Southern Utah 
W-L: (22-27) PR = 90.7100
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
205 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8
205 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8
206 H Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 3- 8
206 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2-17
207 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 3- 4
207 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 3
208 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 3
213 H Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 0- 9
213 A San Diego WC ( 2- 7, 88.8) 8- 6
214 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 8- 7
215 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 8- 6
220 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 8- 1
220 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 10-11
221 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 1- 3
221 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 6- 5
222 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 3- 5
227 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 1- 2
228 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0- 4
301 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 1
301 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 2
301 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 1
301 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 2
304 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0-18
306 H Maine AE ( 0- 2, 80.7) 10- 1
306 A Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 6- 9
307 A Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 1- 2
307 A Maine AE ( 0- 2, 80.7) 11- 0
313 A Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 7- 4
313 A Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 3- 1
314 H Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 3- 2
314 A Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 2- 3
320 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0- 2
320 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 6- 3
321 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 3- 7
327 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 0- 5
327 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5- 8
328 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 12- 3
410 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 3-10
410 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 1- 7
411 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 2- 8
417 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 3
417 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 7- 6
418 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 5- 3
424 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 4- 6
424 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 5- 6
425 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 7-11
501 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 7-10
501 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 5- 3
502 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 1- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Arizona 0- 8 -8 -7 -0.90
205 A Arizona 0- 8 -8 -7 -0.90
206 H Santa Clara 3- 8 -5 1 --- -6.14
206 A Grand Canyon 2-17 -15 -6 --- -8.30
207 A Grand Canyon 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 4.70
207 H Weber State 6- 3 3 3 -0.50
208 A Weber State 6- 3 3 2 0.99
213 H Omaha 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -4.68
213 A San Diego 8- 6 2 1 0.85
214 A Boise State 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.46
215 A UCF 8- 6 2 -6 +++ 8.28
220 A New Mexico State 8- 1 7 -2 +++ 8.95
220 A Arizona State 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 5.48
221 A Michigan 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.79
221 H New Mexico State 6- 5 1 0 1.46
222 H Michigan 3- 5 -2 -3 1.30
227 A Utah State 1- 2 -1 1 -1.57
228 A Utah 0- 4 -4 -5 1.35
301 H Weber State 3- 1 2 3 -1.50
301 H Weber State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.50
301 H Weber State 3- 1 2 3 -1.50
301 H Weber State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.50
304 A Utah 0-18 -18 -5 --- -8.65
306 H Maine 10- 1 9 11 -1.74
306 A Idaho State 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.63
307 A Idaho State 1- 2 -1 -1 0.37
307 A Maine 11- 0 11 9 1.74
313 A Portland State 7- 4 3 2 1.48
313 A Loyola Marymount 3- 1 2 -4 ++ 5.83
314 H Portland State 3- 2 1 3 -2.00
314 A Loyola Marymount 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.83
320 H California Baptist 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.24
320 H California Baptist 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 4.76
321 H California Baptist 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.24
327 H Minnesota 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.25
327 H Louisville 5- 8 -3 -4 1.10
328 H Texas 12- 3 9 -8 +++ 16.50
410 A Tarleton State 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.49
410 A Tarleton State 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.49
411 A Tarleton State 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.49
417 H Abilene Christian 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.29
417 H Abilene Christian 7- 6 1 4 - -2.71
418 H Abilene Christian 5- 3 2 4 -1.71
424 A UT Arlington 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.82
424 A UT Arlington 5- 6 -1 -1 0.18
425 H Duke 7-11 -4 -5 1.16
501 H Utah Valley 7-10 -3 0 - -3.13
501 H Utah Valley 5- 3 2 0 1.87
502 H Utah Valley 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Santa Clara 3- 8 -5 1 --- -6.14
206 A Grand Canyon 2-17 -15 -6 --- -8.30
304 A Utah 0-18 -18 -5 --- -8.65
502 H Utah Valley 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.13
213 H Omaha 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -4.68
327 H Minnesota 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.25
410 A Tarleton State 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.49
410 A Tarleton State 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.49
411 A Tarleton State 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.49
301 H Weber State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.50
301 H Weber State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.50
321 H California Baptist 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.24
417 H Abilene Christian 7- 6 1 4 - -2.71
501 H Utah Valley 7-10 -3 0 - -3.13
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 A UCF 8- 6 2 -6 +++ 8.28
220 A New Mexico State 8- 1 7 -2 +++ 8.95
328 H Texas 12- 3 9 -8 +++ 16.50
207 A Grand Canyon 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 4.70
220 A Arizona State 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 5.48
313 A Loyola Marymount 3- 1 2 -4 ++ 5.83
320 H California Baptist 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 4.76
417 H Abilene Christian 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.29
214 A Boise State 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.46
221 A Michigan 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.79
314 A Loyola Marymount 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.83
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.51 -0.54
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.51 -0.54
3 H Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 3- 8 -9.59 9.78 -0.74 0.51 -2.66
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 2-17 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.51 -0.90
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 3- 4 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.51 -0.90
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 3 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.51 6.87
3 A Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 3 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.51 8.40
3 H Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 0- 9 -4.13 15.24 -0.74 0.51 -1.25
3 A San Diego ( 2- 7, 88.8) 8- 6 -11.09 8.28 0.74 0.51 9.29
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 8- 7 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.51 13.01
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 8- 6 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.51 16.93
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 8- 1 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.51 12.48
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 10-11 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.51 -0.70
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 1- 3 -5.14 14.23 0.74 0.51 -1.13
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 6- 5 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.51 10.95
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 3- 5 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.51 -1.51
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 1- 2 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.51 -2.51
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 0- 4 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.51 -0.99
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 1 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.51 6.87
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 2 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.51 6.87
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 1 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.51 6.87
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 3- 2 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.51 6.87
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 0-18 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.51 -0.99
3 H Maine ( 0- 2, 80.7) 10- 1 -19.19 1.00 -0.74 0.51 0.27
3 A Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 6- 9 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.51 -2.01
3 A Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 1- 2 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.51 -2.01
3 A Maine ( 0- 2, 80.7) 11- 0 -19.19 1.00 0.74 0.51 1.79
3 A Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 7- 4 -11.45 7.92 0.74 0.51 8.91
3 A Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 3- 1 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.51 14.41
3 H Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 3- 2 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.51 7.39
3 A Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 2- 3 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.51 -1.38
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 0- 2 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.51 -1.91
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 6- 3 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.51 12.28
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 3- 7 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.51 -1.91
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 0- 5 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.51 -2.43
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 5- 8 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.51 -1.31
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 12- 3 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.51 18.19
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 3-10 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.51 -1.98
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 1- 7 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.51 -1.98
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 2- 8 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.51 -1.98
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 3 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.51 6.65
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 7- 6 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.51 6.65
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 5- 3 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.51 6.65
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 4- 6 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.51 -2.06
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 5- 6 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.51 -2.06
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 7-11 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.51 -1.04
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 7-10 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.51 -2.40
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 5- 3 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.51 10.34
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 1- 7 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.51 -2.40
------
155.51
|
winning pts = 198.9612 losing points = -43.4471
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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