UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Sacramento Sta
  
Sacramento State      
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 90.8190

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 0- 7 213 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2- 4 220 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 4- 0 227 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 0- 2 228 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 6- 1 301 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 6-10 301 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 6-10 306 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 9- 7 306 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 6- 7 307 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 1- 2 310 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 1- 4 317 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 1- 4 317 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 1- 5 501 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 0- 9 505 A Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 7-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Colorado State          0- 7      -7     0    ---   -7.13
   213 A Grand Canyon            2- 4      -2    -6    +      3.59
   220 A San José State         4- 0       4     0    +      3.84
   227 H San José State         0- 2      -2     2    -     -3.65
   228 H San José State         6- 1       5     2    +      3.35
   301 H Nevada                  6-10      -4    -4          -0.11
   301 H Nevada                  6-10      -4    -4          -0.11
   306 A Nevada                  9- 7       2    -5    +++    7.37
   306 A Oregon                  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.42
   307 A Oregon                  1- 2      -1    -6    ++     5.42
   310 H Utah Valley             1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.24
   317 H Boise State             1- 4      -3    -1    -     -2.13
   317 H Boise State             1- 5      -4    -1    -     -3.13
   501 A Stanford                0- 9      -9    -6    -     -2.75
   505 A Idaho State             7-15      -8    -1    ---   -6.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Colorado State          0- 7      -7     0    ---   -7.13
   505 A Idaho State             7-15      -8    -1    ---   -6.74
   227 H San José State         0- 2      -2     2    -     -3.65
   310 H Utah Valley             1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.24
   317 H Boise State             1- 4      -3    -1    -     -2.13
   317 H Boise State             1- 5      -4    -1    -     -3.13
   501 A Stanford                0- 9      -9    -6    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Nevada                  9- 7       2    -5    +++    7.37
   306 A Oregon                  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.42
   307 A Oregon                  1- 2      -1    -6    ++     5.42
   213 A Grand Canyon            2- 4      -2    -6    +      3.59
   220 A San José State         4- 0       4     0    +      3.84
   228 H San José State         6- 1       5     2    +      3.35

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Colorado State  (25-27, 91.4)     0- 7       -8.47      10.90      -0.74         1.68            -7.74
   3 A Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     2- 4       -4.23      15.14       0.74         1.68            -2.93
   3 A San José Stat  (14-33, 89.9)     4- 0       -9.99       9.38       0.74         1.68            34.02
   3 H San José Stat  (14-33, 89.9)     0- 2       -9.99       9.38      -0.74         1.68            -9.01
   3 H San José Stat  (14-33, 89.9)     6- 1       -9.99       9.38      -0.74         1.68            29.03
   3 H Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     6-10       -4.45      14.92      -0.74         1.68            -4.37
   3 H Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     6-10       -4.45      14.92      -0.74         1.68            -4.37
   3 A Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     9- 7       -4.45      14.92       0.74         1.68            52.62
   3 A Oregon          (42-13, 96.5)     6- 7       -3.40      15.97       0.74         1.68            -2.23
   3 A Oregon          (42-13, 96.5)     1- 2       -3.40      15.97       0.74         1.68            -2.23
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     1- 4       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         1.68            -7.83
   3 H Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     1- 4       -7.47      11.90      -0.74         1.68            -6.90
   3 H Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     1- 5       -7.47      11.90      -0.74         1.68            -6.90
   3 A Stanford        (38-15, 96.3)     0- 9       -3.57      15.80       0.74         1.68            -2.38
   3 A Idaho State     ( 8-10, 91.3)     7-15       -8.57      10.80       0.74         1.68            -6.57
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        52.22

winning pts = 115.6787 losing points = -63.4550

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------