UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Texas Tech
  
Texas Tech            
W-L: (60-11) PR = 99.2397

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 13- 3 206 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 10- 2 206 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 13- 1 207 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 3- 2 207 A Providence BE ( 0-11, 85.2) 13- 1 208 H Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 12- 0 212 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 3- 2 212 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 5- 0 213 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 8- 0 214 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 14- 1 214 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 5- 0 215 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 5 219 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 12- 2 220 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 1- 8, 86.9) 8- 0 221 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 6- 3 221 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 5- 0 222 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 16- 9 226 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 24- 0 227 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 10- 2 228 H Detroit Mercy HL ( 0- 8, 86.2) 9- 0 228 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 18- 0 301 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 24- 1 301 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 7- 2 301 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 24- 1 301 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 7- 2 306 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 10- 0 306 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 11- 1 307 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 12- 6 313 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0- 9 314 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 14- 6 314 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 8- 0 320 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 4- 3 321 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 9- 0 322 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 7- 2 324 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 12- 0 327 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 9- 0 328 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 10- 6 329 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 17- 6 331 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 9- 1 402 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 11- 1 403 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 10- 1 404 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 12- 4 410 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 10- 2 411 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0- 4 412 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 7- 1 413 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 17- 7 414 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 10- 0 415 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 0- 3 422 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 16- 0 422 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 11- 1 424 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 6- 0 425 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 7-10 426 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 7- 2 428 A Furman SO ( 0- 8, 84.7) 12-12 430 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 5-10 501 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 7- 8 502 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 8- 0 507 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 7- 0 508 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 14- 0 509 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0- 4 515 H Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 10- 3 516 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 10- 9 517 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 14- 2 522 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 10- 8 523 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 2-10 524 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 16- 7 528 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 8- 0 530 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 2 531 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 8- 7 601 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 5- 4 601 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 2- 0 603 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 3- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 A McNeese                13- 3      10     6    ++     4.32
   206 H North Texas            10- 2       8     8           0.47
   206 A UL Monroe              13- 1      12     6    +++    6.14
   207 A Texas A&M               3- 2       1     2          -0.71
   207 A Providence             13- 1      12    13          -1.26
   208 H Bryant                 12- 0      12    13          -1.17
   212 H Florida State           3- 2       1     3          -1.51
   212 A Northwestern            5- 0       5     3           1.93
   213 A Florida Atlantic        8- 0       8     4    ++     4.16
   214 H NC State               14- 1      13     7    ++     5.79
   214 H James Madison           5- 0       5     7    -     -2.25
   215 H Stanford                2- 5      -3     4    ---   -6.65
   219 H Fresno State           12- 2      10     8           1.61
   220 H Bethune-Cookman         8- 0       8    13    --    -5.12
   221 A Cal State Fullerton     6- 3       3     4          -0.67
   221 A San Diego State         5- 0       5     6          -1.25
   222 H Louisiana              16- 9       7     7           0.23
   226 H Abilene Christian      24- 0      24    12           1.76
   227 H North Texas            10- 2       8     8           0.47
   228 H Detroit Mercy           9- 0       9    14    --    -4.76
   228 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 18- 0      18    12           1.58
   301 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 24- 1      23    12           1.58
   301 H North Texas             7- 2       5     8    -     -2.53
   301 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 24- 1      23    12           1.58
   301 H North Texas             7- 2       5     8    -     -2.53
   306 A Houston                10- 0      10     7    +      2.61
   306 A Houston                11- 1      10     7    +      2.61
   307 A Houston                12- 6       6     7          -1.39
   313 H Arizona                 0- 9      -9     3    ---  -11.91
   314 H Arizona                14- 6       8     3    ++     5.09
   314 H Arizona                 8- 0       8     3    ++     5.09
   320 A UCF                     4- 3       1     2          -1.25
   321 A UCF                     9- 0       9     2    +++    6.75
   322 A UCF                     7- 2       5     2    +      2.75
   324 A Tarleton State         12- 0      12     7    ++     4.98
   327 A Western Kentucky        9- 0       9     5    ++     4.09
   328 A Tarleton State         10- 6       4     7    -     -3.02
   329 H Iowa State             17- 6      11     6    ++     5.07
   331 A Abilene Christian       9- 1       8    11    -     -2.76
   402 H BYU                    11- 1      10     9           1.44
   403 H BYU                    10- 1       9     9           0.44
   404 H BYU                    12- 4       8     9          -0.56
   410 A Utah                   10- 2       8     3    ++     4.82
   411 A Utah                    0- 4      -4     3    ---   -7.18
   412 A Utah                    7- 1       6     3    +      2.82
   413 A Utah State             17- 7      10     9           0.90
   414 A UTSA                   10- 0      10     8           1.85
   415 A Texas State             0- 3      -3     5    ---   -7.89
   422 A UTEP                   16- 0      16    10    ++     4.14
   422 A UTEP                   11- 1      10    10           0.14
   424 A Arizona State           6- 0       6     2    +      3.95
   425 H Grand Canyon            7-10      -3     4    ---   -7.31
   426 H Tennessee               7- 2       5     3           1.93
   428 A Furman                 12-12       0    14    ---  -13.81
   430 A Grand Canyon            5-10      -5     3    ---   -7.83
   501 H Baylor                  7- 8      -1     6    ---   -6.76
   502 H Baylor                  8- 0       8     6    +      2.24
   507 H Baylor                  7- 0       7     6           1.24
   508 H Kansas                 14- 0      14     5    +++    9.21
   509 H Arizona State           0- 4      -4     4    ---   -7.53
   515 H Marist                 10- 3       7    11    -     -3.68
   516 H Ole Miss               10- 9       1     5    -     -3.68
   517 A Ole Miss               14- 2      12     3    +++    8.80
   522 A Florida                10- 8       2     1           1.19
   523 H Florida                 2-10      -8     2    ---  -10.29
   524 A Florida                16- 7       9     1    +++    8.19
   528 H Mississippi State       8- 0       8     3    ++     4.55
   530 A Tennessee               1- 2      -1     2    -     -2.58
   531 A UCLA                    8- 7       1    -1    +      2.05
   601 H Alabama                 5- 4       1     1           0.15
   601 A Alabama                 2- 0       2    -1    +      2.64
   603 A Texas                   3- 7      -4     0    -     -3.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Stanford                2- 5      -3     4    ---   -6.65
   313 H Arizona                 0- 9      -9     3    ---  -11.91
   411 A Utah                    0- 4      -4     3    ---   -7.18
   415 A Texas State             0- 3      -3     5    ---   -7.89
   425 H Grand Canyon            7-10      -3     4    ---   -7.31
   428 A Furman                 12-12       0    14    ---  -13.81
   430 A Grand Canyon            5-10      -5     3    ---   -7.83
   501 H Baylor                  7- 8      -1     6    ---   -6.76
   509 H Arizona State           0- 4      -4     4    ---   -7.53
   523 H Florida                 2-10      -8     2    ---  -10.29
   220 H Bethune-Cookman         8- 0       8    13    --    -5.12
   228 H Detroit Mercy           9- 0       9    14    --    -4.76
   214 H James Madison           5- 0       5     7    -     -2.25
   301 H North Texas             7- 2       5     8    -     -2.53
   301 H North Texas             7- 2       5     8    -     -2.53
   328 A Tarleton State         10- 6       4     7    -     -3.02
   331 A Abilene Christian       9- 1       8    11    -     -2.76
   515 H Marist                 10- 3       7    11    -     -3.68
   516 H Ole Miss               10- 9       1     5    -     -3.68
   530 A Tennessee               1- 2      -1     2    -     -2.58
   603 A Texas                   3- 7      -4     0    -     -3.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A UL Monroe              13- 1      12     6    +++    6.14
   321 A UCF                     9- 0       9     2    +++    6.75
   508 H Kansas                 14- 0      14     5    +++    9.21
   517 A Ole Miss               14- 2      12     3    +++    8.80
   524 A Florida                16- 7       9     1    +++    8.19
   205 A McNeese                13- 3      10     6    ++     4.32
   213 A Florida Atlantic        8- 0       8     4    ++     4.16
   214 H NC State               14- 1      13     7    ++     5.79
   314 H Arizona                14- 6       8     3    ++     5.09
   314 H Arizona                 8- 0       8     3    ++     5.09
   324 A Tarleton State         12- 0      12     7    ++     4.98
   327 A Western Kentucky        9- 0       9     5    ++     4.09
   329 H Iowa State             17- 6      11     6    ++     5.07
   410 A Utah                   10- 2       8     3    ++     4.82
   422 A UTEP                   16- 0      16    10    ++     4.14
   528 H Mississippi State       8- 0       8     3    ++     4.55
   306 A Houston                10- 0      10     7    +      2.61
   306 A Houston                11- 1      10     7    +      2.61
   322 A UCF                     7- 2       5     2    +      2.75
   412 A Utah                    7- 1       6     3    +      2.82
   424 A Arizona State           6- 0       6     2    +      3.95
   502 H Baylor                  8- 0       8     6    +      2.24
   531 A UCLA                    8- 7       1    -1    +      2.05
   601 A Alabama                 2- 0       2    -1    +      2.64

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A McNeese         (18-11, 92.8)    13- 3       -7.09      12.28       0.74         0.35             9.12
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)    10- 2       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.35             7.83
   3 A UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)    13- 1       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.35             9.00
   3 A Texas A&M       (38-19, 96.8)     3- 2       -3.12      16.25       0.74         0.35            11.90
   3 A Providence      ( 0-11, 85.2)    13- 1      -14.66       4.71       0.74         0.35             3.82
   3 H Bryant          ( 3-12, 86.8)    12- 0      -13.09       6.28      -0.74         0.35             3.88
   3 H Florida State   (52-10, 97.5)     3- 2       -2.42      16.95      -0.74         0.35            11.34
   3 A Northwestern    (29-20, 95.4)     5- 0       -4.47      14.90       0.74         0.35            10.95
   3 A Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     8- 0       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.35            10.41
   3 H NC State        (28-26, 92.8)    14- 1       -7.13      12.24      -0.74         0.35             8.05
   3 H James Madison   (28-21, 92.7)     5- 0       -7.17      12.20      -0.74         0.35             8.02
   3 H Stanford        (38-15, 96.3)     2- 5       -3.57      15.80      -0.74         0.35            -0.75
   3 H Fresno State    (22-23, 91.6)    12- 2       -8.30      11.07      -0.74         0.35             7.23
   3 H Bethune-Cookma  ( 1- 8, 86.9)     8- 0      -13.04       6.33      -0.74         0.35             3.91
   3 A Cal State Full  (10-11, 94.8)     6- 3       -5.08      14.29       0.74         0.35            10.53
   3 A San Diego Stat  (25-23, 92.3)     5- 0       -7.65      11.72       0.74         0.35             8.73
   3 H Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)    16- 9       -6.68      12.69      -0.74         0.35             8.36
   3 H Abilene Christ  ( 8-41, 87.7)    24- 0      -12.16       7.21      -0.74         0.35             4.53
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)    10- 2       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.35             7.83
   3 H Detroit Mercy   ( 0- 8, 86.2)     9- 0      -13.68       5.69      -0.74         0.35             3.47
   3 H Texas A&M-Corp  ( 2-18, 87.6)    18- 0      -12.34       7.03      -0.74         0.35             4.40
   3 H Texas A&M-Corp  ( 2-18, 87.6)    24- 1      -12.34       7.03      -0.74         0.35             4.40
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     7- 2       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.35             7.83
   3 H Texas A&M-Corp  ( 2-18, 87.6)    24- 1      -12.34       7.03      -0.74         0.35             4.40
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     7- 2       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.35             7.83
   3 A Houston         (20-30, 91.1)    10- 0       -8.79      10.58       0.74         0.35             7.93
   3 A Houston         (20-30, 91.1)    11- 1       -8.79      10.58       0.74         0.35             7.93
   3 A Houston         (20-30, 91.1)    12- 6       -8.79      10.58       0.74         0.35             7.93
   3 H Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)     0- 9       -2.83      16.54      -0.74         0.35            -0.62
   3 H Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)    14- 6       -2.83      16.54      -0.74         0.35            11.06
   3 H Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)     8- 0       -2.83      16.54      -0.74         0.35            11.06
   3 A UCF             (40-20, 96.2)     4- 3       -3.65      15.72       0.74         0.35            11.53
   3 A UCF             (40-20, 96.2)     9- 0       -3.65      15.72       0.74         0.35            11.53
   3 A UCF             (40-20, 96.2)     7- 2       -3.65      15.72       0.74         0.35            11.53
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)    12- 0       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.35             8.18
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     9- 0       -6.31      13.06       0.74         0.35             9.66
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)    10- 6       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.35             8.18
   3 H Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)    17- 6       -5.85      13.52      -0.74         0.35             8.95
   3 A Abilene Christ  ( 8-41, 87.7)     9- 1      -12.16       7.21       0.74         0.35             5.57
   3 H BYU             (19-29, 91.4)    11- 1       -8.48      10.89      -0.74         0.35             7.11
   3 H BYU             (19-29, 91.4)    10- 1       -8.48      10.89      -0.74         0.35             7.11
   3 H BYU             (19-29, 91.4)    12- 4       -8.48      10.89      -0.74         0.35             7.11
   3 A Utah            (36-19, 95.3)    10- 2       -4.58      14.79       0.74         0.35            10.87
   3 A Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     0- 4       -4.58      14.79       0.74         0.35            -0.67
   3 A Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     7- 1       -4.58      14.79       0.74         0.35            10.87
   3 A Utah State      (22-32, 89.4)    17- 7      -10.50       8.87       0.74         0.35             6.73
   3 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)    10- 0       -9.55       9.82       0.74         0.35             7.40
   3 A Texas State     (36-23, 93.6)     0- 3       -6.29      13.08       0.74         0.35            -0.97
   3 A UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)    16- 0      -11.26       8.11       0.74         0.35             6.20
   3 A UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)    11- 1      -11.26       8.11       0.74         0.35             6.20
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     6- 0       -3.45      15.92       0.74         0.35            11.67
   3 H Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     7-10       -4.23      15.14      -0.74         0.35            -0.87
   3 H Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)     7- 2       -2.99      16.38      -0.74         0.35            10.95
   3 A Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     5-10       -4.23      15.14       0.74         0.35            -0.61
   3 H Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     7- 8       -5.67      13.70      -0.74         0.35            -1.12
   3 H Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     8- 0       -5.67      13.70      -0.74         0.35             9.07
   3 H Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     7- 0       -5.67      13.70      -0.74         0.35             9.07
   3 H Kansas          (34-24, 95.2)    14- 0       -4.71      14.66      -0.74         0.35             9.75
   3 H Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     0- 4       -3.45      15.92      -0.74         0.35            -0.73
   3 H Marist          ( 3-10, 89.3)    10- 3      -10.60       8.77      -0.74         0.35             5.62
   3 H Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)    10- 9       -4.60      14.77      -0.74         0.35             9.82
   3 A Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)    14- 2       -4.60      14.77       0.74         0.35            10.86
   3 A Florida         (51-13, 97.7)    10- 8       -2.21      17.16       0.74         0.35            12.53
   3 H Florida         (51-13, 97.7)     2-10       -2.21      17.16      -0.74         0.35            -0.52
   3 A Florida         (51-13, 97.7)    16- 7       -2.21      17.16       0.74         0.35            12.53
   3 H Mississippi St  (43-20, 96.5)     8- 0       -3.37      16.00      -0.74         0.35            10.68
   3 A Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)     1- 2       -2.99      16.38       0.74         0.35            -0.39
   3 A UCLA            (52-11, 99.5)     8- 7       -0.35      19.02       0.74         0.35            13.83
   3 H Alabama         (58- 8, 99.1)     5- 4       -0.76      18.61      -0.74         0.35            12.51
   3 A Alabama         (58- 8, 99.1)     2- 0       -0.76      18.61       0.74         0.35            13.55
   3 A Texas           (52-13, 99.0)     3- 7       -0.94      18.43       0.74         0.35            -0.04
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       513.49

winning pts = 520.7957 losing points = -7.3049

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------