Tulsa 
W-L: (20-31) PR = 91.8384
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 5- 7
206 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 3- 6
207 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 5-13
207 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 4
208 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 8- 7
213 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 5- 9
213 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 1- 2
214 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 2- 5
215 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 3- 4
219 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 8- 7
219 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 4- 3
220 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 10- 5
220 A Army PAT ( 4- 9, 91.1) 5-10
221 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 3- 1
227 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 4- 3
227 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 1- 9
228 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 4- 3
228 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 5- 4
304 A Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2- 3
307 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 2- 5
307 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 11-12
308 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 1- 3
311 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1-12
313 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 8- 9
314 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 6
315 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 9
320 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 4- 6
321 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 15- 0
322 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 3- 2
325 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 7-10
327 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 4- 1
328 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 14- 1
329 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 6- 7
402 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 11-10
403 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 1- 7
404 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 3- 9
408 A Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 6- 3
411 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 9- 1
411 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 1-13
412 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 5- 1
417 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 9- 1
418 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 3- 9
419 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 1- 5
422 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 2- 7
424 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 2- 1
425 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 0- 2
426 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 4- 3
429 H Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 0- 3
501 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 3- 7
502 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 12- 8
503 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 1- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Jacksonville State 5- 7 -2 -2 0.19
206 A Louisiana 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.88
207 A McNeese 5-13 -8 -2 --- -6.28
207 A UL Monroe 3- 4 -1 -2 0.54
208 A Jacksonville State 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 4.67
213 H Iowa State 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.53
213 A UT Arlington 1- 2 -1 0 -0.95
214 H Wisconsin 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.75
215 A UT Arlington 3- 4 -1 0 -0.95
219 A Tarleton State 8- 7 1 0 1.38
219 A Tarleton State 4- 3 1 0 1.38
220 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 10- 5 5 5 -0.02
220 A Army 5-10 -5 0 -- -5.05
221 H Pittsburgh 3- 1 2 2 0.13
227 H South Dakota State 4- 3 1 1 0.46
227 H Nebraska 1- 9 -8 -6 -1.90
228 H South Dakota State 4- 3 1 1 0.46
228 H Southeast Missouri Sta 5- 4 1 4 - -2.85
304 A Central Arkansas 2- 3 -1 -1 0.08
307 H UTSA 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.23
307 H UTSA 11-12 -1 2 - -3.23
308 H UTSA 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.23
311 A Oklahoma 1-12 -11 -9 - -2.20
313 A North Texas 8- 9 -1 -1 0.36
314 A North Texas 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.64
315 A North Texas 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.64
320 H South Florida 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.14
321 H South Florida 15- 0 15 -1 +++ 14.86
322 H South Florida 3- 2 1 -1 1.86
325 H Oklahoma State 7-10 -3 -5 1.53
327 H Tennessee 4- 1 3 -4 +++ 7.33
328 H Tennessee 14- 1 13 -4 +++ 17.33
329 A Memphis 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.64
402 A Wichita State 11-10 1 -4 ++ 4.56
403 A Wichita State 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.44
404 A Wichita State 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.44
408 A Kansas City 6- 3 3 2 0.53
411 H UAB 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.89
411 H UAB 1-13 -12 1 --- -13.11
412 H UAB 5- 1 4 1 + 2.89
417 A Florida Atlantic 9- 1 8 -4 +++ 11.56
418 A Florida Atlantic 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.44
419 A Florida Atlantic 1- 5 -4 -4 -0.44
422 H Arkansas 2- 7 -5 -7 + 2.09
424 H East Carolina 2- 1 1 1 -0.30
425 H East Carolina 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.30
426 A Florida Atlantic 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.56
429 H Drake 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.71
501 A Charlotte 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.80
502 A Charlotte 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 5.20
503 A Charlotte 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A McNeese 5-13 -8 -2 --- -6.28
315 A North Texas 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.64
411 H UAB 1-13 -12 1 --- -13.11
503 A Charlotte 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.80
220 A Army 5-10 -5 0 -- -5.05
307 H UTSA 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.23
308 H UTSA 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.23
429 H Drake 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.71
213 H Iowa State 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.53
228 H Southeast Missouri Sta 5- 4 1 4 - -2.85
307 H UTSA 11-12 -1 2 - -3.23
311 A Oklahoma 1-12 -11 -9 - -2.20
314 A North Texas 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.64
329 A Memphis 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.64
403 A Wichita State 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.44
404 A Wichita State 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.44
418 A Florida Atlantic 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.44
425 H East Carolina 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.30
501 A Charlotte 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.80
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H South Florida 15- 0 15 -1 +++ 14.86
327 H Tennessee 4- 1 3 -4 +++ 7.33
328 H Tennessee 14- 1 13 -4 +++ 17.33
411 H UAB 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.89
417 A Florida Atlantic 9- 1 8 -4 +++ 11.56
208 A Jacksonville State 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 4.67
402 A Wichita State 11-10 1 -4 ++ 4.56
426 A Florida Atlantic 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.56
502 A Charlotte 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 5.20
412 H UAB 5- 1 4 1 + 2.89
422 H Arkansas 2- 7 -5 -7 + 2.09
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 5- 7 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.49 -1.45
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 3- 6 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.49 -1.47
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 5-13 -7.09 12.28 0.74 0.49 -1.57
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 3- 4 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.49 -1.61
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 8- 7 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.49 14.81
3 H Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 5- 9 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.49 -1.63
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 1- 2 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.49 -1.98
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 2- 5 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.49 -1.68
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 3- 4 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.49 -1.98
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 8- 7 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.49 11.55
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 4- 3 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.49 11.55
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 10- 5 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 0.49 6.21
3 A Army ( 4- 9, 91.1) 5-10 -8.85 10.52 0.74 0.49 -2.00
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 3- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.49 9.33
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 4- 3 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.49 10.65
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 1- 9 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.49 -0.48
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 4- 3 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.49 10.65
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 5- 4 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.49 7.38
3 A Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2- 3 -7.72 11.65 0.74 0.49 -1.72
3 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 2- 5 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 0.49 -2.54
3 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 11-12 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 0.49 -2.54
3 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 1- 3 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 0.49 -2.54
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1-12 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.49 -0.18
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 8- 9 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.49 -1.66
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 1- 6 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.49 -1.66
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 1- 9 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.49 -1.66
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 4- 6 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.49 -1.78
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 15- 0 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.49 12.03
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 3- 2 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.49 12.03
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 7-10 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.49 -0.87
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 4- 1 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.49 15.46
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 14- 1 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.49 15.46
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 6- 7 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.49 -2.40
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 11-10 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.49 14.70
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 1- 7 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.49 -1.11
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 3- 9 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.49 -1.11
3 A Kansas City ( 2- 8, 88.6) 6- 3 -11.27 8.10 0.74 0.49 8.74
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 9- 1 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.49 10.08
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 1-13 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.49 -2.27
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 5- 1 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.49 10.08
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 9- 1 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.49 14.70
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 3- 9 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.49 -1.11
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 1- 5 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.49 -1.11
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 2- 7 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.49 -0.24
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 2- 1 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.49 9.89
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 0- 2 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.49 -2.31
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 4- 3 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.49 14.70
3 H Drake ( 2-10, 90.9) 0- 3 -9.03 10.34 -0.74 0.49 -2.41
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 3- 7 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.49 -1.69
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 12- 8 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.49 12.37
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 1- 9 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.49 -1.69
------
181.87
|
winning pts = 232.3482 losing points = -50.4828
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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