UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick UC Riverside
  
UC Riverside          
W-L: ( 2-11) PR = 89.4613

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 1- 9 207 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 11- 6 208 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 0-17 220 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 0- 8 221 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 2-10 222 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0- 1 222 A Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 0- 3 226 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1- 9 227 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 6- 5 228 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 2- 5 228 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0- 5 407 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0- 3 416 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 1- 2

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Utah                    1- 9      -8    -5    -     -2.89
   207 H Utah Tech              11- 6       5     1    +      3.99
   208 A UCLA                    0-17     -17   -11    -     -3.17
   220 A San Diego State         0- 8      -8    -4    --    -4.47
   221 A Nevada                  2-10      -8    -7          -1.27
   222 A Creighton               0- 3      -3    -2          -0.95
   226 A Arizona State           1- 9      -8    -8          -0.27
   227 A UNLV                    6- 5       1    -3    +      3.79
   228 H UNLV                    2- 5      -3    -1          -1.70
   228 A Grand Canyon            0- 5      -5    -7           1.95
   407 A California Baptist      0- 3      -3    -4           1.49
   416 A California Baptist      1- 2      -1    -4    +      3.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A San Diego State         0- 8      -8    -4    --    -4.47
   206 H Utah                    1- 9      -8    -5    -     -2.89
   208 A UCLA                    0-17     -17   -11    -     -3.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Utah Tech              11- 6       5     1    +      3.99
   227 A UNLV                    6- 5       1    -3    +      3.79
   416 A California Baptist      1- 2      -1    -4    +      3.49

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     1- 9       -4.58      14.79      -0.74         1.94            -5.16
   3 H Utah Tech       (20-31, 89.2)    11- 6      -10.71       8.66      -0.74         1.94            30.71
   3 A UCLA            (52-11, 99.5)     0-17       -0.35      19.02       0.74         1.94            -0.38
   3 A San Diego Stat  (25-23, 92.3)     0- 8       -7.65      11.72       0.74         1.94            -6.70
   3 A Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     2-10       -4.45      14.92       0.74         1.94            -3.60
   3 A Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     0- 1       -4.58      14.79       0.74         1.94            -3.72
   3 A Creighton       ( 4-12, 90.8)     0- 3       -9.13      10.24       0.74         1.94            -8.13
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     1- 9       -3.45      15.92       0.74         1.94            -2.63
   3 A UNLV            (29-21, 91.5)     6- 5       -8.39      10.98       0.74         1.94            45.44
   3 H UNLV            (29-21, 91.5)     2- 5       -8.39      10.98      -0.74         1.94            -8.86
   3 A Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     0- 5       -4.23      15.14       0.74         1.94            -3.38
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     0- 3       -6.69      12.68       0.74         1.94            -5.77
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     1- 2       -6.69      12.68       0.74         1.94            -5.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        22.08

winning pts = 76.1561 losing points = -54.0739

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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