Texas
W-L: (52-13) PR = 98.9560Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 15-10 207 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 5- 8 207 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 11- 6 208 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 10- 0 208 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 5- 0 212 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 0 213 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 14- 6 213 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 14- 0 215 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 7- 4 215 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 9- 7 220 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 4- 3 220 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 12- 2 221 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 10- 0 221 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 10- 2 222 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 12- 2 225 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 7- 2 227 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 9- 1 228 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 0- 6, 87.0) 12- 2 228 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 3- 5, 89.5) 8- 0 301 H Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 8- 0 301 H Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 8- 0 306 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 4- 2 307 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 3- 0 308 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 5- 2 311 H East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 10- 1 313 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 3- 1 314 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 11- 2 315 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 15- 3 320 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 10- 2 321 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 11- 0 325 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 3- 2 327 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 9- 3 328 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 3-12 329 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 7- 9 402 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 9- 1 403 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 4-11 404 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 4- 7 410 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0- 3 411 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 3- 4 412 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 8- 6 418 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 7- 5 419 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 2- 4 420 H Northern Colorado BSKY ( 2- 8, 91.2) 6- 1 422 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 0- 5 424 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 12- 2 425 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 6- 1 426 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 11- 5 430 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 9 501 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 3- 4 502 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 4- 1 507 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 6- 0 508 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 5- 4 509 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 7- 1 515 H Wagner NE ( 0- 4, 90.0) 9- 1 516 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 9- 0 517 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 7- 0 522 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1- 4 523 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 4- 3 524 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 5- 0 528 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 3- 6 529 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 4- 0 531 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 3- 1 601 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 5- 2 601 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 4- 0 603 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 7- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Nebraska 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.47
207 H Nebraska 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.01
207 H Washington 11- 6 5 3 + 2.04
208 A UTSA 10- 0 10 8 + 2.14
208 A Washington 5- 0 5 1 + 3.53
212 H Abilene Christian 11- 0 11 12 -0.96
213 H Ohio State 14- 6 8 6 + 2.15
213 H Syracuse 14- 0 14 11 + 3.19
215 H Ohio State 7- 4 3 6 - -2.85
215 A Missouri State 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.42
220 A Stanford 4- 3 1 2 -0.88
220 A Arizona 12- 2 10 1 +++ 8.86
221 A Boise State 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.22
221 A Santa Clara 10- 2 8 8 0.10
222 H Arizona 12- 2 10 3 +++ 7.37
225 H SE Louisiana 7- 2 5 6 -1.03
227 H Houston 9- 1 8 9 -0.59
228 H St. Bonaventure 12- 2 10 13 - -2.74
228 H Prairie View A&M 8- 0 8 10 - -2.19
301 H Incarnate Word 8- 0 8 9 -1.48
301 H Incarnate Word 8- 0 8 9 -1.48
306 A South Carolina 4- 2 2 3 -1.25
307 A South Carolina 3- 0 3 3 -0.25
308 A South Carolina 5- 2 3 3 -0.25
311 H East Texas A&M 10- 1 9 14 -- -4.81
313 H Ole Miss 3- 1 2 4 - -2.40
314 H Ole Miss 11- 2 9 4 ++ 4.60
315 H Ole Miss 15- 3 12 4 +++ 7.60
320 H Baylor 10- 2 8 5 + 2.53
321 A Baylor 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.01
325 A Texas State 3- 2 1 5 - -3.61
327 A Missouri 9- 3 6 4 + 2.28
328 A Southern Utah 3-12 -9 8 --- -16.50
329 H Texas A&M 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.91
402 A Alabama 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.92
403 A Alabama 4-11 -7 -1 --- -6.08
404 A Alabama 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.08
410 H Oklahoma 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.80
411 H Oklahoma 3- 4 -1 0 -0.80
412 H Oklahoma 8- 6 2 0 + 2.20
418 A Georgia 7- 5 2 1 1.48
419 A Georgia 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.52
420 H Northern Colorado 6- 1 5 9 - -3.53
422 H Oklahoma State 0- 5 -5 3 --- -7.59
424 A Kentucky 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.52
425 A Kentucky 6- 1 5 4 0.52
426 H Georgia Tech 11- 5 6 5 1.14
430 A Jacksonville State 0- 9 -9 3 --- -12.45
501 H Arkansas 3- 4 -1 0 -1.03
502 H Arkansas 4- 1 3 0 + 2.97
507 H Ole Miss 6- 0 6 4 1.60
508 H Georgia 5- 4 1 2 -1.00
509 A Alabama 7- 1 6 -1 +++ 6.92
515 H Wagner 9- 1 8 10 -1.74
516 H Wisconsin 9- 0 9 6 + 3.13
517 A Baylor 7- 0 7 4 + 3.01
522 H Arizona State 1- 4 -3 3 --- -6.25
523 A Arizona State 4- 3 1 2 -0.76
524 H Arizona State 5- 0 5 3 1.75
528 H Tennessee 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.78
529 A Mississippi State 4- 0 4 2 + 2.31
531 H Nebraska 3- 1 2 1 0.99
601 A Tennessee 5- 2 3 1 1.70
601 H Tennessee 4- 0 4 3 1.22
603 H Texas Tech 7- 3 4 0 + 3.54
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Southern Utah 3-12 -9 8 --- -16.50 403 A Alabama 4-11 -7 -1 --- -6.08 422 H Oklahoma State 0- 5 -5 3 --- -7.59 430 A Jacksonville State 0- 9 -9 3 --- -12.45 522 H Arizona State 1- 4 -3 3 --- -6.25 207 H Nebraska 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.01 215 A Missouri State 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.42 311 H East Texas A&M 10- 1 9 14 -- -4.81 329 H Texas A&M 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.91 528 H Tennessee 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.78 215 H Ohio State 7- 4 3 6 - -2.85 228 H St. Bonaventure 12- 2 10 13 - -2.74 228 H Prairie View A&M 8- 0 8 10 - -2.19 313 H Ole Miss 3- 1 2 4 - -2.40 325 A Texas State 3- 2 1 5 - -3.61 404 A Alabama 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.08 410 H Oklahoma 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.80 419 A Georgia 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.52 420 H Northern Colorado 6- 1 5 9 - -3.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Arizona 12- 2 10 1 +++ 8.86 222 H Arizona 12- 2 10 3 +++ 7.37 315 H Ole Miss 15- 3 12 4 +++ 7.60 321 A Baylor 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.01 402 A Alabama 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.92 509 A Alabama 7- 1 6 -1 +++ 6.92 206 A Nebraska 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.47 221 A Boise State 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.22 314 H Ole Miss 11- 2 9 4 ++ 4.60 424 A Kentucky 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.52 207 H Washington 11- 6 5 3 + 2.04 208 A UTSA 10- 0 10 8 + 2.14 208 A Washington 5- 0 5 1 + 3.53 213 H Ohio State 14- 6 8 6 + 2.15 213 H Syracuse 14- 0 14 11 + 3.19 320 H Baylor 10- 2 8 5 + 2.53 327 A Missouri 9- 3 6 4 + 2.28 412 H Oklahoma 8- 6 2 0 + 2.20 502 H Arkansas 4- 1 3 0 + 2.97 516 H Wisconsin 9- 0 9 6 + 3.13 517 A Baylor 7- 0 7 4 + 3.01 529 A Mississippi State 4- 0 4 2 + 2.31 603 H Texas Tech 7- 3 4 0 + 3.54 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 15-10 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.39 14.65
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 5- 8 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.39 -0.38
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 11- 6 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.39 12.00
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 10- 0 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.39 8.19
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 5- 0 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.39 13.15
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 0 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.39 5.01
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 14- 6 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.39 9.75
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 14- 0 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.39 5.90
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 7- 4 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.39 9.75
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 9- 7 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.39 8.54
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 4- 3 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.39 12.83
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 12- 2 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.39 13.40
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 10- 0 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.39 9.81
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 10- 2 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.39 8.16
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 12- 2 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.39 12.25
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 7- 2 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.39 9.61
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 9- 1 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.39 7.63
3 H St. Bonaventur ( 0- 6, 87.0) 12- 2 -12.94 6.43 -0.74 0.39 4.41
3 H Prairie View A ( 3- 5, 89.5) 8- 0 -10.39 8.98 -0.74 0.39 6.39
3 H Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 8- 0 -9.68 9.69 -0.74 0.39 6.94
3 H Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 8- 0 -9.68 9.69 -0.74 0.39 6.94
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 4- 2 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.39 11.77
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 3- 0 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.39 11.77
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 5- 2 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.39 11.77
3 H East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 10- 1 -14.02 5.35 -0.74 0.39 3.58
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 3- 1 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.39 10.88
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 11- 2 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.39 10.88
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 15- 3 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.39 10.88
3 H Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 10- 2 -5.67 13.70 -0.74 0.39 10.05
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 11- 0 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.39 11.20
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 3- 2 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.39 10.72
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 9- 3 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.39 11.41
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 3-12 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.39 -1.64
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 7- 9 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.39 -0.75
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 9- 1 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.39 15.01
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 4-11 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.39 -0.00
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 4- 7 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.39 -0.00
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 0- 3 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.39 -0.14
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 3- 4 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.39 -0.14
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 8- 6 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.39 14.45
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 7- 5 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 13.89
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 2- 4 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 -0.28
3 H Northern Color ( 2- 8, 91.2) 6- 1 -8.73 10.64 -0.74 0.39 7.68
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 0- 5 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.39 -0.69
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 12- 2 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.39 10.81
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 6- 1 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.39 10.81
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 11- 5 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.39 10.52
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 0- 9 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.39 -0.85
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 3- 4 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.39 -0.19
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 4- 1 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.39 14.27
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 6- 0 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.39 10.88
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 5- 4 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.39 12.74
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 7- 1 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.39 15.01
3 H Wagner ( 0- 4, 90.0) 9- 1 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.39 6.74
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 9- 0 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.39 9.74
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 7- 0 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.39 11.20
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 1- 4 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.39 -0.81
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 4- 3 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.39 12.92
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 5- 0 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.39 11.77
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 3- 6 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.39 -0.72
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 4- 0 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.39 12.98
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 3- 1 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.39 13.50
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 5- 2 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.39 13.28
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 4- 0 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.39 12.13
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 7- 3 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.39 13.93
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547.86
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winning pts = 554.4625 losing points = -6.6070
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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