Toledo
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 89.8570Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1- 4 205 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 2- 8 206 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 1- 9 206 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 7-11 207 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 4- 6 214 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 0- 8 220 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 3- 5 220 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 2- 7 221 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 0- 4 221 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 3- 4 222 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 25- 1 227 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 0- 6 228 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 3- 9 324 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 5- 3 421 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 0- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Arizona State 1- 4 -3 -7 ++ 4.33
205 A Texas State 2- 8 -6 -4 -1.51
206 A Northwestern 1- 9 -8 -6 -1.69
206 H Memphis 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.14
207 A Memphis 4- 6 -2 0 -1.66
214 H Virginia 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.11
220 A Syracuse 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.23
220 A Liberty 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.75
221 H Maryland 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.34
221 H Syracuse 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.71
222 A Virginia 25- 1 24 -5 +++ 19.38
227 A NC State 0- 6 -6 -4 - -2.34
228 A NC State 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.34
324 A Michigan State 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.47
421 A Michigan 0- 3 -3 -6 + 2.64
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Memphis 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.14 214 H Virginia 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.11 221 H Maryland 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.34 220 A Syracuse 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.23 221 H Syracuse 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.71 227 A NC State 0- 6 -6 -4 - -2.34 228 A NC State 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Virginia 25- 1 24 -5 +++ 19.38 205 A Arizona State 1- 4 -3 -7 ++ 4.33 324 A Michigan State 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.47 421 A Michigan 0- 3 -3 -6 + 2.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 1- 4 -3.45 15.92 0.74 1.68 -2.28
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 2- 8 -6.29 13.08 0.74 1.68 -4.66
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 1- 9 -4.47 14.90 0.74 1.68 -3.14
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 7-11 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 1.68 -9.40
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 4- 6 -10.44 8.93 0.74 1.68 -8.15
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 0- 8 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 1.68 -5.17
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 3- 5 -11.02 8.35 0.74 1.68 -8.63
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 2- 7 -7.53 11.84 0.74 1.68 -5.70
3 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 0- 4 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 1.68 -8.73
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 3- 4 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 1.68 -9.88
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 25- 1 -5.41 13.96 0.74 1.68 49.41
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 0- 6 -7.13 12.24 0.74 1.68 -5.36
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 3- 9 -7.13 12.24 0.74 1.68 -5.36
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 5- 3 -9.31 10.06 0.74 1.68 36.29
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 0- 3 -5.14 14.23 0.74 1.68 -3.70
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5.54
|
winning pts = 85.6950 losing points = -80.1549
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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