Utah State
W-L: (22-32) PR = 89.4008Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 8- 0 205 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 9 206 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 4- 2 207 H Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 5- 1 207 A Providence BE ( 0-11, 85.2) 3- 1 213 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 5- 4 213 H Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 3- 6 214 A Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 7- 2 214 A Hawai'i BW ( 0- 7, 87.6) 5- 1 215 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 8- 7 220 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3-10 220 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 4 221 A Seton Hall BE ( 0- 5, 87.2) 8- 3 221 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 2-11 222 H Seton Hall BE ( 0- 5, 87.2) 3- 1 227 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 2- 1 227 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 1-10 228 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 7-13 228 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0-11 301 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 0- 4 301 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 0- 4 306 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 1- 7 306 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 2-18 307 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 0-14 310 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 2-13 313 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 9- 2 314 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 8- 4 315 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 2- 6 317 A Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 2- 1 320 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 6-13 321 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 7- 6 322 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 6-10 327 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 3- 5 328 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 1- 1 329 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0- 7 402 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 4- 3 403 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 1- 9 404 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 5- 4 408 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 6-11 408 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 2-13 411 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 4- 7 412 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 8-12 413 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 7-17 414 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 5- 1 417 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 6- 5 418 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 5-10 419 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 7- 6 421 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 4-10 424 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 8-11 424 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 5- 7 425 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 6-15 428 A Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 7- 0 430 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 6- 0 501 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 3-11 502 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Abilene Christian 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.60
205 A Texas A&M 1- 9 -8 -8 0.13
206 A Abilene Christian 4- 2 2 1 1.08
207 H Bryant 5- 1 4 3 0.66
207 A Providence 3- 1 2 3 -1.42
213 H Saint Francis 5- 4 1 3 - -2.40
213 H Loyola Marymount 3- 6 -3 -4 0.65
214 A Cal State Bakersfield 7- 2 5 2 + 3.13
214 A Hawai'i 5- 1 4 1 + 2.92
215 H Houston 8- 7 1 -1 1.97
220 A Virginia Tech 3-10 -7 -8 1.37
220 A Georgia 1- 4 -3 -9 +++ 6.03
221 A Seton Hall 8- 3 5 1 + 3.59
221 A Georgia 2-11 -9 -9 0.03
222 H Seton Hall 3- 1 2 3 -0.90
227 H Southern Utah 2- 1 1 -1 1.57
227 A Utah Valley 1-10 -9 -3 --- -6.34
228 H Utah Valley 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.82
228 A Utah 0-11 -11 -7 -- -4.34
301 A Utah Tech 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.47
301 A Utah Tech 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.47
306 A Kansas 1- 7 -6 -7 0.53
306 A Kansas 2-18 -16 -7 --- -7.47
307 A Kansas 0-14 -14 -7 --- -7.47
310 H Idaho State 2-13 -11 -1 --- -9.81
313 A Fresno State 9- 2 7 -3 +++ 9.94
314 A Fresno State 8- 4 4 -3 +++ 6.94
315 A Fresno State 2- 6 -4 -3 -1.06
317 A Idaho State 2- 1 1 -3 + 3.67
320 H Nevada 6-13 -7 -5 -1.70
321 H Nevada 7- 6 1 -5 +++ 6.30
322 H Nevada 6-10 -4 -5 1.30
327 A Georgia Tech 3- 5 -2 -6 ++ 4.18
328 A Pittsburgh 1- 1 0 -2 + 2.05
329 H Grand Canyon 0- 7 -7 -6 -1.47
402 A San Diego State 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.59
403 A San Diego State 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.41
404 A San Diego State 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.59
408 H Boise State 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.71
408 H Boise State 2-13 -11 -2 --- -8.71
411 A UNLV 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.15
412 A UNLV 8-12 -4 -3 -1.15
413 H Texas Tech 7-17 -10 -9 -0.90
414 A Weber State 5- 1 4 1 + 3.30
417 H San José State 6- 5 1 0 0.77
418 H San José State 5-10 -5 0 -- -5.23
419 H San José State 7- 6 1 0 0.77
421 A Utah Valley 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.34
424 H Colorado State 8-11 -3 -1 -1.71
424 H Colorado State 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.71
425 H Colorado State 6-15 -9 -1 --- -7.71
428 A Kansas City 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.97
430 H Ole Miss 6- 0 6 -5 +++ 11.16
501 A New Mexico 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.46
502 A New Mexico 1- 3 -2 -4 1.54
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Utah Valley 1-10 -9 -3 --- -6.34 306 A Kansas 2-18 -16 -7 --- -7.47 307 A Kansas 0-14 -14 -7 --- -7.47 310 H Idaho State 2-13 -11 -1 --- -9.81 408 H Boise State 2-13 -11 -2 --- -8.71 425 H Colorado State 6-15 -9 -1 --- -7.71 228 H Utah Valley 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.82 228 A Utah 0-11 -11 -7 -- -4.34 403 A San Diego State 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.41 418 H San José State 5-10 -5 0 -- -5.23 501 A New Mexico 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.46 213 H Saint Francis 5- 4 1 3 - -2.40 301 A Utah Tech 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.47 301 A Utah Tech 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.47 408 H Boise State 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.71 421 A Utah Valley 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Georgia 1- 4 -3 -9 +++ 6.03 313 A Fresno State 9- 2 7 -3 +++ 9.94 314 A Fresno State 8- 4 4 -3 +++ 6.94 321 H Nevada 7- 6 1 -5 +++ 6.30 428 A Kansas City 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.97 430 H Ole Miss 6- 0 6 -5 +++ 11.16 205 H Abilene Christian 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.60 327 A Georgia Tech 3- 5 -2 -6 ++ 4.18 402 A San Diego State 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.59 404 A San Diego State 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.59 214 A Cal State Bakersfield 7- 2 5 2 + 3.13 214 A Hawai'i 5- 1 4 1 + 2.92 221 A Seton Hall 8- 3 5 1 + 3.59 317 A Idaho State 2- 1 1 -3 + 3.67 328 A Pittsburgh 1- 1 0 -2 + 2.05 414 A Weber State 5- 1 4 1 + 3.30 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 8- 0 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.46 5.93
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 1- 9 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.46 -0.54
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 4- 2 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.46 7.29
3 H Bryant ( 3-12, 86.8) 5- 1 -13.09 6.28 -0.74 0.46 5.07
3 A Providence ( 0-11, 85.2) 3- 1 -14.66 4.71 0.74 0.46 5.00
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 5- 4 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.46 5.01
3 H Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 3- 6 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.46 -1.57
3 A Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 7- 2 -13.11 6.26 0.74 0.46 6.42
3 A Hawai'i ( 0- 7, 87.6) 5- 1 -12.32 7.05 0.74 0.46 7.14
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 8- 7 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.46 9.02
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 3-10 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.46 -0.49
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 1- 4 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.46 -0.34
3 A Seton Hall ( 0- 5, 87.2) 8- 3 -12.66 6.71 0.74 0.46 6.83
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 2-11 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.46 -0.34
3 H Seton Hall ( 0- 5, 87.2) 3- 1 -12.66 6.71 -0.74 0.46 5.47
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 2- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.46 8.65
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 1-10 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.46 -1.80
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 7-13 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.46 -2.14
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 0-11 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.46 -0.88
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 0- 4 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.46 -2.28
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 0- 4 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.46 -2.28
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 1- 7 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.46 -0.91
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 2-18 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.46 -0.91
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 0-14 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.46 -0.91
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 2-13 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.46 -2.13
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 9- 2 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.46 10.82
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 8- 4 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.46 10.82
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 2- 6 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.46 -1.73
3 A Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 2- 1 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.46 10.58
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 6-13 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.46 -1.19
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 7- 6 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.46 12.99
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 6-10 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.46 -1.19
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 3- 5 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.46 -0.99
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 1- 1 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.46 0.00
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 0- 7 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.46 -1.14
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 4- 3 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.46 11.42
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 1- 9 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.46 -1.58
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 5- 4 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.46 11.42
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 6-11 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.46 -1.88
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 2-13 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.46 -1.88
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 4- 7 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.46 -1.75
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 8-12 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.46 -1.75
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 7-17 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.46 -0.32
3 A Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 5- 1 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.46 7.48
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 6- 5 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.46 7.92
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 5-10 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.46 -2.46
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 7- 6 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.46 7.92
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 4-10 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.46 -1.80
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 8-11 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.46 -2.11
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 5- 7 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.46 -2.11
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 6-15 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.46 -2.11
3 A Kansas City ( 2- 8, 88.6) 7- 0 -11.27 8.10 0.74 0.46 8.10
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 6- 0 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.46 12.86
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 3-11 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.46 -1.60
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 1- 3 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.46 -1.60
------
137.47
|
winning pts = 184.1727 losing points = -46.7019
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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