SE Louisiana
W-L: (12-15) PR = 93.6671Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 3- 5 206 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 2 207 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 4- 3 207 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 10- 1 208 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 4- 2 211 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 1- 6 213 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 3- 2 213 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 4- 3 225 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 2- 7 226 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 1- 2 227 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 0- 1 227 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 4- 0 228 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1- 4 301 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 2- 3 301 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1- 9 301 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 2- 3 301 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1- 9 305 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 5- 0 311 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 11- 3 324 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 0 408 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 5- 4 430 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 8- 0 502 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 1- 2 502 H Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 6- 4 503 A Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 1- 2 515 H Belmont MV ( 5- 5, 93.3) 0- 2 516 A USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Clemson 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.49
206 A South Alabama 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.54
207 A Rutgers 4- 3 1 -1 1.52
207 A Boston College 10- 1 9 3 +++ 6.48
208 A Oregon 4- 2 2 -4 ++ 5.58
211 H Louisiana Tech 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.62
213 H Georgia State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.01
213 H New Mexico 4- 3 1 2 -1.21
225 A Texas 2- 7 -5 -6 1.03
226 A UTSA 1- 2 -1 3 - -3.57
227 A Texas State 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.68
228 A Texas State 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.32
301 A Sam Houston 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.28
301 A Oklahoma 1- 9 -8 -7 -1.02
301 A Sam Houston 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.28
301 A Oklahoma 1- 9 -8 -7 -1.02
305 A UT Arlington 5- 0 5 2 + 3.22
311 H Southern Miss 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.25
324 A UL Monroe 3- 0 3 0 + 2.71
408 A Southern Miss 5- 4 1 1 -0.26
430 A Auburn 8- 0 8 -2 +++ 9.83
502 H Lamar 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.78
502 H Incarnate Word 6- 4 2 4 - -2.19
503 A Lamar 1- 2 -1 0 -1.29
515 H Belmont 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.11
516 A USC Upstate 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Louisiana Tech 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.62 205 H Clemson 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.49 206 A South Alabama 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.54 213 H Georgia State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.01 226 A UTSA 1- 2 -1 3 - -3.57 228 A Texas State 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.32 301 A Sam Houston 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.28 301 A Sam Houston 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.28 502 H Lamar 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.78 502 H Incarnate Word 6- 4 2 4 - -2.19 515 H Belmont 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.11 516 A USC Upstate 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Boston College 10- 1 9 3 +++ 6.48 430 A Auburn 8- 0 8 -2 +++ 9.83 208 A Oregon 4- 2 2 -4 ++ 5.58 227 A Texas State 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.68 311 H Southern Miss 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.25 305 A UT Arlington 5- 0 5 2 + 3.22 324 A UL Monroe 3- 0 3 0 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 3- 5 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.93 -3.14
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 0- 2 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.93 -3.16
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 4- 3 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.93 25.49
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 10- 1 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.93 19.83
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 4- 2 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.93 31.20
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 1- 6 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.93 -3.67
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 3- 2 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.93 18.91
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 4- 3 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.93 20.39
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 2- 7 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.93 -0.09
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 1- 2 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.93 -4.11
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 0- 1 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.93 -2.59
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 4- 0 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.93 25.80
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 1- 4 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.93 -2.59
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 2- 3 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.93 -3.51
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1- 9 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.93 -0.35
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 2- 3 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.93 -3.51
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1- 9 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.93 -0.35
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 5- 0 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.93 21.21
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 11- 3 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.93 19.40
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 3- 0 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.93 23.99
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 5- 4 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.93 22.17
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 8- 0 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.93 27.94
3 H Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 1- 2 -7.27 12.10 -0.74 0.93 -3.74
3 H Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 6- 4 -9.68 9.69 -0.74 0.93 16.71
3 A Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 1- 2 -7.27 12.10 0.74 0.93 -3.05
3 H Belmont ( 5- 5, 93.3) 0- 2 -6.60 12.77 -0.74 0.93 -3.43
3 A USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 4- 5 -9.27 10.10 0.74 0.93 -3.98
------
231.79
|
winning pts = 273.0465 losing points = -41.2538
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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