UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Southern Utah
  
Southern Utah         
W-L: (22-27) PR = 90.7100

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8 205 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8 206 H Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 3- 8 206 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2-17 207 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 3- 4 207 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 3 208 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 3 213 H Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 0- 9 213 A San Diego WC ( 2- 7, 88.8) 8- 6 214 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 8- 7 215 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 8- 6 220 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 8- 1 220 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 10-11 221 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 1- 3 221 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 6- 5 222 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 3- 5 227 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 1- 2 228 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0- 4 301 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 1 301 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 2 301 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 1 301 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 2 304 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0-18 306 H Maine AE ( 0- 2, 80.7) 10- 1 306 A Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 6- 9 307 A Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 1- 2 307 A Maine AE ( 0- 2, 80.7) 11- 0 313 A Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 7- 4 313 A Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 3- 1 314 H Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 3- 2 314 A Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 2- 3 320 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0- 2 320 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 6- 3 321 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 3- 7 327 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 0- 5 327 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5- 8 328 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 12- 3 410 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 3-10 410 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 1- 7 411 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 2- 8 417 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 3 417 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 7- 6 418 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 5- 3 424 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 4- 6 424 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 5- 6 425 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 7-11 501 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 7-10 501 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 5- 3 502 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 1- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 A Arizona                 0- 8      -8    -7          -0.90
   205 A Arizona                 0- 8      -8    -7          -0.90
   206 H Santa Clara             3- 8      -5     1    ---   -6.14
   206 A Grand Canyon            2-17     -15    -6    ---   -8.30
   207 A Grand Canyon            3- 4      -1    -6    ++     4.70
   207 H Weber State             6- 3       3     3          -0.50
   208 A Weber State             6- 3       3     2           0.99
   213 H Omaha                   0- 9      -9    -4    --    -4.68
   213 A San Diego               8- 6       2     1           0.85
   214 A Boise State             8- 7       1    -2    +      3.46
   215 A UCF                     8- 6       2    -6    +++    8.28
   220 A New Mexico State        8- 1       7    -2    +++    8.95
   220 A Arizona State          10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.48
   221 A Michigan                1- 3      -2    -5    +      2.79
   221 H New Mexico State        6- 5       1     0           1.46
   222 H Michigan                3- 5      -2    -3           1.30
   227 A Utah State              1- 2      -1     1          -1.57
   228 A Utah                    0- 4      -4    -5           1.35
   301 H Weber State             3- 1       2     3          -1.50
   301 H Weber State             3- 2       1     3    -     -2.50
   301 H Weber State             3- 1       2     3          -1.50
   301 H Weber State             3- 2       1     3    -     -2.50
   304 A Utah                    0-18     -18    -5    ---   -8.65
   306 H Maine                  10- 1       9    11          -1.74
   306 A Idaho State             6- 9      -3    -1          -1.63
   307 A Idaho State             1- 2      -1    -1           0.37
   307 A Maine                  11- 0      11     9           1.74
   313 A Portland State          7- 4       3     2           1.48
   313 A Loyola Marymount        3- 1       2    -4    ++     5.83
   314 H Portland State          3- 2       1     3          -2.00
   314 A Loyola Marymount        2- 3      -1    -4    +      2.83
   320 H California Baptist      0- 2      -2    -2          -0.24
   320 H California Baptist      6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.76
   321 H California Baptist      3- 7      -4    -2    -     -2.24
   327 H Minnesota               0- 5      -5     0    --    -5.25
   327 H Louisville              5- 8      -3    -4           1.10
   328 H Texas                  12- 3       9    -8    +++   16.50
   410 A Tarleton State          3-10      -7    -2    --    -5.49
   410 A Tarleton State          1- 7      -6    -2    --    -4.49
   411 A Tarleton State          2- 8      -6    -2    --    -4.49
   417 H Abilene Christian      11- 3       8     4    ++     4.29
   417 H Abilene Christian       7- 6       1     4    -     -2.71
   418 H Abilene Christian       5- 3       2     4          -1.71
   424 A UT Arlington            4- 6      -2    -1          -0.82
   424 A UT Arlington            5- 6      -1    -1           0.18
   425 H Duke                    7-11      -4    -5           1.16
   501 H Utah Valley             7-10      -3     0    -     -3.13
   501 H Utah Valley             5- 3       2     0           1.87
   502 H Utah Valley             1- 7      -6     0    ---   -6.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Santa Clara             3- 8      -5     1    ---   -6.14
   206 A Grand Canyon            2-17     -15    -6    ---   -8.30
   304 A Utah                    0-18     -18    -5    ---   -8.65
   502 H Utah Valley             1- 7      -6     0    ---   -6.13
   213 H Omaha                   0- 9      -9    -4    --    -4.68
   327 H Minnesota               0- 5      -5     0    --    -5.25
   410 A Tarleton State          3-10      -7    -2    --    -5.49
   410 A Tarleton State          1- 7      -6    -2    --    -4.49
   411 A Tarleton State          2- 8      -6    -2    --    -4.49
   301 H Weber State             3- 2       1     3    -     -2.50
   301 H Weber State             3- 2       1     3    -     -2.50
   321 H California Baptist      3- 7      -4    -2    -     -2.24
   417 H Abilene Christian       7- 6       1     4    -     -2.71
   501 H Utah Valley             7-10      -3     0    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A UCF                     8- 6       2    -6    +++    8.28
   220 A New Mexico State        8- 1       7    -2    +++    8.95
   328 H Texas                  12- 3       9    -8    +++   16.50
   207 A Grand Canyon            3- 4      -1    -6    ++     4.70
   220 A Arizona State          10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.48
   313 A Loyola Marymount        3- 1       2    -4    ++     5.83
   320 H California Baptist      6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.76
   417 H Abilene Christian      11- 3       8     4    ++     4.29
   214 A Boise State             8- 7       1    -2    +      3.46
   221 A Michigan                1- 3      -2    -5    +      2.79
   314 A Loyola Marymount        2- 3      -1    -4    +      2.83

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)     0- 8       -2.83      16.54       0.74         0.51            -0.54
   3 A Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)     0- 8       -2.83      16.54       0.74         0.51            -0.54
   3 H Santa Clara     ( 5-13, 90.3)     3- 8       -9.59       9.78      -0.74         0.51            -2.66
   3 A Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     2-17       -4.23      15.14       0.74         0.51            -0.90
   3 A Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     3- 4       -4.23      15.14       0.74         0.51            -0.90
   3 H Weber State     ( 2-23, 88.0)     6- 3      -11.95       7.42      -0.74         0.51             6.87
   3 A Weber State     ( 2-23, 88.0)     6- 3      -11.95       7.42       0.74         0.51             8.40
   3 H Omaha           (12- 7, 95.8)     0- 9       -4.13      15.24      -0.74         0.51            -1.25
   3 A San Diego       ( 2- 7, 88.8)     8- 6      -11.09       8.28       0.74         0.51             9.29
   3 A Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     8- 7       -7.47      11.90       0.74         0.51            13.01
   3 A UCF             (40-20, 96.2)     8- 6       -3.65      15.72       0.74         0.51            16.93
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     8- 1       -7.98      11.39       0.74         0.51            12.48
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)    10-11       -3.45      15.92       0.74         0.51            -0.70
   3 A Michigan        (35-22, 94.8)     1- 3       -5.14      14.23       0.74         0.51            -1.13
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     6- 5       -7.98      11.39      -0.74         0.51            10.95
   3 H Michigan        (35-22, 94.8)     3- 5       -5.14      14.23      -0.74         0.51            -1.51
   3 A Utah State      (22-32, 89.4)     1- 2      -10.50       8.87       0.74         0.51            -2.51
   3 A Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     0- 4       -4.58      14.79       0.74         0.51            -0.99
   3 H Weber State     ( 2-23, 88.0)     3- 1      -11.95       7.42      -0.74         0.51             6.87
   3 H Weber State     ( 2-23, 88.0)     3- 2      -11.95       7.42      -0.74         0.51             6.87
   3 H Weber State     ( 2-23, 88.0)     3- 1      -11.95       7.42      -0.74         0.51             6.87
   3 H Weber State     ( 2-23, 88.0)     3- 2      -11.95       7.42      -0.74         0.51             6.87
   3 A Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     0-18       -4.58      14.79       0.74         0.51            -0.99
   3 H Maine           ( 0- 2, 80.7)    10- 1      -19.19       1.00      -0.74         0.51             0.27
   3 A Idaho State     ( 8-10, 91.3)     6- 9       -8.57      10.80       0.74         0.51            -2.01
   3 A Idaho State     ( 8-10, 91.3)     1- 2       -8.57      10.80       0.74         0.51            -2.01
   3 A Maine           ( 0- 2, 80.7)    11- 0      -19.19       1.00       0.74         0.51             1.79
   3 A Portland State  ( 2- 9, 88.5)     7- 4      -11.45       7.92       0.74         0.51             8.91
   3 A Loyola Marymou  (12- 8, 93.8)     3- 1       -6.10      13.27       0.74         0.51            14.41
   3 H Portland State  ( 2- 9, 88.5)     3- 2      -11.45       7.92      -0.74         0.51             7.39
   3 A Loyola Marymou  (12- 8, 93.8)     2- 3       -6.10      13.27       0.74         0.51            -1.38
   3 H California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     0- 2       -6.69      12.68      -0.74         0.51            -1.91
   3 H California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     6- 3       -6.69      12.68      -0.74         0.51            12.28
   3 H California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     3- 7       -6.69      12.68      -0.74         0.51            -1.91
   3 H Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     0- 5       -8.70      10.67      -0.74         0.51            -2.43
   3 H Louisville      (45-15, 95.6)     5- 8       -4.35      15.02      -0.74         0.51            -1.31
   3 H Texas           (52-13, 99.0)    12- 3       -0.94      18.43      -0.74         0.51            18.19
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     3-10       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.51            -1.98
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     1- 7       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.51            -1.98
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     2- 8       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.51            -1.98
   3 H Abilene Christ  ( 8-41, 87.7)    11- 3      -12.16       7.21      -0.74         0.51             6.65
   3 H Abilene Christ  ( 8-41, 87.7)     7- 6      -12.16       7.21      -0.74         0.51             6.65
   3 H Abilene Christ  ( 8-41, 87.7)     5- 3      -12.16       7.21      -0.74         0.51             6.65
   3 A UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     4- 6       -8.75      10.62       0.74         0.51            -2.06
   3 A UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     5- 6       -8.75      10.62       0.74         0.51            -2.06
   3 H Duke            (46-15, 96.6)     7-11       -3.29      16.08      -0.74         0.51            -1.04
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     7-10       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         0.51            -2.40
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     5- 3       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         0.51            10.34
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     1- 7       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         0.51            -2.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       155.51

winning pts = 198.9612 losing points = -43.4471

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------