Boise State             1- 8      -7    -5    -     -2.28
   306 A Boise State             4- 1       3    -5    +++    7.72
   313 H Southern Utah           4- 7      -3    -2          -1.48
   314 A Southern Utah           2- 3      -1    -3           2.00
   505 A Montana                 3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H Indiana                 0-23     -23    -7    ---   -6.96
   214 A Arizona State           2-20     -18    -9    --    -5.26
   207 A Boise State             2-10      -8    -5    -     -3.28
   305 A Boise State             1- 8      -7    -5    -     -2.28
   505 A Montana                 3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H California Baptist      7- 3       4    -4    +++    8.02
   306 A Boise State             4- 1       3    -5    +++    7.72
   212 A Arizona State           5-11      -6    -9    +      2.74
   213 A Nevada                  1- 6      -5    -8    +      2.74

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     2-10       -7.47      11.90       0.74         2.29            -7.71
   3 H Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     0-23       -3.67      15.70      -0.74         2.29            -5.05
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     5-11       -3.45      15.92       0.74         2.29            -3.10
   3 A Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     1- 6       -4.45      14.92       0.74         2.29            -4.25
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     2-20       -3.45      15.92       0.74         2.29            -3.10
   3 H California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     7- 3       -6.69      12.68      -0.74         2.29            54.71
   3 A Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     1- 8       -7.47      11.90       0.74         2.29            -7.71
   3 A Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     4- 1       -7.47      11.90       0.74         2.29            57.94
   3 H Southern Utah   (22-27, 90.7)     4- 7       -9.19      10.18      -0.74         2.29           -11.38
   3 A Southern Utah   (22-27, 90.7)     2- 3       -9.19      10.18       0.74         2.29            -9.68
   3 A Montana         ( 1- 8, 89.8)     3- 9      -10.14       9.23       0.74         2.29           -10.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        49.91

winning pts = 112.6518 losing points = -62.7465

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------