UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick South Dakota S
  
South Dakota State    
W-L: ( 8-14) PR = 92.0429

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 2-10 211 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 12- 3 211 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 8- 5 213 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 7-12 214 A Colgate PAT ( 1- 8, 86.0) 11- 3 215 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 11- 3 227 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 3- 4 227 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 1- 8 228 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 3- 4 301 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 4-12 301 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 4-12 305 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 4- 9 305 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 0- 8 308 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 0- 8 313 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 1- 4 314 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 5- 4 314 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 4- 6 317 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 1- 3 411 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 3- 2 411 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 6- 0 412 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 1-10 412 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 7- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Baylor                  2-10      -8    -3    --    -5.08
   211 A Abilene Christian      12- 3       9     4    ++     5.44
   211 A Abilene Christian       8- 5       3     4          -0.56
   213 A Tarleton State          7-12      -5     0    --    -4.83
   214 A Colgate                11- 3       8     5    +      2.68
   215 A Utah Valley            11- 3       8     0    +++    8.02
   227 A Tulsa                   3- 4      -1    -1          -0.46
   227 H Nebraska                1- 8      -7    -6          -1.10
   228 A Tulsa                   3- 4      -1    -1          -0.46
   301 A Oklahoma State          4-12      -8    -6    -     -2.20
   301 A Oklahoma State          4-12      -8    -6    -     -2.20
   305 A Nebraska                4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.38
   305 A Nebraska                0- 8      -8    -7          -0.62
   308 A Colorado State          0- 8      -8     0    ---   -7.87
   313 A UT Arlington            1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.15
   314 A Minnesota               5- 4       1     0           0.90
   314 A UT Arlington            4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.15
   317 A Wichita State           1- 3      -2    -3           1.36
   411 A Iowa                    3- 2       1    -2    +      2.66
   411 A Georgia Tech            6- 0       6    -4    +++    9.53
   412 H Georgia Tech            1-10      -9    -2    ---   -6.95
   412 A Iowa                    7- 4       3    -2    ++     4.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Colorado State          0- 8      -8     0    ---   -7.87
   412 H Georgia Tech            1-10      -9    -2    ---   -6.95
   210 A Baylor                  2-10      -8    -3    --    -5.08
   213 A Tarleton State          7-12      -5     0    --    -4.83
   301 A Oklahoma State          4-12      -8    -6    -     -2.20
   301 A Oklahoma State          4-12      -8    -6    -     -2.20
   313 A UT Arlington            1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.15
   314 A UT Arlington            4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Utah Valley            11- 3       8     0    +++    8.02
   411 A Georgia Tech            6- 0       6    -4    +++    9.53
   211 A Abilene Christian      12- 3       9     4    ++     5.44
   412 A Iowa                    7- 4       3    -2    ++     4.66
   214 A Colgate                11- 3       8     5    +      2.68
   305 A Nebraska                4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.38
   411 A Iowa                    3- 2       1    -2    +      2.66

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     2-10       -5.67      13.70       0.74         1.15            -2.83
   3 A Abilene Christ  ( 8-41, 87.7)    12- 3      -12.16       7.21       0.74         1.15            18.22
   3 A Abilene Christ  ( 8-41, 87.7)     8- 5      -12.16       7.21       0.74         1.15            18.22
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     7-12       -8.43      10.94       0.74         1.15            -4.40
   3 A Colgate         ( 1- 8, 86.0)    11- 3      -13.92       5.45       0.74         1.15            14.19
   3 A Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)    11- 3       -8.58      10.79       0.74         1.15            26.43
   3 A Tulsa           (20-31, 91.8)     3- 4       -8.06      11.31       0.74         1.15            -4.19
   3 H Nebraska        (51-10, 98.7)     1- 8       -1.22      18.15      -0.74         1.15            -1.12
   3 A Tulsa           (20-31, 91.8)     3- 4       -8.06      11.31       0.74         1.15            -4.19
   3 A Oklahoma State  (41-17, 97.1)     4-12       -2.79      16.58       0.74         1.15            -1.18
   3 A Oklahoma State  (41-17, 97.1)     4-12       -2.79      16.58       0.74         1.15            -1.18
   3 A Nebraska        (51-10, 98.7)     4- 9       -1.22      18.15       0.74         1.15            -0.27
   3 A Nebraska        (51-10, 98.7)     0- 8       -1.22      18.15       0.74         1.15            -0.27
   3 A Colorado State  (25-27, 91.4)     0- 8       -8.47      10.90       0.74         1.15            -4.43
   3 A UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     1- 4       -8.75      10.62       0.74         1.15            -4.59
   3 A Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     5- 4       -8.70      10.67       0.74         1.15            26.15
   3 A UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     4- 6       -8.75      10.62       0.74         1.15            -4.59
   3 A Wichita State   (36-16, 94.7)     1- 3       -5.24      14.13       0.74         1.15            -2.58
   3 A Iowa            (27-26, 93.0)     3- 2       -6.94      12.43       0.74         1.15            30.18
   3 A Georgia Tech    (35-26, 94.8)     6- 0       -5.06      14.31       0.74         1.15            34.48
   3 H Georgia Tech    (35-26, 94.8)     1-10       -5.06      14.31      -0.74         1.15            -3.33
   3 A Iowa            (27-26, 93.0)     7- 4       -6.94      12.43       0.74         1.15            30.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       158.90

winning pts = 198.0365 losing points = -39.1390

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------