UT Arlington
W-L: (25-22) PR = 91.1478Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H UMass Lowell AE ( 2- 4, 89.4) 6- 1 206 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 9-11 207 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 15-16 207 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 9 208 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 20-12 213 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 2- 1 213 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 4-14 214 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 11-15 215 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 4- 3 220 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 0- 6 220 H Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 4-11 221 H South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 8- 7 221 H South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 7-15 222 A Elon CA ( 1-14, 87.0) 4- 1 224 A Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 6-14 227 A Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 8- 0 227 A North Dakota SM ( 4- 5, 91.6) 7- 8 228 H North Dakota SM ( 4- 5, 91.6) 8-16 228 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 3-11 301 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 11- 4 301 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 11- 4 305 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 0- 5 311 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 1- 9 313 H Columbia IVY ( 1- 3, 87.5) 3- 5 313 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 4- 1 314 H Columbia IVY ( 1- 3, 87.5) 9- 2 314 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 6- 4 320 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 6 320 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 12- 8 321 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 2- 7 324 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 0- 8 327 A Detroit Mercy HL ( 0- 8, 86.2) 7- 0 328 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 7- 7 328 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 7 403 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 7-13 403 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 6- 9 404 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 9- 7 408 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 5- 4 410 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 8-11 410 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 2- 0 411 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 4- 7 417 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 15- 4 417 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 12- 1 418 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 9- 4 421 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 3- 0 424 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 6- 4 424 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 6- 5 425 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 8- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H UMass Lowell 6- 1 5 3 + 2.47
206 A New Mexico State 9-11 -2 -2 -0.49
207 A UTEP 15-16 -1 2 - -2.77
207 A UTEP 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.77
208 A New Mexico State 20-12 8 -2 +++ 9.51
213 H Tulsa 2- 1 1 0 0.95
213 H Wisconsin 4-14 -10 -2 --- -8.06
214 H Iowa State 11-15 -4 -2 -1.84
215 H Tulsa 4- 3 1 0 0.95
220 H Wichita State 0- 6 -6 -3 - -3.23
220 H Creighton 4-11 -7 1 --- -8.12
221 H South Dakota 8- 7 1 0 0.81
221 H South Dakota 7-15 -8 0 --- -8.19
222 A Elon 4- 1 3 3 -0.40
224 A Stephen F. Austin 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.53
227 A Saint Francis 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.34
227 A North Dakota 7- 8 -1 -1 0.16
228 H North Dakota 8-16 -8 0 --- -8.32
228 H New Mexico State 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.97
301 A UTSA 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.95
301 A UTSA 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.95
305 H SE Louisiana 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.22
311 A Middle Tennessee 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.16
313 H Columbia 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.36
313 H South Dakota State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.15
314 H Columbia 9- 2 7 4 + 2.64
314 H South Dakota State 6- 4 2 0 + 2.15
320 A Abilene Christian 11- 6 5 3 + 2.33
320 A Abilene Christian 12- 8 4 3 1.33
321 A Abilene Christian 2- 7 -5 3 --- -7.67
324 A Baylor 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.18
327 A Detroit Mercy 7- 0 7 4 + 2.82
328 A Oregon 7- 7 0 -6 +++ 6.10
328 A Jacksonville State 2- 7 -5 -4 -0.64
403 A Utah Valley 7-13 -6 -1 -- -5.08
403 A Utah Valley 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.08
404 A Utah Valley 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.92
408 H Baylor 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.34
410 H California Baptist 8-11 -3 -1 -1.68
410 H California Baptist 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.32
411 H California Baptist 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.68
417 A Utah Tech 15- 4 11 1 +++ 9.79
417 A Utah Tech 12- 1 11 1 +++ 9.79
418 A Utah Tech 9- 4 5 1 + 3.79
421 A Wisconsin 3- 0 3 -3 +++ 6.42
424 H Southern Utah 6- 4 2 1 0.82
424 H Southern Utah 6- 5 1 1 -0.18
425 A Maryland 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.85
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Wisconsin 4-14 -10 -2 --- -8.06 220 H Creighton 4-11 -7 1 --- -8.12 221 H South Dakota 7-15 -8 0 --- -8.19 228 H North Dakota 8-16 -8 0 --- -8.32 228 H New Mexico State 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.97 311 A Middle Tennessee 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.16 313 H Columbia 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.36 321 A Abilene Christian 2- 7 -5 3 --- -7.67 224 A Stephen F. Austin 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.53 324 A Baylor 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.18 403 A Utah Valley 7-13 -6 -1 -- -5.08 207 A UTEP 15-16 -1 2 - -2.77 207 A UTEP 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.77 220 H Wichita State 0- 6 -6 -3 - -3.23 305 H SE Louisiana 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.22 403 A Utah Valley 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A New Mexico State 20-12 8 -2 +++ 9.51 301 A UTSA 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.95 301 A UTSA 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.95 328 A Oregon 7- 7 0 -6 +++ 6.10 417 A Utah Tech 15- 4 11 1 +++ 9.79 417 A Utah Tech 12- 1 11 1 +++ 9.79 421 A Wisconsin 3- 0 3 -3 +++ 6.42 227 A Saint Francis 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.34 425 A Maryland 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.85 206 H UMass Lowell 6- 1 5 3 + 2.47 313 H South Dakota State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.15 314 H Columbia 9- 2 7 4 + 2.64 314 H South Dakota State 6- 4 2 0 + 2.15 320 A Abilene Christian 11- 6 5 3 + 2.33 327 A Detroit Mercy 7- 0 7 4 + 2.82 404 A Utah Valley 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.92 408 H Baylor 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.34 410 H California Baptist 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.32 418 A Utah Tech 9- 4 5 1 + 3.79 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UMass Lowell ( 2- 4, 89.4) 6- 1 -10.54 8.83 -0.74 0.53 8.50
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 9-11 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.53 -1.90
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 15-16 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.53 -2.76
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 9 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.53 -2.76
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 20-12 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.53 12.74
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 2- 1 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.53 11.10
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 4-14 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.53 -1.79
3 H Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 11-15 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.53 -1.73
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 4- 3 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.53 11.10
3 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 0- 6 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.53 -1.57
3 H Creighton ( 4-12, 90.8) 4-11 -9.13 10.24 -0.74 0.53 -2.59
3 H South Dakota ( 5-14, 91.7) 8- 7 -8.20 11.17 -0.74 0.53 10.95
3 H South Dakota ( 5-14, 91.7) 7-15 -8.20 11.17 -0.74 0.53 -2.35
3 A Elon ( 1-14, 87.0) 4- 1 -12.90 6.47 0.74 0.53 7.58
3 A Stephen F. Aus ( 6- 5, 92.9) 6-14 -7.02 12.35 0.74 0.53 -1.65
3 A Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 8- 0 -13.16 6.21 0.74 0.53 7.30
3 A North Dakota ( 4- 5, 91.6) 7- 8 -8.33 11.04 0.74 0.53 -1.99
3 H North Dakota ( 4- 5, 91.6) 8-16 -8.33 11.04 -0.74 0.53 -2.38
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 3-11 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.53 -2.29
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 11- 4 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.53 11.09
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 11- 4 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.53 11.09
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 0- 5 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.53 -1.83
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 1- 9 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.53 -2.34
3 H Columbia ( 1- 3, 87.5) 3- 5 -12.37 7.00 -0.74 0.53 -3.44
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 4- 1 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.53 11.31
3 H Columbia ( 1- 3, 87.5) 9- 2 -12.37 7.00 -0.74 0.53 6.57
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 6- 4 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.53 11.31
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 6 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.53 8.35
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 12- 8 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.53 8.35
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 2- 7 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.53 -3.00
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 0- 8 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.53 -1.29
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0- 8, 86.2) 7- 0 -13.68 5.69 0.74 0.53 6.76
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 7- 7 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.53 0.00
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 2- 7 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.53 -1.15
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 7-13 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.53 -2.06
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 6- 9 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.53 -2.06
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 9- 7 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.53 12.11
3 H Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 5- 4 -5.67 13.70 -0.74 0.53 13.60
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 8-11 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.53 -1.95
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 2- 0 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.53 12.54
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 4- 7 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.53 -1.95
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 15- 4 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.53 9.88
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 12- 1 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.53 9.88
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 9- 4 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.53 9.88
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 3- 0 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.53 14.74
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 6- 4 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.53 9.91
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 6- 5 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.53 9.91
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 8- 3 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.53 10.99
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210.69
|
winning pts = 257.5345 losing points = -46.8464
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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