UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Saint Francis
  
Saint Francis         
W-L: ( 0-11) PR = 86.7434

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 4- 5 213 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 3- 6 214 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0- 4 227 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 0- 8 227 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 2-10 228 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 6- 9 301 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 9-11 301 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 9-11 304 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 0- 7 305 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 0-11 421 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 0-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Utah State              4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.40
   213 A California Baptist      3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.21
   214 A California Baptist      0- 4      -4    -7    +      3.21
   227 H UT Arlington            0- 8      -8    -4    --    -4.34
   227 A New Mexico State        2-10      -8    -6    -     -2.09
   228 A UTSA                    6- 9      -3    -4           1.35
   301 A UTSA                    9-11      -2    -4    +      2.35
   301 A UTSA                    9-11      -2    -4    +      2.35
   304 A Texas State             0- 7      -7    -8           0.61
   305 H Tarleton State          0-11     -11    -4    ---   -7.01
   421 A Penn State              0-12     -12    -9    -     -3.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Tarleton State          0-11     -11    -4    ---   -7.01
   227 H UT Arlington            0- 8      -8    -4    --    -4.34
   227 A New Mexico State        2-10      -8    -6    -     -2.09
   421 A Penn State              0-12     -12    -9    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A California Baptist      3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.21
   213 A Utah State              4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.40
   214 A California Baptist      0- 4      -4    -7    +      3.21
   301 A UTSA                    9-11      -2    -4    +      2.35
   301 A UTSA                    9-11      -2    -4    +      2.35

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Utah State      (22-32, 89.4)     4- 5      -10.50       8.87       0.74         2.29           -11.18
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     3- 6       -6.69      12.68       0.74         2.29            -6.81
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     0- 4       -6.69      12.68       0.74         2.29            -6.81
   3 H UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     0- 8       -8.75      10.62      -0.74         2.29           -10.88
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     2-10       -7.98      11.39       0.74         2.29            -8.30
   3 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     6- 9       -9.55       9.82       0.74         2.29           -10.09
   3 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     9-11       -9.55       9.82       0.74         2.29           -10.09
   3 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     9-11       -9.55       9.82       0.74         2.29           -10.09
   3 A Texas State     (36-23, 93.6)     0- 7       -6.29      13.08       0.74         2.29            -6.36
   3 H Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     0-11       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         2.29           -10.50
   3 A Penn State      (32-22, 95.0)     0-12       -4.94      14.43       0.74         2.29            -4.81
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -95.92

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -95.9174

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------