Stetson
W-L: ( 1-13) PR = 91.5043Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 3- 4 218 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 5- 8 227 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 1-10 228 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 1- 4 304 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 4-12 306 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 2- 4 307 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 4- 5 311 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 1- 9 325 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 2- 3 401 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 2- 8 415 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 3- 5 515 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 8- 3 516 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 1-10 516 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 3-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 A South Florida 3- 4 -1 -3 1.68
218 A South Florida 5- 8 -3 -3 -0.32
227 A Oregon 1-10 -9 -6 - -3.26
228 A Oregon 1- 4 -3 -6 + 2.74
304 A North Carolina 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.97
306 A NC State 2- 4 -2 -2 0.01
307 H Michigan State 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.66
311 H Baylor 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.02
325 A Florida 2- 3 -1 -7 ++ 5.93
401 H Florida 2- 8 -6 -5 -0.56
415 A UCF 3- 5 -2 -5 + 3.49
515 A Florida State 8- 3 5 -7 +++ 11.71
516 H UCF 1-10 -9 -4 -- -5.00
516 H Florida State 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Baylor 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.02 304 A North Carolina 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.97 516 H UCF 1-10 -9 -4 -- -5.00 227 A Oregon 1-10 -9 -6 - -3.26 307 H Michigan State 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.66 516 H Florida State 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.77 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Florida State 8- 3 5 -7 +++ 11.71 325 A Florida 2- 3 -1 -7 ++ 5.93 228 A Oregon 1- 4 -3 -6 + 2.74 415 A UCF 3- 5 -2 -5 + 3.49 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 3- 4 -6.46 12.91 0.74 1.80 -5.14
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 5- 8 -6.46 12.91 0.74 1.80 -5.14
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 1-10 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.80 -2.39
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 1- 4 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.80 -2.39
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 4-12 -6.11 13.26 0.74 1.80 -4.83
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 2- 4 -7.13 12.24 0.74 1.80 -5.75
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 4- 5 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 1.80 -9.05
3 H Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 1- 9 -5.67 13.70 -0.74 1.80 -5.78
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.21 17.16 0.74 1.80 -1.32
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 2- 8 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 1.80 -2.66
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 3- 5 -3.65 15.72 0.74 1.80 -2.62
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 8- 3 -2.42 16.95 0.74 1.80 63.69
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 1-10 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 1.80 -3.95
3 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 3-11 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 1.80 -2.85
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9.81
|
winning pts = 63.6872 losing points = -53.8816
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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