Purdue
W-L: (36-17) PR = 94.4506Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 9- 8 207 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 9- 3 207 A UIC MV ( 4- 4, 88.7) 9- 1 208 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 15- 1 208 A UIC MV ( 4- 4, 88.7) 4- 5 213 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 4- 0 213 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0-10 214 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 214 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 8- 7 220 H Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 5- 2 220 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 0- 2 221 A Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 8- 6 221 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 3- 7 222 H Seattle U WC ( 2- 4, 93.0) 227 A Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 12- 2 227 A Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 6- 1 228 A Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 12- 2 228 H Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 10- 0 301 A Western Carolina SO ( 0- 6, 86.8) 8- 2 301 A Western Carolina SO ( 0- 6, 86.8) 8- 2 306 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 0- 6, 87.0) 5- 0 307 H Northern Illinois MA ( 2- 7, 89.2) 8- 1 308 H Northern Illinois MA ( 2- 7, 89.2) 5- 2 308 H Green Bay HL ( 0- 2, 86.7) 8- 0 309 H Green Bay HL ( 0- 2, 86.7) 9- 0 311 H Indiana State MV ( 1- 8, 88.3) 5- 2 313 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 12- 6 314 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 6- 5 315 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 12- 6 320 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 0- 6 321 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 7- 4 322 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 1- 2 325 H Valparaiso MV ( 2- 5, 90.2) 10- 2 327 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 1- 0 328 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 13- 6 329 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 5-13 403 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 0- 3 404 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 9-10 405 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 4- 2 410 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1- 4 411 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1- 5 412 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 0- 9 415 A Miami (OH) MA ( 7- 7, 94.1) 8- 0 417 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 12- 2 418 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 13-11 418 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 4- 3 421 H UIC MV ( 4- 4, 88.7) 12- 2 421 H IUPUI HL ( 0- 9, 86.5) 9- 1 424 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 7- 8 425 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 4- 7 426 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 0-11 501 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 7- 8 502 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 6- 1 503 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 7- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A California Baptist 9- 8 1 0 0.50
207 H California Baptist 9- 3 6 2 ++ 4.02
207 A UIC 9- 1 8 5 + 3.04
208 A UNLV 15- 1 14 2 +++ 11.80
208 A UIC 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.96
213 A Georgia Southern 4- 0 4 3 0.94
213 A Alabama 0-10 -10 -5 -- -4.57
214 A Alabama 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.57
214 H Georgia Southern 8- 7 1 5 - -3.55
220 H Charleston 5- 2 3 7 -- -4.31
220 A Georgia Tech 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.87
221 A Charleston 8- 6 2 6 - -3.83
221 A Georgia State 3- 7 -4 2 --- -6.31
227 A Southern Illinois 12- 2 10 5 ++ 5.36
227 A Lipscomb 6- 1 5 5 -0.10
228 A Lipscomb 12- 2 10 5 ++ 4.90
228 H Southern Illinois 10- 0 10 6 + 3.88
301 A Western Carolina 8- 2 6 7 -0.88
301 A Western Carolina 8- 2 6 7 -0.88
306 H St. Bonaventure 5- 0 5 8 - -3.24
307 H Northern Illinois 8- 1 7 6 1.05
308 H Northern Illinois 5- 2 3 6 - -2.95
308 H Green Bay 8- 0 8 8 -0.50
309 H Green Bay 9- 0 9 8 0.50
311 H Indiana State 5- 2 3 7 - -3.90
313 H Ohio State 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.66
314 H Ohio State 6- 5 1 1 -0.34
315 H Ohio State 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.66
320 H Oregon 0- 6 -6 -1 -- -4.69
321 H Oregon 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.31
322 H Oregon 1- 2 -1 -1 0.31
325 H Valparaiso 10- 2 8 5 + 2.97
328 H Minnesota 13- 6 7 4 + 3.01
329 A Michigan 5-13 -8 -1 --- -6.95
403 H Wisconsin 0- 3 -3 1 -- -4.36
404 H Wisconsin 9-10 -1 1 - -2.36
405 H Wisconsin 4- 2 2 1 0.64
410 A Indiana 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.47
411 A Indiana 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.47
412 A Indiana 0- 9 -9 -3 --- -6.47
415 A Miami (OH) 8- 0 8 0 +++ 8.35
417 A Rutgers 12- 2 10 0 +++ 9.73
418 A Rutgers 13-11 2 0 1.73
418 A Rutgers 4- 3 1 0 0.73
421 H UIC 12- 2 10 6 + 3.56
421 H IUPUI 9- 1 8 9 -0.71
424 H Northwestern 7- 8 -1 0 -0.77
425 A Wisconsin 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.88
426 A Indiana 0-11 -11 -3 --- -8.47
501 A Iowa 7- 8 -1 1 -1.75
502 A Iowa 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.25
503 A Iowa 7- 5 2 1 1.25
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Georgia State 3- 7 -4 2 --- -6.31 329 A Michigan 5-13 -8 -1 --- -6.95 412 A Indiana 0- 9 -9 -3 --- -6.47 426 A Indiana 0-11 -11 -3 --- -8.47 208 A UIC 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.96 213 A Alabama 0-10 -10 -5 -- -4.57 220 H Charleston 5- 2 3 7 -- -4.31 320 H Oregon 0- 6 -6 -1 -- -4.69 403 H Wisconsin 0- 3 -3 1 -- -4.36 214 A Alabama 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.57 214 H Georgia Southern 8- 7 1 5 - -3.55 221 A Charleston 8- 6 2 6 - -3.83 306 H St. Bonaventure 5- 0 5 8 - -3.24 308 H Northern Illinois 5- 2 3 6 - -2.95 311 H Indiana State 5- 2 3 7 - -3.90 404 H Wisconsin 9-10 -1 1 - -2.36 425 A Wisconsin 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A UNLV 15- 1 14 2 +++ 11.80 415 A Miami (OH) 8- 0 8 0 +++ 8.35 417 A Rutgers 12- 2 10 0 +++ 9.73 207 H California Baptist 9- 3 6 2 ++ 4.02 227 A Southern Illinois 12- 2 10 5 ++ 5.36 228 A Lipscomb 12- 2 10 5 ++ 4.90 313 H Ohio State 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.66 315 H Ohio State 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.66 321 H Oregon 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.31 502 A Iowa 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.25 207 A UIC 9- 1 8 5 + 3.04 228 H Southern Illinois 10- 0 10 6 + 3.88 325 H Valparaiso 10- 2 8 5 + 2.97 328 H Minnesota 13- 6 7 4 + 3.01 421 H UIC 12- 2 10 6 + 3.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 9- 8 -6.69 12.68 0.74 0.48 12.77
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 9- 3 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.48 11.35
3 A UIC ( 4- 4, 88.7) 9- 1 -11.15 8.22 0.74 0.48 8.52
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 15- 1 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.48 11.15
3 A UIC ( 4- 4, 88.7) 4- 5 -11.15 8.22 0.74 0.48 -2.47
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 4- 0 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.48 10.33
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0-10 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.48 -0.01
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.48 -0.01
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 8- 7 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 0.48 8.91
3 H Charleston ( 2-13, 87.9) 5- 2 -12.02 7.35 -0.74 0.48 6.29
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 0- 2 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.48 -1.03
3 A Charleston ( 2-13, 87.9) 8- 6 -12.02 7.35 0.74 0.48 7.70
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 3- 7 -8.50 10.87 0.74 0.48 -1.84
3 A Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 12- 2 -10.83 8.54 0.74 0.48 8.83
3 A Lipscomb ( 1-10, 88.6) 6- 1 -11.29 8.08 0.74 0.48 8.39
3 A Lipscomb ( 1-10, 88.6) 12- 2 -11.29 8.08 0.74 0.48 8.39
3 H Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 10- 0 -10.83 8.54 -0.74 0.48 7.42
3 A Western Caroli ( 0- 6, 86.8) 8- 2 -13.08 6.29 0.74 0.48 6.69
3 A Western Caroli ( 0- 6, 86.8) 8- 2 -13.08 6.29 0.74 0.48 6.69
3 H St. Bonaventur ( 0- 6, 87.0) 5- 0 -12.94 6.43 -0.74 0.48 5.41
3 H Northern Illin ( 2- 7, 89.2) 8- 1 -10.66 8.71 -0.74 0.48 7.58
3 H Northern Illin ( 2- 7, 89.2) 5- 2 -10.66 8.71 -0.74 0.48 7.58
3 H Green Bay ( 0- 2, 86.7) 8- 0 -13.21 6.16 -0.74 0.48 5.16
3 H Green Bay ( 0- 2, 86.7) 9- 0 -13.21 6.16 -0.74 0.48 5.16
3 H Indiana State ( 1- 8, 88.3) 5- 2 -11.60 7.77 -0.74 0.48 6.68
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 12- 6 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.48 11.96
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 6- 5 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.48 11.96
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 12- 6 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.48 11.96
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 0- 6 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.48 -0.98
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 7- 4 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.48 14.48
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 1- 2 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.48 -0.98
3 H Valparaiso ( 2- 5, 90.2) 10- 2 -9.73 9.64 -0.74 0.48 8.46
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 1- 0 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.48 8.69
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 13- 6 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.48 9.44
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 5-13 -5.14 14.23 0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 0- 3 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.48 -1.62
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 9-10 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.48 -1.62
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 4- 2 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.48 11.94
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 1- 4 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.48 -0.70
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 1- 5 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.48 -0.70
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 0- 9 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.48 -0.70
3 A Miami (OH) ( 7- 7, 94.1) 8- 0 -5.85 13.52 0.74 0.48 13.57
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 12- 2 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.48 12.99
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 13-11 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.48 12.99
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 4- 3 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.48 12.99
3 H UIC ( 4- 4, 88.7) 12- 2 -11.15 8.22 -0.74 0.48 7.11
3 H IUPUI ( 0- 9, 86.5) 9- 1 -13.41 5.96 -0.74 0.48 4.96
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 7- 8 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.48 -1.24
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 4- 7 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.48 -1.27
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 0-11 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.48 -0.70
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 7- 8 -6.94 12.43 0.74 0.48 -1.47
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 6- 1 -6.94 12.43 0.74 0.48 12.53
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 7- 5 -6.94 12.43 0.74 0.48 12.53
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321.17
|
winning pts = 339.5470 losing points = -18.3769
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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