UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick UC Davis
  
UC Davis              
W-L: ( 5- 6) PR = 91.4519

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 2- 6 213 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 5- 1 215 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 10- 8 220 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 11-14 221 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 9- 0 227 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 4-12 228 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 0- 4 301 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 4- 0 301 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 4- 0 309 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 5- 6 407 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 0- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Colorado State          2- 6      -4     1    --    -4.77
   213 A UNLV                    5- 1       4    -1    ++     4.80
   215 A UNLV                   10- 8       2    -1    +      2.80
   220 A Utah Tech              11-14      -3     2    --    -4.52
   221 A Utah Tech               9- 0       9     2    +++    7.48
   227 H Nevada                  4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.75
   228 H Nevada                  0- 4      -4    -3          -0.75
   301 H San José State         4- 0       4     2           1.72
   301 H San José State         4- 0       4     2           1.72
   309 H Utah Valley             5- 6      -1     1          -1.87
   407 H Stanford                0- 6      -6    -4          -1.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Colorado State          2- 6      -4     1    --    -4.77
   220 A Utah Tech              11-14      -3     2    --    -4.52
   227 H Nevada                  4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Utah Tech               9- 0       9     2    +++    7.48
   213 A UNLV                    5- 1       4    -1    ++     4.80
   215 A UNLV                   10- 8       2    -1    +      2.80

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Colorado State  (25-27, 91.4)     2- 6       -8.47      10.90      -0.74         2.29           -10.56
   3 A UNLV            (29-21, 91.5)     5- 1       -8.39      10.98       0.74         2.29            53.71
   3 A UNLV            (29-21, 91.5)    10- 8       -8.39      10.98       0.74         2.29            53.71
   3 A Utah Tech       (20-31, 89.2)    11-14      -10.71       8.66       0.74         2.29           -11.42
   3 A Utah Tech       (20-31, 89.2)     9- 0      -10.71       8.66       0.74         2.29            43.10
   3 H Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     4-12       -4.45      14.92      -0.74         2.29            -5.95
   3 H Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     0- 4       -4.45      14.92      -0.74         2.29            -5.95
   3 H San José Stat  (14-33, 89.9)     4- 0       -9.99       9.38      -0.74         2.29            39.59
   3 H San José Stat  (14-33, 89.9)     4- 0       -9.99       9.38      -0.74         2.29            39.59
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     5- 6       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         2.29           -10.68
   3 H Stanford        (38-15, 96.3)     0- 6       -3.57      15.80      -0.74         2.29            -4.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       180.20

winning pts = 229.6951 losing points = -49.4951

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------