UConn
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 91.3988Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 2- 6 206 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1-10 207 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 9-10 208 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 6 220 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 0- 3 221 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 2-10 222 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 227 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1- 3 227 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 4- 5 228 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 7- 1 320 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 4-12 321 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 2-10 322 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 4- 9 407 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 6- 5 515 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 3-17 516 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 3-10 516 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 5- 1
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Samford 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.28
206 H Marshall 1-10 -9 -2 --- -7.27
207 A Iowa 9-10 -1 -2 1.30
208 A Florida State 0- 6 -6 -7 0.82
220 A Wisconsin 0- 3 -3 -3 0.17
221 A Louisville 2-10 -8 -5 - -3.10
227 H Marshall 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.27
227 A Marshall 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.21
228 A Liberty 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 7.71
320 A Arkansas 4-12 -8 -9 1.01
321 A Arkansas 2-10 -8 -9 1.01
322 A Arkansas 4- 9 -5 -9 ++ 4.01
407 A Boston College 6- 5 1 0 0.75
515 A Texas A&M 3-17 -14 -6 --- -7.87
516 H Texas A&M 3-10 -7 -5 - -2.36
516 A McNeese 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Marshall 1-10 -9 -2 --- -7.27 515 A Texas A&M 3-17 -14 -6 --- -7.87 205 A Samford 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.28 221 A Louisville 2-10 -8 -5 - -3.10 516 H Texas A&M 3-10 -7 -5 - -2.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Liberty 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 7.71 516 A McNeese 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.16 322 A Arkansas 4- 9 -5 -9 ++ 4.01 227 A Marshall 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.21 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 2- 6 -9.52 9.85 0.74 1.58 -6.91
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 1-10 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 1.58 -5.34
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 9-10 -6.94 12.43 0.74 1.58 -4.88
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 6 -2.42 16.95 0.74 1.58 -1.32
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 0- 3 -6.07 13.30 0.74 1.58 -4.20
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 2-10 -4.35 15.02 0.74 1.58 -2.84
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 1- 3 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 1.58 -5.34
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 4- 5 -6.03 13.34 0.74 1.58 -4.17
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 7- 1 -7.53 11.84 0.74 1.58 39.63
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 4-12 -0.23 19.14 0.74 1.58 -0.40
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 2-10 -0.23 19.14 0.74 1.58 -0.40
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 4- 9 -0.23 19.14 0.74 1.58 -0.40
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 6- 5 -9.49 9.88 0.74 1.58 33.46
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 3-17 -3.12 16.25 0.74 1.58 -1.87
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 3-10 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 1.58 -3.04
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 5- 1 -7.09 12.28 0.74 1.58 41.04
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73.02
|
winning pts = 114.1284 losing points = -41.1110
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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