Samford
W-L: ( 3-18) PR = 90.3802Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 6- 2 205 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 2 206 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 1- 9 206 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1-10 218 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 8-14 220 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 2- 6 228 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 0- 8 301 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 2-18 301 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 2-18 306 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 5 306 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 8- 2 307 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 1- 4 307 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 1- 9 308 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 3- 4 310 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 8 311 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 4 317 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 0- 5 331 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 7 407 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 2- 6 414 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 2 510 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 0- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H UConn 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.28
205 A Florida State 0- 2 -2 -8 ++ 5.84
206 A Iowa 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.68
206 A Marshall 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.77
218 A Georgia 8-14 -6 -8 + 2.06
220 A Mississippi State 2- 6 -4 -7 + 2.89
228 A Oregon 0- 8 -8 -7 -1.14
301 A Oregon 2-18 -16 -7 --- -7.14
301 A Oregon 2-18 -16 -7 --- -7.14
306 A South Alabama 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.26
306 A New Mexico 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 8.56
307 A South Alabama 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.26
307 H Mississippi State 1- 9 -8 -5 - -2.59
308 H New Mexico 3- 4 -1 -1 0.07
310 A Alabama 1- 8 -7 -9 + 2.50
311 A Jacksonville State 0- 4 -4 -5 1.13
317 H Troy 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.37
331 A UAB 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.17
407 A Ole Miss 2- 6 -4 -6 1.66
414 H Alabama 3- 2 1 -8 +++ 9.01
510 A UNC Greensboro 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Oregon 2-18 -16 -7 --- -7.14 301 A Oregon 2-18 -16 -7 --- -7.14 206 A Iowa 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.68 206 A Marshall 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.77 306 A South Alabama 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.26 307 H Mississippi State 1- 9 -8 -5 - -2.59 317 H Troy 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.37 331 A UAB 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.17 510 A UNC Greensboro 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A New Mexico 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 8.56 414 H Alabama 3- 2 1 -8 +++ 9.01 205 H UConn 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.28 205 A Florida State 0- 2 -2 -8 ++ 5.84 218 A Georgia 8-14 -6 -8 + 2.06 220 A Mississippi State 2- 6 -4 -7 + 2.89 310 A Alabama 1- 8 -7 -9 + 2.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 6- 2 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 1.20 24.31
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 2 -2.42 16.95 0.74 1.20 -1.01
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 1- 9 -6.94 12.43 0.74 1.20 -3.72
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 1-10 -6.03 13.34 0.74 1.20 -3.17
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 8-14 -2.21 17.16 0.74 1.20 -0.88
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 2- 6 -3.37 16.00 0.74 1.20 -1.58
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 0- 8 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.20 -1.59
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 2-18 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.20 -1.59
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 2-18 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.20 -1.59
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 0- 5 -7.52 11.85 0.74 1.20 -4.07
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 8- 2 -7.70 11.67 0.74 1.20 29.78
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 1- 4 -7.52 11.85 0.74 1.20 -4.07
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 1- 9 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 1.20 -2.47
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 3- 4 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 1.20 -5.07
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 8 -0.76 18.61 0.74 1.20 -0.01
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 0- 4 -5.13 14.24 0.74 1.20 -2.64
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 0- 5 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 1.20 -4.73
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 3- 7 -8.43 10.94 0.74 1.20 -4.61
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 2- 6 -4.60 14.77 0.74 1.20 -2.32
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 2 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 1.20 42.88
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 0- 4 -8.75 10.62 0.74 1.20 -4.81
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47.04
|
winning pts = 96.9741 losing points = -49.9313
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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