Texas State
W-L: (36-23) PR = 93.6079Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 8- 2 206 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 4- 3 206 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 2- 3 207 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 13- 8 207 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 1- 7 212 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 4- 0 213 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 10- 2 213 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 3-10 215 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 0-13 219 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 0- 5 219 H Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 7- 6 220 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 3- 2 221 H Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 3- 1 222 H Brown IVY ( 1- 5, 84.7) 10- 2 222 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 2- 3 226 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 7- 0 227 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 1- 0 227 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 0- 4 228 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 4- 1 304 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 7- 0 305 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 5- 6 306 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 8- 2 306 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 3- 1 311 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 0 313 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 0 314 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 6 315 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 10- 2 317 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 12- 8 318 A Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 0- 8 320 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 1- 2 321 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 4- 2 322 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 1- 6 325 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 2- 3 327 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 6- 8 328 A Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 1- 2 329 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1- 2 331 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 8- 1 402 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 5- 1 403 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 1- 3 404 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 6- 3 407 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 3- 0 410 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 11- 7 411 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 5- 0 412 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 2- 1 415 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 3- 0 417 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 7- 1 418 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 8- 1 419 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 2 422 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 0-10 422 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 3- 4 424 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 5- 4 425 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 5- 2 426 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 6- 5 430 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 4- 1 501 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 12-13 501 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 15- 1 515 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 1- 2 516 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 1- 4 516 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 3- 8, 87.6) 6- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Toledo 8- 2 6 4 1.51
206 H Northwestern 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.08
206 A Arizona State 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.58
207 H Memphis 13- 8 5 5 0.11
207 A Northwestern 1- 7 -6 -3 - -3.44
212 H Clemson 4- 0 4 0 + 3.56
213 H BYU 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.07
213 H Wichita State 3-10 -7 0 --- -6.69
215 A Florida Atlantic 0-13 -13 -2 --- -11.21
219 H Oklahoma State 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.24
219 H Kansas City 7- 6 1 6 -- -4.72
220 H Colorado State 3- 2 1 3 -1.92
221 H Kansas City 3- 1 2 6 - -3.72
222 H Brown 10- 2 8 10 -1.62
222 H Colorado State 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.92
226 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 7- 0 7 7 0.21
227 H SE Louisiana 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.68
228 H SE Louisiana 4- 1 3 1 + 2.32
304 H Saint Francis 7- 0 7 8 -0.61
305 H Tarleton State 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.88
306 H Tarleton State 8- 2 6 3 + 3.12
306 H Texas A&M 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.43
314 H UL Monroe 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.71
315 H UL Monroe 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.29
317 A Houston 12- 8 4 2 + 2.24
318 A Lamar 0- 8 -8 0 --- -8.24
320 A Louisiana 1- 2 -1 0 -0.65
321 A Louisiana 4- 2 2 0 + 2.35
322 A Louisiana 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.65
325 H Texas 2- 3 -1 -5 + 3.61
327 A Texas A&M 6- 8 -2 -4 1.92
328 A Marist 1- 2 -1 4 -- -4.57
329 H Marshall 1- 2 -1 0 -1.48
331 A UTSA 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.49
402 A South Alabama 5- 1 4 0 + 3.52
403 A South Alabama 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.48
404 A South Alabama 6- 3 3 0 + 2.52
407 H UTSA 3- 0 3 4 -1.00
410 A Troy 11- 7 4 0 + 3.89
411 A Troy 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.89
412 A Troy 2- 1 1 0 0.89
415 H Texas Tech 3- 0 3 -5 +++ 7.89
417 H Southern Miss 7- 1 6 3 + 3.31
418 H Southern Miss 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.31
419 H Southern Miss 1- 2 -1 3 - -3.69
422 A Rutgers 0-10 -10 -1 --- -9.42
422 H Baylor 3- 4 -1 0 -1.12
424 H Coastal Carolina 5- 4 1 3 -1.87
425 A App State 5- 2 3 0 + 2.80
426 A App State 6- 5 1 0 0.80
430 H Georgia State 4- 1 3 3 0.05
501 A App State 12-13 -1 0 -1.20
501 A App State 15- 1 14 0 +++ 13.80
515 H Georgia Tech 1- 2 -1 0 -0.51
516 A Georgia Tech 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.03
516 A Florida A&M 6- 0 6 5 0.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Wichita State 3-10 -7 0 --- -6.69 215 A Florida Atlantic 0-13 -13 -2 --- -11.21 318 A Lamar 0- 8 -8 0 --- -8.24 422 A Rutgers 0-10 -10 -1 --- -9.42 219 H Kansas City 7- 6 1 6 -- -4.72 227 H SE Louisiana 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.68 314 H UL Monroe 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.71 322 A Louisiana 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.65 328 A Marist 1- 2 -1 4 -- -4.57 207 A Northwestern 1- 7 -6 -3 - -3.44 219 H Oklahoma State 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.24 221 H Kansas City 3- 1 2 6 - -3.72 222 H Colorado State 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.92 305 H Tarleton State 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.88 403 A South Alabama 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.48 419 H Southern Miss 1- 2 -1 3 - -3.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H UL Monroe 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.29 415 H Texas Tech 3- 0 3 -5 +++ 7.89 501 A App State 15- 1 14 0 +++ 13.80 213 H BYU 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.07 306 H Texas A&M 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.43 331 A UTSA 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.49 411 A Troy 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.89 418 H Southern Miss 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.31 206 H Northwestern 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.08 206 A Arizona State 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.58 212 H Clemson 4- 0 4 0 + 3.56 228 H SE Louisiana 4- 1 3 1 + 2.32 306 H Tarleton State 8- 2 6 3 + 3.12 317 A Houston 12- 8 4 2 + 2.24 321 A Louisiana 4- 2 2 0 + 2.35 325 H Texas 2- 3 -1 -5 + 3.61 402 A South Alabama 5- 1 4 0 + 3.52 404 A South Alabama 6- 3 3 0 + 2.52 410 A Troy 11- 7 4 0 + 3.89 417 H Southern Miss 7- 1 6 3 + 3.31 425 A App State 5- 2 3 0 + 2.80 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 8- 2 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.43 7.33
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.43 12.09
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 2- 3 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.43 -0.58
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 13- 8 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.43 6.99
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 1- 7 -4.47 14.90 0.74 0.43 -0.80
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 4- 0 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.43 10.80
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 10- 2 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.43 8.67
3 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 3-10 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.43 -1.28
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 0-13 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.43 -0.96
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 0- 5 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.43 -0.76
3 H Kansas City ( 2- 8, 88.6) 7- 6 -11.27 8.10 -0.74 0.43 6.29
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 3- 2 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.43 8.68
3 H Kansas City ( 2- 8, 88.6) 3- 1 -11.27 8.10 -0.74 0.43 6.29
3 H Brown ( 1- 5, 84.7) 10- 2 -15.17 4.20 -0.74 0.43 2.95
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 2- 3 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.43 -1.97
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 7- 0 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 0.43 5.37
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 1- 0 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.43 10.59
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 0- 4 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.43 -1.49
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 4- 1 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.43 10.59
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 7- 0 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.43 4.67
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 5- 6 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.43 -1.96
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 8- 2 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.43 8.72
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 3- 1 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.43 13.25
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 1- 0 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.43 8.86
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 1- 0 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.43 9.71
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 3- 6 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.43 -1.71
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 10- 2 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.43 9.71
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 12- 8 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.43 9.67
3 A Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 0- 8 -7.27 12.10 0.74 0.43 -1.39
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 1- 2 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.43 -1.27
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 4- 2 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.43 11.47
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 1- 6 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.43 -1.27
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 2- 3 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.43 -0.36
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 6- 8 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.43 -0.51
3 A Marist ( 3-10, 89.3) 1- 2 -10.60 8.77 0.74 0.43 -2.11
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 1- 2 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.43 -1.45
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 8- 1 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.43 9.03
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 5- 1 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.43 10.76
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 1- 3 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.43 -1.45
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 6- 3 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.43 10.76
3 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 3- 0 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 0.43 7.76
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 11- 7 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.43 11.08
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 5- 0 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.43 11.08
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 2- 1 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.43 11.08
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 3- 0 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.43 15.35
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 7- 1 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.43 8.88
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 8- 1 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.43 8.88
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1- 2 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.43 -1.92
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 0-10 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.43 -1.22
3 H Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 3- 4 -5.67 13.70 -0.74 0.43 -1.37
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 5- 4 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.43 8.72
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 5- 2 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.43 11.00
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 6- 5 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.43 11.00
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 4- 1 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.43 8.65
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 12-13 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.43 -1.39
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 15- 1 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.43 11.00
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 1- 2 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.43 -1.24
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 1- 4 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.43 -0.92
3 A Florida A&M ( 3- 8, 87.6) 6- 0 -12.31 7.06 0.74 0.43 6.66
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305.07
|
winning pts = 334.4232 losing points = -29.3557
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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