UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Tulsa
  
Tulsa                 
W-L: (20-31) PR = 91.8384

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 5- 7 206 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 3- 6 207 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 5-13 207 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 4 208 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 8- 7 213 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 5- 9 213 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 1- 2 214 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 2- 5 215 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 3- 4 219 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 8- 7 219 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 4- 3 220 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 10- 5 220 A Army PAT ( 4- 9, 91.1) 5-10 221 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 3- 1 227 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 4- 3 227 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 1- 9 228 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 4- 3 228 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 5- 4 304 A Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2- 3 307 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 2- 5 307 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 11-12 308 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 1- 3 311 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1-12 313 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 8- 9 314 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 6 315 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 9 320 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 4- 6 321 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 15- 0 322 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 3- 2 325 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 7-10 327 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 4- 1 328 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 14- 1 329 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 6- 7 402 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 11-10 403 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 1- 7 404 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 3- 9 408 A Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 6- 3 411 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 9- 1 411 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 1-13 412 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 5- 1 417 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 9- 1 418 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 3- 9 419 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 1- 5 422 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 2- 7 424 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 2- 1 425 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 0- 2 426 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 4- 3 429 H Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 0- 3 501 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 3- 7 502 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 12- 8 503 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 1- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Jacksonville State      5- 7      -2    -2           0.19
   206 A Louisiana               3- 6      -3    -2          -0.88
   207 A McNeese                 5-13      -8    -2    ---   -6.28
   207 A UL Monroe               3- 4      -1    -2           0.54
   208 A Jacksonville State      8- 7       1    -4    ++     4.67
   213 H Iowa State              5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.53
   213 A UT Arlington            1- 2      -1     0          -0.95
   214 H Wisconsin               2- 5      -3    -1          -1.75
   215 A UT Arlington            3- 4      -1     0          -0.95
   219 A Tarleton State          8- 7       1     0           1.38
   219 A Tarleton State          4- 3       1     0           1.38
   220 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 10- 5       5     5          -0.02
   220 A Army                    5-10      -5     0    --    -5.05
   221 H Pittsburgh              3- 1       2     2           0.13
   227 H South Dakota State      4- 3       1     1           0.46
   227 H Nebraska                1- 9      -8    -6          -1.90
   228 H South Dakota State      4- 3       1     1           0.46
   228 H Southeast Missouri Sta  5- 4       1     4    -     -2.85
   304 A Central Arkansas        2- 3      -1    -1           0.08
   307 H UTSA                    2- 5      -3     2    --    -5.23
   307 H UTSA                   11-12      -1     2    -     -3.23
   308 H UTSA                    1- 3      -2     2    --    -4.23
   311 A Oklahoma                1-12     -11    -9    -     -2.20
   313 A North Texas             8- 9      -1    -1           0.36
   314 A North Texas             1- 6      -5    -1    -     -3.64
   315 A North Texas             1- 9      -8    -1    ---   -6.64
   320 H South Florida           4- 6      -2    -1          -1.14
   321 H South Florida          15- 0      15    -1    +++   14.86
   322 H South Florida           3- 2       1    -1           1.86
   325 H Oklahoma State          7-10      -3    -5           1.53
   327 H Tennessee               4- 1       3    -4    +++    7.33
   328 H Tennessee              14- 1      13    -4    +++   17.33
   329 A Memphis                 6- 7      -1     2    -     -2.64
   402 A Wichita State          11-10       1    -4    ++     4.56
   403 A Wichita State           1- 7      -6    -4    -     -2.44
   404 A Wichita State           3- 9      -6    -4    -     -2.44
   408 A Kansas City             6- 3       3     2           0.53
   411 H UAB                     9- 1       8     1    +++    6.89
   411 H UAB                     1-13     -12     1    ---  -13.11
   412 H UAB                     5- 1       4     1    +      2.89
   417 A Florida Atlantic        9- 1       8    -4    +++   11.56
   418 A Florida Atlantic        3- 9      -6    -4    -     -2.44
   419 A Florida Atlantic        1- 5      -4    -4          -0.44
   422 H Arkansas                2- 7      -5    -7    +      2.09
   424 H East Carolina           2- 1       1     1          -0.30
   425 H East Carolina           0- 2      -2     1    -     -3.30
   426 A Florida Atlantic        4- 3       1    -4    ++     4.56
   429 H Drake                   0- 3      -3     2    --    -4.71
   501 A Charlotte               3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.80
   502 A Charlotte              12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.20
   503 A Charlotte               1- 9      -8    -1    ---   -6.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A McNeese                 5-13      -8    -2    ---   -6.28
   315 A North Texas             1- 9      -8    -1    ---   -6.64
   411 H UAB                     1-13     -12     1    ---  -13.11
   503 A Charlotte               1- 9      -8    -1    ---   -6.80
   220 A Army                    5-10      -5     0    --    -5.05
   307 H UTSA                    2- 5      -3     2    --    -5.23
   308 H UTSA                    1- 3      -2     2    --    -4.23
   429 H Drake                   0- 3      -3     2    --    -4.71
   213 H Iowa State              5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.53
   228 H Southeast Missouri Sta  5- 4       1     4    -     -2.85
   307 H UTSA                   11-12      -1     2    -     -3.23
   311 A Oklahoma                1-12     -11    -9    -     -2.20
   314 A North Texas             1- 6      -5    -1    -     -3.64
   329 A Memphis                 6- 7      -1     2    -     -2.64
   403 A Wichita State           1- 7      -6    -4    -     -2.44
   404 A Wichita State           3- 9      -6    -4    -     -2.44
   418 A Florida Atlantic        3- 9      -6    -4    -     -2.44
   425 H East Carolina           0- 2      -2     1    -     -3.30
   501 A Charlotte               3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H South Florida          15- 0      15    -1    +++   14.86
   327 H Tennessee               4- 1       3    -4    +++    7.33
   328 H Tennessee              14- 1      13    -4    +++   17.33
   411 H UAB                     9- 1       8     1    +++    6.89
   417 A Florida Atlantic        9- 1       8    -4    +++   11.56
   208 A Jacksonville State      8- 7       1    -4    ++     4.67
   402 A Wichita State          11-10       1    -4    ++     4.56
   426 A Florida Atlantic        4- 3       1    -4    ++     4.56
   502 A Charlotte              12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.20
   412 H UAB                     5- 1       4     1    +      2.89
   422 H Arkansas                2- 7      -5    -7    +      2.09

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     5- 7       -5.13      14.24      -0.74         0.49            -1.45
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     3- 6       -6.68      12.69       0.74         0.49            -1.47
   3 A McNeese         (18-11, 92.8)     5-13       -7.09      12.28       0.74         0.49            -1.57
   3 A UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     3- 4       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.49            -1.61
   3 A Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     8- 7       -5.13      14.24       0.74         0.49            14.81
   3 H Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)     5- 9       -5.85      13.52      -0.74         0.49            -1.63
   3 A UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     1- 2       -8.75      10.62       0.74         0.49            -1.98
   3 H Wisconsin       (32-22, 93.8)     2- 5       -6.07      13.30      -0.74         0.49            -1.68
   3 A UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     3- 4       -8.75      10.62       0.74         0.49            -1.98
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     8- 7       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.49            11.55
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     4- 3       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.49            11.55
   3 H Texas A&M-Corp  ( 2-18, 87.6)    10- 5      -12.34       7.03      -0.74         0.49             6.21
   3 A Army            ( 4- 9, 91.1)     5-10       -8.85      10.52       0.74         0.49            -2.00
   3 H Pittsburgh      (26-25, 90.7)     3- 1       -9.19      10.18      -0.74         0.49             9.33
   3 H South Dakota S  ( 8-14, 92.0)     4- 3       -7.86      11.51      -0.74         0.49            10.65
   3 H Nebraska        (51-10, 98.7)     1- 9       -1.22      18.15      -0.74         0.49            -0.48
   3 H South Dakota S  ( 8-14, 92.0)     4- 3       -7.86      11.51      -0.74         0.49            10.65
   3 H Southeast Miss  ( 0-14, 88.7)     5- 4      -11.16       8.21      -0.74         0.49             7.38
   3 A Central Arkans  ( 7- 9, 92.2)     2- 3       -7.72      11.65       0.74         0.49            -1.72
   3 H UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     2- 5       -9.55       9.82      -0.74         0.49            -2.54
   3 H UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)    11-12       -9.55       9.82      -0.74         0.49            -2.54
   3 H UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     1- 3       -9.55       9.82      -0.74         0.49            -2.54
   3 A Oklahoma        (51-11, 99.9)     1-12       -0.00      19.37       0.74         0.49            -0.18
   3 A North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     8- 9       -7.44      11.93       0.74         0.49            -1.66
   3 A North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     1- 6       -7.44      11.93       0.74         0.49            -1.66
   3 A North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     1- 9       -7.44      11.93       0.74         0.49            -1.66
   3 H South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)     4- 6       -6.46      12.91      -0.74         0.49            -1.78
   3 H South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)    15- 0       -6.46      12.91      -0.74         0.49            12.03
   3 H South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)     3- 2       -6.46      12.91      -0.74         0.49            12.03
   3 H Oklahoma State  (41-17, 97.1)     7-10       -2.79      16.58      -0.74         0.49            -0.87
   3 H Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)     4- 1       -2.99      16.38      -0.74         0.49            15.46
   3 H Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)    14- 1       -2.99      16.38      -0.74         0.49            15.46
   3 A Memphis         (17-38, 89.5)     6- 7      -10.44       8.93       0.74         0.49            -2.40
   3 A Wichita State   (36-16, 94.7)    11-10       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.49            14.70
   3 A Wichita State   (36-16, 94.7)     1- 7       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.49            -1.11
   3 A Wichita State   (36-16, 94.7)     3- 9       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.49            -1.11
   3 A Kansas City     ( 2- 8, 88.6)     6- 3      -11.27       8.10       0.74         0.49             8.74
   3 H UAB             (21-32, 91.5)     9- 1       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         0.49            10.08
   3 H UAB             (21-32, 91.5)     1-13       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         0.49            -2.27
   3 H UAB             (21-32, 91.5)     5- 1       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         0.49            10.08
   3 A Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     9- 1       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.49            14.70
   3 A Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     3- 9       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.49            -1.11
   3 A Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     1- 5       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.49            -1.11
   3 H Arkansas        (48-12, 99.7)     2- 7       -0.23      19.14      -0.74         0.49            -0.24
   3 H East Carolina   (31-27, 91.3)     2- 1       -8.62      10.75      -0.74         0.49             9.89
   3 H East Carolina   (31-27, 91.3)     0- 2       -8.62      10.75      -0.74         0.49            -2.31
   3 A Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     4- 3       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.49            14.70
   3 H Drake           ( 2-10, 90.9)     0- 3       -9.03      10.34      -0.74         0.49            -2.41
   3 A Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     3- 7       -7.60      11.77       0.74         0.49            -1.69
   3 A Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)    12- 8       -7.60      11.77       0.74         0.49            12.37
   3 A Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     1- 9       -7.60      11.77       0.74         0.49            -1.69
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       181.87

winning pts = 232.3482 losing points = -50.4828

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------