St. Thomas-Minnesota
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 96.2928Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 6- 1 206 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0 207 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 15- 8 208 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 15- 2 213 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 0- 5 214 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 8- 2 220 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 8- 3 227 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 2 228 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 2- 1 301 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 7 301 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 7 306 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 11- 3 307 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 4- 1 324 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 1- 4 324 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 3- 4 401 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 7- 2 421 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 3- 4 428 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 5- 4 428 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 8- 0
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Utah Valley 6- 1 5 4 0.77
206 A UTEP 8- 0 8 7 1.09
207 A New Mexico State 15- 8 7 4 + 3.37
208 A New Mexico State 15- 2 13 4 +++ 9.37
213 A Sam Houston 0- 5 -5 4 --- -8.91
214 H Louisiana Tech 8- 2 6 4 1.75
220 A North Texas 8- 3 5 3 1.91
227 A Alabama 0- 2 -2 -4 1.59
228 A South Florida 2- 1 1 2 -1.11
301 A Alabama 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.41
301 A Alabama 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.41
306 A California Baptist 11- 3 8 2 ++ 5.66
307 A Boise State 4- 1 3 3 -0.12
324 A Iowa 1- 4 -3 3 -- -5.59
324 A Iowa 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.59
401 H Minnesota 7- 2 5 6 -0.83
421 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.72
428 H Tennessee 5- 4 1 0 0.88
428 H Liberty 8- 0 8 5 + 3.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Sam Houston 0- 5 -5 4 --- -8.91 324 A Iowa 1- 4 -3 3 -- -5.59 301 A Alabama 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.41 301 A Alabama 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.41 324 A Iowa 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.59 421 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A New Mexico State 15- 2 13 4 +++ 9.37 306 A California Baptist 11- 3 8 2 ++ 5.66 207 A New Mexico State 15- 8 7 4 + 3.37 428 H Liberty 8- 0 8 5 + 3.33 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 6- 1 -8.58 10.79 0.74 1.33 30.60
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0 -11.26 8.11 0.74 1.33 23.48
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 15- 8 -7.98 11.39 0.74 1.33 32.18
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 15- 2 -7.98 11.39 0.74 1.33 32.18
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 0- 5 -8.26 11.11 0.74 1.33 -4.99
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 8- 2 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 1.33 30.55
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 8- 3 -7.44 11.93 0.74 1.33 33.61
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 2 -0.76 18.61 0.74 1.33 -0.01
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 2- 1 -6.46 12.91 0.74 1.33 36.23
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 7 -0.76 18.61 0.74 1.33 -0.01
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 7 -0.76 18.61 0.74 1.33 -0.01
3 A California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 11- 3 -6.69 12.68 0.74 1.33 35.61
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 4- 1 -7.47 11.90 0.74 1.33 33.55
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 1- 4 -6.94 12.43 0.74 1.33 -4.11
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 3- 4 -6.94 12.43 0.74 1.33 -4.11
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 7- 2 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 1.33 26.34
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 3- 4 -6.07 13.30 0.74 1.33 -3.54
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 5- 4 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 1.33 41.50
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 8- 0 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 1.33 29.44
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368.48
|
winning pts = 385.2621 losing points = -16.7870
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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