Texas A&M
W-L: (38-19) PR = 96.7839Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 8- 0 205 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 9- 1 206 H Providence BE ( 0-11, 85.2) 9- 1 207 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2- 3 208 H Providence BE ( 0-11, 85.2) 8- 2 213 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 6- 8 213 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 8- 9 214 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 10- 2 215 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 11- 0 215 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 6- 1 219 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 11- 5 219 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 1- 2 220 H UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 5- 2 221 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 2- 8 221 H Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 7- 1 222 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 7-15 226 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 8- 1 227 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 8-10 227 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 8- 0 228 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 12- 1 228 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 11- 2 301 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5- 1 301 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5- 1 304 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 9- 1 306 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1- 3 306 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 15- 2 314 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 7- 2 315 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 3- 2 316 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 2- 7 320 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 10- 2 321 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 7- 1 322 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 9- 6 324 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 18- 3 327 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 8- 6 328 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 2- 6 329 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 9- 7 402 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 3- 2 403 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 6-10 403 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 2- 1 408 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 11- 1 410 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 10- 6 411 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 7- 5 412 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 10- 9 415 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 10- 3 417 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 1 418 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 4- 0 419 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 10- 9 424 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 1- 3 425 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 2- 8 426 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 1- 6 502 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 3- 4 502 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 4- 6 506 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 8-11 515 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 17- 3 516 A UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 10- 3 516 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 3- 4 517 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Abilene Christian 8- 0 8 10 -1.79
205 H Utah State 9- 1 8 8 -0.13
206 H Providence 9- 1 8 12 -- -4.29
207 H Texas Tech 2- 3 -1 -2 0.71
208 H Providence 8- 2 6 12 --- -6.29
213 H Duke 6- 8 -2 1 - -2.91
213 H Oklahoma State 8- 9 -1 0 -1.42
214 A NC State 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.73
215 H James Madison 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.20
215 A UAB 6- 1 5 5 0.43
219 A Duke 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.57
219 A Oregon 1- 2 -1 0 -0.54
220 H UC San Diego 5- 2 3 7 -- -4.12
221 H Nebraska 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.84
221 H Loyola Marymount 7- 1 6 4 + 2.27
222 A UCLA 7-15 -8 -4 -- -4.50
226 H Houston 8- 1 7 6 0.58
227 H Louisiana 8-10 -2 4 --- -6.31
227 H Kennesaw State 8- 0 8 10 -1.54
228 H Saint Mary's 12- 1 11 5 +++ 6.07
228 H Kennesaw State 11- 2 9 10 -0.54
301 H Louisiana 5- 1 4 4 -0.31
301 H Louisiana 5- 1 4 4 -0.31
304 H Louisiana Tech 9- 1 8 5 + 3.26
306 A Texas State 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.43
306 A Tarleton State 15- 2 13 5 +++ 8.43
314 A LSU 7- 2 5 -1 ++ 5.98
315 A LSU 3- 2 1 -1 1.98
316 A LSU 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.02
320 H Kentucky 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.20
321 H Kentucky 7- 1 6 4 + 2.20
322 H Kentucky 9- 6 3 4 -0.80
324 H Sam Houston 18- 3 15 6 +++ 8.12
327 H Texas State 8- 6 2 4 -1.92
328 H Louisville 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.97
329 A Texas 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 4.91
402 H Georgia 3- 2 1 0 1.17
403 H Georgia 6-10 -4 0 - -3.83
403 H Georgia 2- 1 1 0 1.17
408 H McNeese 11- 1 10 5 ++ 5.29
410 A Ole Miss 10- 6 4 1 + 3.26
411 A Ole Miss 7- 5 2 1 1.26
412 A Ole Miss 10- 9 1 1 0.26
415 A Baylor 10- 3 7 2 ++ 5.18
417 H Mississippi State 3- 1 2 1 1.00
418 H Mississippi State 4- 0 4 1 + 3.00
419 H Mississippi State 10- 9 1 1 0.00
424 A South Carolina 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.07
425 H Virginia 2- 8 -6 3 --- -9.04
426 H Georgia Southern 1- 6 -5 7 --- -11.88
502 H Oklahoma 3- 4 -1 -2 1.37
502 H Oklahoma 4- 6 -2 -2 0.37
506 H Auburn 8-11 -3 3 -- -5.77
515 H UConn 17- 3 14 6 +++ 7.87
516 A UConn 10- 3 7 5 + 2.36
516 H Arizona State 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.08
517 A Arizona State 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.59
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Providence 8- 2 6 12 --- -6.29 227 H Louisiana 8-10 -2 4 --- -6.31 425 H Virginia 2- 8 -6 3 --- -9.04 426 H Georgia Southern 1- 6 -5 7 --- -11.88 517 A Arizona State 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.59 206 H Providence 9- 1 8 12 -- -4.29 220 H UC San Diego 5- 2 3 7 -- -4.12 221 H Nebraska 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.84 222 A UCLA 7-15 -8 -4 -- -4.50 306 A Texas State 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.43 316 A LSU 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.02 328 H Louisville 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.97 506 H Auburn 8-11 -3 3 -- -5.77 213 H Duke 6- 8 -2 1 - -2.91 403 H Georgia 6-10 -4 0 - -3.83 424 A South Carolina 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.07 516 H Arizona State 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H James Madison 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.20 219 A Duke 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.57 228 H Saint Mary's 12- 1 11 5 +++ 6.07 306 A Tarleton State 15- 2 13 5 +++ 8.43 324 H Sam Houston 18- 3 15 6 +++ 8.12 515 H UConn 17- 3 14 6 +++ 7.87 214 A NC State 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.73 314 A LSU 7- 2 5 -1 ++ 5.98 320 H Kentucky 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.20 329 A Texas 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 4.91 408 H McNeese 11- 1 10 5 ++ 5.29 415 A Baylor 10- 3 7 2 ++ 5.18 221 H Loyola Marymount 7- 1 6 4 + 2.27 304 H Louisiana Tech 9- 1 8 5 + 3.26 321 H Kentucky 7- 1 6 4 + 2.20 410 A Ole Miss 10- 6 4 1 + 3.26 418 H Mississippi State 4- 0 4 1 + 3.00 516 A UConn 10- 3 7 5 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 8- 0 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.44 5.72
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 9- 1 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.44 7.19
3 H Providence ( 0-11, 85.2) 9- 1 -14.66 4.71 -0.74 0.44 3.51
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2- 3 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.44 -0.31
3 H Providence ( 0-11, 85.2) 8- 2 -14.66 4.71 -0.74 0.44 3.51
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 6- 8 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.44 -0.89
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 8- 9 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.44 -0.78
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 10- 2 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.44 11.48
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 11- 0 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.44 10.13
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 6- 1 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.44 10.33
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 11- 5 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.44 14.88
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 1- 2 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.44 -0.59
3 H UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 5- 2 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.44 8.08
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 2- 8 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.44 -0.43
3 H Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 7- 1 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.44 11.08
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 7-15 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.44 -0.09
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 8- 1 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.44 8.70
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 8-10 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.44 -1.64
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 8- 0 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.44 5.94
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 12- 1 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.44 10.02
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 11- 2 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.44 5.94
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5- 1 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.44 10.56
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5- 1 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.44 10.56
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 9- 1 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.44 10.18
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 1- 3 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.44 -1.23
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 15- 2 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.44 10.33
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 7- 2 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.44 15.24
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 3- 2 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.44 15.24
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 2- 7 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.44 -0.47
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 10- 2 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.44 11.02
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 7- 1 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.44 11.02
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 9- 6 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.44 11.02
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 18- 3 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.44 9.17
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 8- 6 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.44 10.91
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 2- 6 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.44 -1.13
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 9- 7 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.44 16.95
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.44 14.52
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 6-10 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.44 -0.65
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.44 14.52
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 11- 1 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.44 10.21
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 10- 6 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.44 13.72
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 7- 5 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.44 13.72
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 10- 9 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.44 13.72
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 10- 3 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.44 12.77
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 1 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.44 13.49
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 4- 0 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.44 13.49
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 10- 9 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.44 13.49
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 1- 3 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.44 -0.93
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 2- 8 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.44 -1.36
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 1- 6 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 0.44 -2.21
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 3- 4 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.44 -0.16
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 4- 6 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.44 -0.16
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 8-11 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.44 -1.30
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 17- 3 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.44 8.96
3 A UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 10- 3 -8.50 10.87 0.74 0.44 10.27
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 3- 4 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.44 -0.93
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 1- 9 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.44 -0.60
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395.72
|
winning pts = 411.5795 losing points = -15.8600
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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