Stanford 
W-L: (38-15) PR = 96.3306
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
205 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 4- 2
206 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 7- 3
207 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 10- 0
207 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 16- 4
208 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 7- 2
212 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 7-11
213 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 7- 1
214 H Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 7- 1
215 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 5- 2
220 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 3- 4
221 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 1- 4
221 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 4- 5
222 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 3- 2
227 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 3- 8
228 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 10- 8
301 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 8- 9
301 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 8- 9
306 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 8- 2
307 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 5- 1
308 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 9- 2
313 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 7- 2
314 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 4- 8
315 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 4- 7
320 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 9- 2
321 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 6- 2
322 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 15-12
325 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 7- 2
327 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 4- 3
328 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 11- 3
329 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 14-17
402 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 3- 6
403 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 6- 1
404 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 8- 4
404 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 1- 5
407 A UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 6- 0
410 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 9- 8
411 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 7- 2
412 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 6- 5
415 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 11- 1
417 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 11- 4
418 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 6- 2
419 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 3- 1
422 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 3- 1
424 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 17- 1
425 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 9- 5
426 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 5- 2
430 A Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 4- 4
501 H Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 9- 0
507 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 6- 5
508 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 9
515 H Princeton IVY ( 2- 7, 90.6) 8- 2
516 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 2- 7
516 A Princeton IVY ( 2- 7, 90.6) 13- 5
517 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 5-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Oklahoma State 4- 2 2 0 + 2.03
206 H San José State 7- 3 4 7 - -3.16
207 H Oklahoma State 10- 0 10 0 +++ 10.03
207 H San José State 16- 4 12 7 ++ 4.84
208 H California 7- 2 5 6 -0.74
212 H Kentucky 7-11 -4 3 --- -7.34
213 H Kentucky 7- 1 6 3 + 2.66
214 H Cal State Fullerton 7- 1 6 2 + 3.75
215 A Texas Tech 5- 2 3 -4 +++ 6.65
220 H Texas 3- 4 -1 -2 0.88
221 H Arizona 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.00
221 H Boise State 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.64
222 H Boise State 3- 2 1 5 - -3.64
227 A Louisville 3- 8 -5 0 -- -5.04
228 A Louisville 10- 8 2 0 1.96
301 A Louisville 8- 9 -1 0 -1.04
301 A Louisville 8- 9 -1 0 -1.04
306 H Pittsburgh 8- 2 6 6 -0.36
307 H Pittsburgh 5- 1 4 6 - -2.36
308 H Pittsburgh 9- 2 7 6 0.64
313 H Notre Dame 7- 2 5 4 0.92
314 H Notre Dame 4- 8 -4 4 --- -8.08
315 H Notre Dame 4- 7 -3 4 --- -7.08
320 A North Carolina 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.20
321 A North Carolina 6- 2 4 2 + 2.20
322 A North Carolina 15-12 3 2 1.20
325 A East Carolina 7- 2 5 4 0.69
327 H Arizona State 4- 3 1 1 0.38
328 H South Florida 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.37
329 A Duke 14-17 -3 -1 -1.97
402 H Washington 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.33
403 H Saint Mary's 6- 1 5 4 0.52
404 H Washington 8- 4 4 0 + 3.67
404 H Saint Mary's 1- 5 -4 4 --- -8.48
407 A UC Davis 6- 0 6 4 1.86
410 H Florida State 9- 8 1 0 1.40
411 H Florida State 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.40
412 H Florida State 6- 5 1 0 1.40
415 A Fresno State 11- 1 10 4 +++ 6.01
417 H NC State 11- 4 7 4 + 2.70
418 H NC State 6- 2 4 4 -0.30
419 H NC State 3- 1 2 4 - -2.30
422 A Santa Clara 3- 1 2 5 - -3.28
424 A California 17- 1 16 4 +++ 9.74
425 H Arizona State 9- 5 4 1 + 3.38
426 H San Diego State 5- 2 3 5 -1.82
430 A Stephen F. Austin 4- 4 0 3 - -2.71
501 H Sacramento State 9- 0 9 6 + 2.75
507 H Louisville 6- 5 1 2 -0.52
508 A Florida State 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -7.11
515 H Princeton 8- 2 6 6 -0.47
516 A Oklahoma State 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.48
516 A Princeton 13- 5 8 5 + 3.01
517 H Oklahoma State 5-11 -6 0 -- -5.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
212 H Kentucky 7-11 -4 3 --- -7.34
314 H Notre Dame 4- 8 -4 4 --- -8.08
315 H Notre Dame 4- 7 -3 4 --- -7.08
404 H Saint Mary's 1- 5 -4 4 --- -8.48
508 A Florida State 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -7.11
221 H Boise State 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.64
227 A Louisville 3- 8 -5 0 -- -5.04
517 H Oklahoma State 5-11 -6 0 -- -5.97
206 H San José State 7- 3 4 7 - -3.16
221 H Arizona 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.00
222 H Boise State 3- 2 1 5 - -3.64
307 H Pittsburgh 5- 1 4 6 - -2.36
402 H Washington 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.33
419 H NC State 3- 1 2 4 - -2.30
422 A Santa Clara 3- 1 2 5 - -3.28
430 A Stephen F. Austin 4- 4 0 3 - -2.71
516 A Oklahoma State 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.48
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Oklahoma State 10- 0 10 0 +++ 10.03
215 A Texas Tech 5- 2 3 -4 +++ 6.65
415 A Fresno State 11- 1 10 4 +++ 6.01
424 A California 17- 1 16 4 +++ 9.74
207 H San José State 16- 4 12 7 ++ 4.84
320 A North Carolina 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.20
328 H South Florida 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.37
411 H Florida State 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.40
205 H Oklahoma State 4- 2 2 0 + 2.03
213 H Kentucky 7- 1 6 3 + 2.66
214 H Cal State Fullerton 7- 1 6 2 + 3.75
321 A North Carolina 6- 2 4 2 + 2.20
404 H Washington 8- 4 4 0 + 3.67
417 H NC State 11- 4 7 4 + 2.70
425 H Arizona State 9- 5 4 1 + 3.38
501 H Sacramento State 9- 0 9 6 + 2.75
516 A Princeton 13- 5 8 5 + 3.01
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 4- 2 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.47 14.78
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 7- 3 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.47 8.07
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 10- 0 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.47 14.78
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 16- 4 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.47 8.07
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 7- 2 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.47 9.39
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 7-11 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.47 -1.61
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 7- 1 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.47 11.63
3 H Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 7- 1 -5.08 14.29 -0.74 0.47 12.65
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 5- 2 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.47 18.16
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 3- 4 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.47 -0.39
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 1- 4 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.47 -0.83
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 4- 5 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.47 -1.92
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 3- 2 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.47 10.42
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 3- 8 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.47 -0.84
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 10- 8 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.47 14.72
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 8- 9 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.47 -0.84
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 8- 9 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.47 -0.84
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 8- 2 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.47 8.81
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 5- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.47 8.81
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 9- 2 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.47 8.81
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 7- 2 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.47 10.94
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 4- 8 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.47 -1.79
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 4- 7 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.47 -1.79
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 9- 2 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.47 13.07
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 6- 2 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.47 13.07
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 15-12 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.47 13.07
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 7- 2 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.47 10.73
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 4- 3 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.47 14.17
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 11- 3 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.47 11.36
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 14-17 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.47 -0.59
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 3- 6 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.47 -0.91
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 6- 1 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.47 10.57
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 8- 4 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.47 14.44
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 1- 5 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.47 -1.88
3 A UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 6- 0 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.47 10.89
3 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 9- 8 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 0.47 15.13
3 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 7- 2 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 0.47 15.13
3 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 6- 5 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 0.47 15.13
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 11- 1 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.47 11.02
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 11- 4 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.47 10.74
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 6- 2 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.47 10.74
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 3- 1 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.47 10.74
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 3- 1 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.47 9.82
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 17- 1 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.47 10.78
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 9- 5 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.47 14.17
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 5- 2 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.47 10.25
3 H Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 9- 0 -9.08 10.29 -0.74 0.47 8.91
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 6- 5 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.47 13.33
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 9 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.47 -0.39
3 H Princeton ( 2- 7, 90.6) 8- 2 -9.30 10.07 -0.74 0.47 8.71
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 2- 7 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.47 -0.48
3 A Princeton ( 2- 7, 90.6) 13- 5 -9.30 10.07 0.74 0.47 10.09
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 5-11 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.47 -0.83
------
430.13
|
winning pts = 446.0641 losing points = -15.9297
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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