South Alabama
W-L: (29-27) PR = 92.3818Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 4- 3 206 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 2- 0 207 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 3-11 208 H North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 5- 0 208 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 5- 4 213 H Western Michigan MA ( 2- 8, 90.8) 5- 4 213 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 2- 3 214 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 4- 8 214 H Western Michigan MA ( 2- 8, 90.8) 8- 0 215 A Harvard IVY ( 0- 2, 90.0) 5- 1 217 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 2-10 218 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 2- 5 220 H West Georgia ASUN ( 1- 7, 89.4) 7- 6 221 H Loyola Chicago A10 ( 1-11, 87.9) 8- 0 221 H UT Martin OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 8- 3 222 H North Alabama ASUN ( 2- 5, 90.4) 5- 0 227 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 0- 8 228 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 0- 9 228 H UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 3- 0 301 A UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 6- 4 301 A UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 6- 4 303 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 4- 1 306 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 5- 0 306 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 1- 3 307 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 4- 1 307 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 1-16 308 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 2- 4 311 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 4- 8 313 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 3- 2 314 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 7- 0 315 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 5- 4 317 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 2-11 320 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2 321 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2 322 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 5- 1 325 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 3- 6 328 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 5- 3 328 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 6- 3 329 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 6- 1 402 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1- 5 403 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 3- 1 404 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 3- 6 407 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 410 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 3- 4 411 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 4- 0 412 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 7- 1 417 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 2- 5 418 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 2- 4 419 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 4- 2 424 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 5 425 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 2- 3 426 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 1 430 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 4- 4 502 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 1- 2 502 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 4- 3 515 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 0- 6 516 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 0- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Eastern Kentucky 4- 3 1 1 -0.44
206 H SE Louisiana 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.54
207 A Rutgers 3-11 -8 -2 --- -6.20
208 H North Carolina Central 5- 0 5 8 - -3.27
208 H Missouri 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.37
213 H Western Michigan 5- 4 1 2 -1.29
213 H UAB 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.65
214 H Jacksonville State 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.36
214 H Western Michigan 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.71
215 A Harvard 5- 1 4 2 + 2.37
217 A LSU 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.62
218 H McNeese 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.31
220 H West Georgia 7- 6 1 4 - -2.75
221 H Loyola Chicago 8- 0 8 5 + 2.80
221 H UT Martin 8- 3 5 6 -0.72
222 H North Alabama 5- 0 5 3 + 2.25
227 A Georgia 0- 8 -8 -6 -1.95
228 A Georgia 0- 9 -9 -6 - -2.95
228 H UNC Wilmington 3- 0 3 3 -0.24
301 A UNC Wilmington 6- 4 2 2 0.24
301 A UNC Wilmington 6- 4 2 2 0.24
303 H Nicholls 4- 1 3 1 + 2.25
306 H Samford 5- 0 5 3 + 2.26
306 H Mississippi State 1- 3 -2 -3 1.40
307 H Samford 4- 1 3 3 0.26
307 H New Mexico 1-16 -15 1 --- -14.93
308 H Mississippi State 2- 4 -2 -3 1.40
311 A Florida State 4- 8 -4 -6 1.84
313 H Troy 3- 2 1 0 0.63
314 H Troy 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.63
315 H Troy 5- 4 1 0 0.63
317 H Auburn 2-11 -9 -2 --- -7.37
320 A UL Monroe 1- 2 -1 -1 0.00
321 A UL Monroe 1- 2 -1 -1 0.00
322 A UL Monroe 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.00
325 A Auburn 3- 6 -3 -3 0.11
328 H Auburn 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.63
328 H Northwestern 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 5.30
329 A James Madison 6- 1 5 -1 +++ 6.09
402 H Texas State 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.52
403 H Texas State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.48
404 H Texas State 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.52
407 A Alabama 0- 8 -8 -7 -0.50
410 H Georgia State 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.72
411 H Georgia State 4- 0 4 2 + 2.28
412 H Georgia State 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.28
417 A Marshall 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.77
418 A Marshall 2- 4 -2 -2 0.23
419 A Marshall 4- 2 2 -2 ++ 4.23
424 A Southern Miss 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.98
425 A Southern Miss 2- 3 -1 0 -0.98
430 A Georgia Southern 4- 4 0 1 -1.00
502 H Louisiana 1- 2 -1 0 -0.91
502 H Louisiana 4- 3 1 0 1.09
515 A Virginia Tech 0- 6 -6 -5 -0.61
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Rutgers 3-11 -8 -2 --- -6.20 307 H New Mexico 1-16 -15 1 --- -14.93 317 H Auburn 2-11 -9 -2 --- -7.37 208 H North Carolina Central 5- 0 5 8 - -3.27 213 H UAB 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.65 214 H Jacksonville State 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.36 217 A LSU 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.62 218 H McNeese 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.31 220 H West Georgia 7- 6 1 4 - -2.75 228 A Georgia 0- 9 -9 -6 - -2.95 402 H Texas State 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.52 404 H Texas State 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.52 410 H Georgia State 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.72 424 A Southern Miss 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Troy 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.63 329 A James Madison 6- 1 5 -1 +++ 6.09 214 H Western Michigan 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.71 322 A UL Monroe 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.00 328 H Northwestern 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 5.30 412 H Georgia State 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.28 419 A Marshall 4- 2 2 -2 ++ 4.23 206 H SE Louisiana 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.54 208 H Missouri 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.37 215 A Harvard 5- 1 4 2 + 2.37 221 H Loyola Chicago 8- 0 8 5 + 2.80 222 H North Alabama 5- 0 5 3 + 2.25 303 H Nicholls 4- 1 3 1 + 2.25 306 H Samford 5- 0 5 3 + 2.26 328 H Auburn 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.63 403 H Texas State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.48 411 H Georgia State 4- 0 4 2 + 2.28 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 4- 3 -9.70 9.67 0.74 0.44 9.21
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 2- 0 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.44 10.96
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 3-11 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.44 -1.26
3 H North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 5- 0 -15.04 4.33 -0.74 0.44 3.17
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 5- 4 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.44 11.70
3 H Western Michig ( 2- 8, 90.8) 5- 4 -9.07 10.30 -0.74 0.44 8.45
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 2- 3 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.44 -2.03
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 4- 8 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.44 -1.30
3 H Western Michig ( 2- 8, 90.8) 8- 0 -9.07 10.30 -0.74 0.44 8.45
3 A Harvard ( 0- 2, 90.0) 5- 1 -9.89 9.48 0.74 0.44 9.04
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 2-10 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.44 -0.47
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 2- 5 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.44 -1.73
3 H West Georgia ( 1- 7, 89.4) 7- 6 -10.52 8.85 -0.74 0.44 7.17
3 H Loyola Chicago ( 1-11, 87.9) 8- 0 -11.98 7.39 -0.74 0.44 5.88
3 H UT Martin ( 0- 8, 87.4) 8- 3 -12.50 6.87 -0.74 0.44 5.42
3 H North Alabama ( 2- 5, 90.4) 5- 0 -9.53 9.84 -0.74 0.44 8.05
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 0- 8 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.44 -0.32
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 0- 9 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.44 -0.32
3 H UNC Wilmington ( 2-11, 89.9) 3- 0 -10.02 9.35 -0.74 0.44 7.61
3 A UNC Wilmington ( 2-11, 89.9) 6- 4 -10.02 9.35 0.74 0.44 8.93
3 A UNC Wilmington ( 2-11, 89.9) 6- 4 -10.02 9.35 0.74 0.44 8.93
3 H Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 4- 1 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.44 9.81
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 5- 0 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.44 8.05
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 1- 3 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.44 -0.91
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 4- 1 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.44 8.05
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 1-16 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.44 -1.87
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 2- 4 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.44 -0.91
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 4- 8 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.44 -0.37
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 3- 2 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.44 10.16
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 7- 0 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.44 10.16
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 5- 4 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.44 10.16
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 2-11 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.44 -1.30
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.44 -1.44
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.44 -1.44
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 5- 1 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.44 11.37
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 3- 6 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.44 -0.97
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 5- 3 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.44 11.92
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 6- 3 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.44 12.52
3 A James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 6- 1 -7.17 12.20 0.74 0.44 11.44
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 1- 5 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.44 -1.56
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 3- 1 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.44 10.91
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 3- 6 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.44 -1.56
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.44 -0.00
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 3- 4 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.44 -2.04
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 4- 0 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.44 8.96
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 7- 1 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.44 8.96
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 2- 5 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.44 -1.17
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 2- 4 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.44 -1.17
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 4- 2 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.44 12.45
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1- 5 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.44 -1.66
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 2- 3 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.44 -1.66
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0- 1 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.44 -0.22
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 4- 4 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.44 0.00
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 1- 2 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.44 -1.64
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 4- 3 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.44 10.56
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 0- 6 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.44 -0.47
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 0- 1 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.44 -2.21
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236.43
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winning pts = 268.4448 losing points = -32.0132
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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