UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick USC Upstate
  
USC Upstate           
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 90.6332

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 13- 5 227 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 4-15 228 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 5-13 301 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3-11 301 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 1- 2 301 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3-11 301 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 1- 2 404 H Gardner-Webb BSO ( 2- 4, 87.4) 1- 4 408 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 6-19 428 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 1-13 515 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 516 A Belmont MV ( 5- 5, 93.3) 10- 1 516 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 5- 4 517 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Troy                   13- 5       8    -1    +++    9.38
   227 H Virginia Tech           4-15     -11    -6    --    -5.35
   228 A Auburn                  5-13      -8    -5    -     -3.14
   301 A Virginia Tech           3-11      -8    -7          -0.86
   301 A Auburn                  1- 2      -1    -5    +      3.86
   301 A Virginia Tech           3-11      -8    -7          -0.86
   301 A Auburn                  1- 2      -1    -5    +      3.86
   404 H Gardner-Webb            1- 4      -3     4    ---   -7.02
   408 A Georgia                 6-19     -13    -8    --    -5.20
   428 H Notre Dame              1-13     -12    -2    ---  -10.39
   515 A Alabama                 0- 8      -8    -9           1.25
   516 A Belmont                10- 1       9    -3    +++   12.41
   516 H SE Louisiana            5- 4       1    -2    +      3.29
   517 H Alabama                 0- 9      -9    -8          -1.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Gardner-Webb            1- 4      -3     4    ---   -7.02
   428 H Notre Dame              1-13     -12    -2    ---  -10.39
   227 H Virginia Tech           4-15     -11    -6    --    -5.35
   408 A Georgia                 6-19     -13    -8    --    -5.20
   228 A Auburn                  5-13      -8    -5    -     -3.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Troy                   13- 5       8    -1    +++    9.38
   516 A Belmont                10- 1       9    -3    +++   12.41
   301 A Auburn                  1- 2      -1    -5    +      3.86
   301 A Auburn                  1- 2      -1    -5    +      3.86
   516 H SE Louisiana            5- 4       1    -2    +      3.29

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Troy            (31-20, 92.8)    13- 5       -7.14      12.23      -0.74         1.80            41.35
   3 H Virginia Tech   (48-12, 97.0)     4-15       -2.87      16.50      -0.74         1.80            -3.25
   3 A Auburn          (29-27, 94.8)     5-13       -5.15      14.22       0.74         1.80            -3.97
   3 A Virginia Tech   (48-12, 97.0)     3-11       -2.87      16.50       0.74         1.80            -1.92
   3 A Auburn          (29-27, 94.8)     1- 2       -5.15      14.22       0.74         1.80            -3.97
   3 A Virginia Tech   (48-12, 97.0)     3-11       -2.87      16.50       0.74         1.80            -1.92
   3 A Auburn          (29-27, 94.8)     1- 2       -5.15      14.22       0.74         1.80            -3.97
   3 H Gardner-Webb    ( 2- 4, 87.4)     1- 4      -12.54       6.83      -0.74         1.80           -11.96
   3 A Georgia         (44-17, 97.7)     6-19       -2.21      17.16       0.74         1.80            -1.32
   3 H Notre Dame      (24-29, 93.0)     1-13       -6.91      12.46      -0.74         1.80            -6.89
   3 A Alabama         (58- 8, 99.1)     0- 8       -0.76      18.61       0.74         1.80            -0.02
   3 A Belmont         ( 5- 5, 93.3)    10- 1       -6.60      12.77       0.74         1.80            48.67
   3 H SE Louisiana    (12-15, 93.7)     5- 4       -6.23      13.14      -0.74         1.80            44.63
   3 H Alabama         (58- 8, 99.1)     0- 9       -0.76      18.61      -0.74         1.80            -1.36
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        94.12

winning pts = 134.6470 losing points = -40.5258

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------