Southern
W-L: ( 2- 3) PR = 87.3115Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 1-11 208 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 0-10 222 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 9 226 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 10- 4 505 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 1- 8, 86.9) 10- 1
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Middle Tennessee 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.81
208 A Troy 0-10 -10 -6 - -3.81
222 H North Texas 1- 9 -8 -4 - -3.60
226 H Memphis 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 7.41
505 H Bethune-Cookman 10- 1 9 1 +++ 7.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Middle Tennessee 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.81 208 A Troy 0-10 -10 -6 - -3.81 222 H North Texas 1- 9 -8 -4 - -3.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Memphis 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 7.41 505 H Bethune-Cookman 10- 1 9 1 +++ 7.81 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 1-11 -9.65 9.72 -0.74 5.04 -26.20
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 0-10 -7.14 12.23 0.74 5.04 -16.13
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 1- 9 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 5.04 -20.63
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 10- 4 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 5.04 82.54
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 1- 8, 86.9) 10- 1 -13.04 6.33 -0.74 5.04 56.36
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75.94
|
winning pts = 138.9029 losing points = -62.9615
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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