UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Sam Houston
  
Sam Houston           
W-L: (29-27) PR = 91.6413

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 11- 2 206 H Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 1- 7 207 H Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 10- 5 207 H South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 1- 2 208 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 6- 4 213 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 2- 1 213 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 5- 0 214 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 4- 8 214 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 11- 1 215 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 6-11 217 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 4- 9 219 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 7- 3 220 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 5- 0 220 H Austin Peay ASUN ( 0- 7, 87.4) 8- 2 221 H Austin Peay ASUN ( 0- 7, 87.4) 3- 2 221 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 3- 5, 89.5) 2- 3 225 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 3- 6 227 H Alabama State SWAC ( 1-11, 87.1) 6- 0 227 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 3-13 228 A Alabama State SWAC ( 1-11, 87.1) 9- 3 228 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 2-10 301 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 3- 2 301 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 3- 2 303 A Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 5-10 306 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 6- 0 307 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 13- 5 308 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 2- 3 310 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 4- 8 311 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 0- 1 313 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 1- 8 314 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 13- 5 315 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 3- 1 318 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 4- 1 320 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 13- 3 321 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 7 322 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 15- 2 324 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 3-18 327 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2- 1 328 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 6- 3 329 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 2- 1 402 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 9 402 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 6 403 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4- 7 407 A Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 7- 6 410 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 5- 0 411 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 1- 9 412 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 9- 1 417 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 6- 1 418 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 7- 4 419 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 6 424 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 1- 4 425 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 1- 9 426 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 3- 6 430 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 1- 5 502 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 6 502 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 3- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H South Dakota           11- 2       9     1    +++    8.31
   206 H Creighton               1- 7      -6     2    ---   -7.61
   207 H Creighton              10- 5       5     2    +      3.39
   207 H South Dakota            1- 2      -1     1          -1.69
   208 H Central Arkansas        6- 4       2     0           1.79
   213 H SIU Edwardsville        2- 1       1     5    -     -3.84
   213 H St. Thomas-Minnesota    5- 0       5    -4    +++    8.91
   214 A Eastern Illinois        4- 8      -4     1    --    -4.94
   214 A Georgia State          11- 1      10    -1    +++   10.50
   215 H Delaware                6-11      -5     1    --    -5.94
   217 H Lamar                   4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.75
   219 H Houston Christian       7- 3       4     4          -0.44
   220 H Houston Christian       5- 0       5     4           0.56
   220 H Austin Peay             8- 2       6     5           1.06
   221 H Austin Peay             3- 2       1     5    -     -3.94
   221 H Prairie View A&M        2- 3      -1     3    -     -3.87
   225 H Baylor                  3- 6      -3    -2          -1.16
   227 H Alabama State           6- 0       6     5           0.75
   227 A Oklahoma                3-13     -10    -9          -1.00
   228 A Alabama State           9- 3       6     4    +      2.23
   228 A Oklahoma                2-10      -8    -9           1.00
   301 H SE Louisiana            3- 2       1    -1    +      2.28
   301 H SE Louisiana            3- 2       1    -1    +      2.28
   303 A Lamar                   5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.27
   306 A UTEP                    6- 0       6     2    +      3.74
   307 A UTEP                   13- 5       8     2    ++     5.74
   308 A UTEP                    2- 3      -1     2    -     -3.26
   310 H Stephen F. Austin       4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.50
   313 H New Mexico State        1- 8      -7     0    ---   -7.47
   314 H New Mexico State       13- 5       8     0    +++    7.53
   315 H New Mexico State        3- 1       2     0           1.53
   318 H UTSA                    4- 1       3     2           0.97
   320 A Kennesaw State         13- 3      10     3    +++    7.09
   321 A Kennesaw State          5- 7      -2     3    --    -4.91
   322 A Kennesaw State         15- 2      13     3    +++   10.09
   324 A Texas A&M               3-18     -15    -6    ---   -8.12
   327 A Louisiana               2- 1       1    -2    +      3.32
   328 A Boise State             6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.53
   329 H Middle Tennessee        2- 1       1     2          -1.13
   402 A Western Kentucky        1- 9      -8    -3    --    -5.31
   402 A Western Kentucky        1- 6      -5    -3    -     -2.31
   403 A Western Kentucky        4- 7      -3    -3          -0.31
   407 A Stephen F. Austin       7- 6       1    -2    +      2.98
   410 H Missouri State          5- 0       5     2    +      3.41
   411 H Missouri State          1- 9      -8     2    ---   -9.59
   412 H Missouri State          9- 1       8     2    +++    6.41
   417 A Louisiana Tech          6- 1       5    -2    +++    6.89
   418 A Louisiana Tech          7- 4       3    -2    ++     4.89
   419 A Louisiana Tech          3- 6      -3    -2          -1.11
   424 A FIU                     1- 4      -3    -2          -1.26
   425 A FIU                     1- 9      -8    -2    ---   -6.26
   426 H UTEP                    3- 6      -3     4    ---   -6.75
   430 A FIU                     1- 5      -4    -2    -     -2.26
   502 H Jacksonville State      0- 6      -6    -2    -     -3.62
   502 H Jacksonville State      3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Creighton               1- 7      -6     2    ---   -7.61
   313 H New Mexico State        1- 8      -7     0    ---   -7.47
   324 A Texas A&M               3-18     -15    -6    ---   -8.12
   411 H Missouri State          1- 9      -8     2    ---   -9.59
   425 A FIU                     1- 9      -8    -2    ---   -6.26
   426 H UTEP                    3- 6      -3     4    ---   -6.75
   214 A Eastern Illinois        4- 8      -4     1    --    -4.94
   215 H Delaware                6-11      -5     1    --    -5.94
   217 H Lamar                   4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.75
   321 A Kennesaw State          5- 7      -2     3    --    -4.91
   402 A Western Kentucky        1- 9      -8    -3    --    -5.31
   213 H SIU Edwardsville        2- 1       1     5    -     -3.84
   221 H Austin Peay             3- 2       1     5    -     -3.94
   221 H Prairie View A&M        2- 3      -1     3    -     -3.87
   303 A Lamar                   5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.27
   308 A UTEP                    2- 3      -1     2    -     -3.26
   310 H Stephen F. Austin       4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.50
   402 A Western Kentucky        1- 6      -5    -3    -     -2.31
   430 A FIU                     1- 5      -4    -2    -     -2.26
   502 H Jacksonville State      0- 6      -6    -2    -     -3.62
   502 H Jacksonville State      3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H South Dakota           11- 2       9     1    +++    8.31
   213 H St. Thomas-Minnesota    5- 0       5    -4    +++    8.91
   214 A Georgia State          11- 1      10    -1    +++   10.50
   314 H New Mexico State       13- 5       8     0    +++    7.53
   320 A Kennesaw State         13- 3      10     3    +++    7.09
   322 A Kennesaw State         15- 2      13     3    +++   10.09
   412 H Missouri State          9- 1       8     2    +++    6.41
   417 A Louisiana Tech          6- 1       5    -2    +++    6.89
   307 A UTEP                   13- 5       8     2    ++     5.74
   328 A Boise State             6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.53
   418 A Louisiana Tech          7- 4       3    -2    ++     4.89
   207 H Creighton              10- 5       5     2    +      3.39
   228 A Alabama State           9- 3       6     4    +      2.23
   301 H SE Louisiana            3- 2       1    -1    +      2.28
   301 H SE Louisiana            3- 2       1    -1    +      2.28
   306 A UTEP                    6- 0       6     2    +      3.74
   327 A Louisiana               2- 1       1    -2    +      3.32
   407 A Stephen F. Austin       7- 6       1    -2    +      2.98
   410 H Missouri State          5- 0       5     2    +      3.41

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H South Dakota    ( 5-14, 91.7)    11- 2       -8.20      11.17      -0.74         0.45             9.38
   3 H Creighton       ( 4-12, 90.8)     1- 7       -9.13      10.24      -0.74         0.45            -2.22
   3 H Creighton       ( 4-12, 90.8)    10- 5       -9.13      10.24      -0.74         0.45             8.55
   3 H South Dakota    ( 5-14, 91.7)     1- 2       -8.20      11.17      -0.74         0.45            -2.01
   3 H Central Arkans  ( 7- 9, 92.2)     6- 4       -7.72      11.65      -0.74         0.45             9.82
   3 H SIU Edwardsvil  ( 2- 9, 87.5)     2- 1      -12.36       7.01      -0.74         0.45             5.65
   3 H St. Thomas-Min  (12- 7, 96.3)     5- 0       -3.61      15.76      -0.74         0.45            13.52
   3 A Eastern Illino  ( 3-13, 90.0)     4- 8       -9.94       9.43       0.74         0.45            -2.07
   3 A Georgia State   (24-31, 91.4)    11- 1       -8.50      10.87       0.74         0.45            10.45
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     6-11       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         0.45            -2.07
   3 H Lamar           (10- 7, 92.6)     4- 9       -7.27      12.10      -0.74         0.45            -1.80
   3 H Houston Christ  ( 2-13, 87.9)     7- 3      -11.96       7.41      -0.74         0.45             6.01
   3 H Houston Christ  ( 2-13, 87.9)     5- 0      -11.96       7.41      -0.74         0.45             6.01
   3 H Austin Peay     ( 0- 7, 87.4)     8- 2      -12.45       6.92      -0.74         0.45             5.56
   3 H Austin Peay     ( 0- 7, 87.4)     3- 2      -12.45       6.92      -0.74         0.45             5.56
   3 H Prairie View A  ( 3- 5, 89.5)     2- 3      -10.39       8.98      -0.74         0.45            -2.51
   3 H Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     3- 6       -5.67      13.70      -0.74         0.45            -1.44
   3 H Alabama State   ( 1-11, 87.1)     6- 0      -12.77       6.60      -0.74         0.45             5.27
   3 A Oklahoma        (51-11, 99.9)     3-13       -0.00      19.37       0.74         0.45            -0.17
   3 A Alabama State   ( 1-11, 87.1)     9- 3      -12.77       6.60       0.74         0.45             6.61
   3 A Oklahoma        (51-11, 99.9)     2-10       -0.00      19.37       0.74         0.45            -0.17
   3 H SE Louisiana    (12-15, 93.7)     3- 2       -6.23      13.14      -0.74         0.45            11.16
   3 H SE Louisiana    (12-15, 93.7)     3- 2       -6.23      13.14      -0.74         0.45            11.16
   3 A Lamar           (10- 7, 92.6)     5-10       -7.27      12.10       0.74         0.45            -1.47
   3 A UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)     6- 0      -11.26       8.11       0.74         0.45             7.97
   3 A UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)    13- 5      -11.26       8.11       0.74         0.45             7.97
   3 A UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)     2- 3      -11.26       8.11       0.74         0.45            -2.37
   3 H Stephen F. Aus  ( 6- 5, 92.9)     4- 8       -7.02      12.35      -0.74         0.45            -1.75
   3 A Texas State     (36-23, 93.6)     0- 1       -6.29      13.08       0.74         0.45            -1.25
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     1- 8       -7.98      11.39      -0.74         0.45            -1.96
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)    13- 5       -7.98      11.39      -0.74         0.45             9.58
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     3- 1       -7.98      11.39      -0.74         0.45             9.58
   3 H UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     4- 1       -9.55       9.82      -0.74         0.45             8.17
   3 A Kennesaw State  ( 9-43, 88.0)    13- 3      -11.91       7.46       0.74         0.45             7.38
   3 A Kennesaw State  ( 9-43, 88.0)     5- 7      -11.91       7.46       0.74         0.45            -2.51
   3 A Kennesaw State  ( 9-43, 88.0)    15- 2      -11.91       7.46       0.74         0.45             7.38
   3 A Texas A&M       (38-19, 96.8)     3-18       -3.12      16.25       0.74         0.45            -0.53
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     2- 1       -6.68      12.69       0.74         0.45            12.09
   3 A Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     6- 3       -7.47      11.90       0.74         0.45            11.38
   3 H Middle Tenness  (22-27, 90.2)     2- 1       -9.65       9.72      -0.74         0.45             8.08
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     1- 9       -6.31      13.06       0.74         0.45            -1.25
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     1- 6       -6.31      13.06       0.74         0.45            -1.25
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     4- 7       -6.31      13.06       0.74         0.45            -1.25
   3 A Stephen F. Aus  ( 6- 5, 92.9)     7- 6       -7.02      12.35       0.74         0.45            11.79
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     5- 0       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         0.45             8.57
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     1- 9       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         0.45            -2.22
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     9- 1       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         0.45             8.57
   3 A Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     6- 1       -7.11      12.26       0.74         0.45            11.70
   3 A Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     7- 4       -7.11      12.26       0.74         0.45            11.70
   3 A Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     3- 6       -7.11      12.26       0.74         0.45            -1.43
   3 A FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     1- 4       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.45            -1.47
   3 A FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     1- 9       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.45            -1.47
   3 H UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)     3- 6      -11.26       8.11      -0.74         0.45            -2.70
   3 A FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     1- 5       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.45            -1.47
   3 H Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     0- 6       -5.13      14.24      -0.74         0.45            -1.32
   3 H Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     3- 8       -5.13      14.24      -0.74         0.45            -1.32
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       213.16

winning pts = 256.6196 losing points = -43.4561

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------