San Diego State
W-L: (25-23) PR = 92.2509Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 3- 2 206 H Loyola Chicago A10 ( 1-11, 87.9) 9- 1 207 H Miami (OH) MA ( 7- 7, 94.1) 1- 7 207 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 4- 3 212 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 4- 3 213 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 2-11 213 H North Dakota SM ( 4- 5, 91.6) 6- 0 214 H Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 8- 5 214 H Fordham A10 ( 0- 9, 89.7) 2- 1 215 H Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 10- 5 219 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 2-10 220 H UC Riverside BW ( 2-11, 89.5) 8- 0 220 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 5- 9 221 H Seattle U WC ( 2- 4, 93.0) 7- 6 221 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 5 226 A San Diego WC ( 2- 7, 88.8) 5- 0 227 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 2-16 227 A Cal State Northridge BW ( 3- 6, 88.7) 1- 3 228 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 3-11 228 A Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 10- 2 304 A Long Beach State BW ( 4- 8, 90.4) 13- 0 305 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 4- 5 307 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 3- 4 308 H Princeton IVY ( 2- 7, 90.6) 14- 6 311 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 8- 0 313 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 0- 2 314 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 2- 1 315 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 2- 0 320 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 3- 4 321 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 3- 6 322 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 13- 7 328 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 1 328 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 4- 3 329 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 10- 3 402 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 3- 4 403 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 9- 1 404 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 4- 5 408 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 4- 7 408 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 2-13 411 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 6- 1 417 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 3-12 418 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2-11 419 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 9- 1 424 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 4- 5 425 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 5- 5 426 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 5 430 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 2-11 501 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 3- 1 502 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 2- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Minnesota 3- 2 1 2 -0.79
206 H Loyola Chicago 9- 1 8 5 + 2.93
207 H Miami (OH) 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.94
207 H Kentucky 4- 3 1 -1 1.74
212 H Baylor 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.23
213 H Baylor 2-11 -9 -1 --- -7.77
213 H North Dakota 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.58
214 H Oregon State 8- 5 3 2 0.62
214 H Fordham 2- 1 1 3 - -2.24
215 H Oregon State 10- 5 5 2 + 2.62
219 A Oklahoma 2-10 -8 -8 0.39
220 H UC Riverside 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.47
220 H Saint Mary's 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.40
221 H Seattle U 7- 6 1 0 1.05
221 H Texas Tech 0- 5 -5 -6 1.25
226 A San Diego 5- 0 5 3 + 2.31
227 H Washington 2-16 -14 -4 --- -10.25
227 A Cal State Northridge 1- 3 -2 3 -- -4.78
228 A Washington 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.77
228 A Kansas City 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.12
304 A Long Beach State 13- 0 13 1 +++ 11.88
305 H Wisconsin 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.17
307 H Notre Dame 3- 4 -1 0 -1.00
308 H Princeton 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.61
311 H California Baptist 8- 0 8 0 +++ 8.22
313 H Colorado State 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.56
314 H Colorado State 2- 1 1 2 -0.56
315 H Colorado State 2- 0 2 2 0.44
320 A UNLV 3- 4 -1 0 -1.00
321 A UNLV 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.00
322 A UNLV 13- 7 6 0 ++ 6.00
328 H Kennesaw State 5- 1 4 5 -1.00
328 H Troy 4- 3 1 0 0.76
329 A New Mexico 10- 3 7 -1 +++ 7.69
402 H Utah State 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.59
403 H Utah State 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.41
404 H Utah State 4- 5 -1 4 -- -4.59
408 H Nevada 4- 7 -3 -2 -0.55
408 H Nevada 2-13 -11 -2 --- -8.55
411 A San José State 6- 1 5 2 + 3.40
417 H Grand Canyon 3-12 -9 -3 --- -6.32
418 H Grand Canyon 2-11 -9 -3 --- -6.32
419 H Grand Canyon 9- 1 8 -3 +++ 10.68
424 H Boise State 4- 5 -1 1 -1.56
425 A BYU 5- 5 0 0 -0.09
426 A Stanford 2- 5 -3 -5 1.82
430 H Boise State 2-11 -9 1 --- -9.56
501 A Fresno State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.09
502 A Fresno State 2- 4 -2 0 -1.91
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Baylor 2-11 -9 -1 --- -7.77 227 H Washington 2-16 -14 -4 --- -10.25 408 H Nevada 2-13 -11 -2 --- -8.55 417 H Grand Canyon 3-12 -9 -3 --- -6.32 418 H Grand Canyon 2-11 -9 -3 --- -6.32 430 H Boise State 2-11 -9 1 --- -9.56 207 H Miami (OH) 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.94 220 H Saint Mary's 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.40 227 A Cal State Northridge 1- 3 -2 3 -- -4.78 402 H Utah State 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.59 404 H Utah State 4- 5 -1 4 -- -4.59 214 H Fordham 2- 1 1 3 - -2.24 228 A Washington 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.77 313 H Colorado State 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.56 321 A UNLV 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Long Beach State 13- 0 13 1 +++ 11.88 311 H California Baptist 8- 0 8 0 +++ 8.22 329 A New Mexico 10- 3 7 -1 +++ 7.69 419 H Grand Canyon 9- 1 8 -3 +++ 10.68 213 H North Dakota 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.58 220 H UC Riverside 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.47 228 A Kansas City 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.12 308 H Princeton 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.61 322 A UNLV 13- 7 6 0 ++ 6.00 403 H Utah State 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.41 206 H Loyola Chicago 9- 1 8 5 + 2.93 212 H Baylor 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.23 215 H Oregon State 10- 5 5 2 + 2.62 226 A San Diego 5- 0 5 3 + 2.31 411 A San José State 6- 1 5 2 + 3.40 501 A Fresno State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.09 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 3- 2 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.51 10.22
3 H Loyola Chicago ( 1-11, 87.9) 9- 1 -11.98 7.39 -0.74 0.51 6.84
3 H Miami (OH) ( 7- 7, 94.1) 1- 7 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.51 -1.69
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 4- 3 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.51 12.81
3 H Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 4- 3 -5.67 13.70 -0.74 0.51 13.33
3 H Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 2-11 -5.67 13.70 -0.74 0.51 -1.65
3 H North Dakota ( 4- 5, 91.6) 6- 0 -8.33 11.04 -0.74 0.51 10.59
3 H Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 8- 5 -9.29 10.08 -0.74 0.51 9.60
3 H Fordham ( 0- 9, 89.7) 2- 1 -10.15 9.22 -0.74 0.51 8.72
3 H Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 10- 5 -9.29 10.08 -0.74 0.51 9.60
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 2-10 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.51 -0.19
3 H UC Riverside ( 2-11, 89.5) 8- 0 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.51 8.42
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 5- 9 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.51 -2.07
3 H Seattle U ( 2- 4, 93.0) 7- 6 -6.86 12.51 -0.74 0.51 12.11
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 5 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.51 -0.36
3 A San Diego ( 2- 7, 88.8) 5- 0 -11.09 8.28 0.74 0.51 9.29
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 2-16 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.51 -1.00
3 A Cal State Nort ( 3- 6, 88.7) 1- 3 -11.17 8.20 0.74 0.51 -2.68
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 3-11 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.51 -0.62
3 A Kansas City ( 2- 8, 88.6) 10- 2 -11.27 8.10 0.74 0.51 9.10
3 A Long Beach Sta ( 4- 8, 90.4) 13- 0 -9.51 9.86 0.74 0.51 10.90
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 4- 5 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.51 -1.75
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 3- 4 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.51 -1.97
3 H Princeton ( 2- 7, 90.6) 14- 6 -9.30 10.07 -0.74 0.51 9.60
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 8- 0 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.51 12.28
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 0- 2 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.51 -2.37
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 2- 1 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.51 10.45
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 2- 0 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.51 10.45
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 3- 4 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.51 -1.97
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 3- 6 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.51 -1.97
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 13- 7 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.51 12.06
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 1 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.51 6.91
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 4- 3 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.51 11.81
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 10- 3 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.51 12.76
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 3- 4 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.51 -2.89
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 9- 1 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.51 8.36
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 4- 5 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.51 -2.89
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 4- 7 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.51 -1.34
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 2-13 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.51 -1.34
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 6- 1 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.51 10.42
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 3-12 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.51 -1.28
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 2-11 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.51 -1.28
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 9- 1 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.51 14.81
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 4- 5 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.51 -2.11
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 5- 5 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.51 0.00
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 5 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.51 -0.73
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 2-11 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.51 -2.11
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 3- 1 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.51 12.15
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 2- 4 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.51 -1.94
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225.39
|
winning pts = 263.5963 losing points = -38.2022
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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