Utah Valley
W-L: (28-21) PR = 91.3214Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 1- 6 206 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 9- 4 207 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 6- 7 207 H UMass Lowell AE ( 2- 4, 89.4) 10- 0 208 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 5-10 213 H Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 7- 3 213 A Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 11- 2 214 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0-15 214 A Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 10- 6 215 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 3-11 219 H Valparaiso MV ( 2- 5, 90.2) 9- 7 219 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 16- 6 220 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 8- 1 221 A Valparaiso MV ( 2- 5, 90.2) 7-10 221 A Merrimack MAAC ( 0- 3, 85.0) 9- 0 227 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 10- 1 227 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 4 228 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 13- 7 301 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0- 7 301 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0- 7 307 A Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 2- 5 307 A Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 7- 0 308 A Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 5- 3 309 A UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 6- 5 310 A Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 4- 1 317 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 9- 1 320 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 5- 2 321 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 6- 8 321 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 7- 6 323 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 2-10 324 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 5- 8 327 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 6 327 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 2- 9 328 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 3- 3 331 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 12- 1 403 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 13- 7 403 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 9- 6 404 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 7- 9 407 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 4- 3 410 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 2-11 410 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 1 411 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 8- 7 417 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 0- 4 417 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 1-15 418 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 2- 7 421 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 10- 4 428 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 4-16 501 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 10- 7 501 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 3- 5 502 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 7- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 1- 6 -5 -4 -0.77
206 A UTEP 9- 4 5 2 + 3.06
207 A New Mexico State 6- 7 -1 -1 0.34
207 H UMass Lowell 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.30
208 A UTEP 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.94
213 H Creighton 7- 3 4 1 + 2.71
213 A Drake 11- 2 9 0 +++ 9.29
214 A Arizona 0-15 -15 -6 --- -7.51
214 A Creighton 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.19
215 H South Dakota State 3-11 -8 0 --- -8.02
219 H Valparaiso 9- 7 2 2 0.10
219 H Idaho State 16- 6 10 1 +++ 9.27
220 A UNLV 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.93
221 A Valparaiso 7-10 -3 0 - -3.41
221 A Merrimack 9- 0 9 6 + 3.45
227 H Utah State 10- 1 9 3 +++ 6.34
227 A Weber State 6- 4 2 3 -0.63
228 A Utah State 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.82
301 H Utah 0- 7 -7 -3 - -3.75
301 H Utah 0- 7 -7 -3 - -3.75
307 A Pacific 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.85
307 A Pacific 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.15
308 A Pacific 5- 3 2 1 1.15
309 A UC Davis 6- 5 1 -1 1.87
310 A Sacramento State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.24
317 H Weber State 9- 1 8 4 + 3.89
320 H Utah Tech 5- 2 3 3 0.13
321 H Utah Tech 6- 8 -2 3 -- -4.87
321 H Utah Tech 7- 6 1 3 -1.87
323 H Nevada 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.62
324 H BYU 5- 8 -3 1 - -3.64
327 H Arkansas 0- 6 -6 -8 1.60
327 H Fresno State 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.47
328 H Memphis 3- 3 0 3 - -2.60
331 A Weber State 12- 1 11 3 +++ 8.37
403 H UT Arlington 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.08
403 H UT Arlington 9- 6 3 1 + 2.08
404 H UT Arlington 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.92
407 A BYU 4- 3 1 -1 1.84
410 A Abilene Christian 2-11 -9 3 --- -11.84
410 A Abilene Christian 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.16
411 A Abilene Christian 8- 7 1 3 -1.84
417 H Tarleton State 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.59
417 H Tarleton State 1-15 -14 1 --- -14.59
418 H Tarleton State 2- 7 -5 1 -- -5.59
421 H Utah State 10- 4 6 3 + 3.34
428 H LSU 4-16 -12 -5 --- -7.04
501 A Southern Utah 10- 7 3 0 + 3.13
501 A Southern Utah 3- 5 -2 0 -1.87
502 A Southern Utah 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.13
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A UTEP 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.94 214 A Arizona 0-15 -15 -6 --- -7.51 215 H South Dakota State 3-11 -8 0 --- -8.02 327 H Fresno State 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.47 410 A Abilene Christian 2-11 -9 3 --- -11.84 417 H Tarleton State 1-15 -14 1 --- -14.59 428 H LSU 4-16 -12 -5 --- -7.04 321 H Utah Tech 6- 8 -2 3 -- -4.87 323 H Nevada 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.62 417 H Tarleton State 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.59 418 H Tarleton State 2- 7 -5 1 -- -5.59 221 A Valparaiso 7-10 -3 0 - -3.41 301 H Utah 0- 7 -7 -3 - -3.75 301 H Utah 0- 7 -7 -3 - -3.75 307 A Pacific 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.85 324 H BYU 5- 8 -3 1 - -3.64 328 H Memphis 3- 3 0 3 - -2.60 404 H UT Arlington 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.92 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H UMass Lowell 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.30 213 A Drake 11- 2 9 0 +++ 9.29 219 H Idaho State 16- 6 10 1 +++ 9.27 220 A UNLV 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.93 227 H Utah State 10- 1 9 3 +++ 6.34 307 A Pacific 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.15 331 A Weber State 12- 1 11 3 +++ 8.37 410 A Abilene Christian 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.16 502 A Southern Utah 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.13 214 A Creighton 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.19 228 A Utah State 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.82 403 H UT Arlington 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.08 206 A UTEP 9- 4 5 2 + 3.06 213 H Creighton 7- 3 4 1 + 2.71 221 A Merrimack 9- 0 9 6 + 3.45 310 A Sacramento State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.24 317 H Weber State 9- 1 8 4 + 3.89 403 H UT Arlington 9- 6 3 1 + 2.08 421 H Utah State 10- 4 6 3 + 3.34 501 A Southern Utah 10- 7 3 0 + 3.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 1- 6 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.50 -1.10
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 9- 4 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.50 8.92
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 6- 7 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.50 -1.83
3 H UMass Lowell ( 2- 4, 89.4) 10- 0 -10.54 8.83 -0.74 0.50 8.16
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 5-10 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.50 -2.65
3 H Creighton ( 4-12, 90.8) 7- 3 -9.13 10.24 -0.74 0.50 9.58
3 A Drake ( 2-10, 90.9) 11- 2 -9.03 10.34 0.74 0.50 11.17
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 0-15 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.50 -0.53
3 A Creighton ( 4-12, 90.8) 10- 6 -9.13 10.24 0.74 0.50 11.08
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 3-11 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.50 -2.17
3 H Valparaiso ( 2- 5, 90.2) 9- 7 -9.73 9.64 -0.74 0.50 8.97
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 16- 6 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.50 10.14
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 8- 1 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.50 11.82
3 A Valparaiso ( 2- 5, 90.2) 7-10 -9.73 9.64 0.74 0.50 -2.27
3 A Merrimack ( 0- 3, 85.0) 9- 0 -14.87 4.50 0.74 0.50 5.28
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 10- 1 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.50 8.20
3 A Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 4 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.50 8.23
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 13- 7 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.50 9.69
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 0- 7 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.50 -1.34
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 0- 7 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.50 -1.34
3 A Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 2- 5 -10.17 9.20 0.74 0.50 -2.38
3 A Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 7- 0 -10.17 9.20 0.74 0.50 10.02
3 A Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 5- 3 -10.17 9.20 0.74 0.50 10.02
3 A UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 6- 5 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.50 11.76
3 A Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 4- 1 -9.08 10.29 0.74 0.50 11.12
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 9- 1 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.50 6.74
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 5- 2 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.50 7.99
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 6- 8 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.50 -2.89
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 7- 6 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.50 7.99
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 2-10 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.50 -1.31
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 5- 8 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.50 -2.32
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0- 6 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.50 -0.25
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 2- 9 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.50 -2.28
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 3- 3 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.50 0.00
3 A Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 12- 1 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.50 8.23
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 13- 7 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.50 9.96
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 9- 6 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.50 9.96
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 7- 9 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.50 -2.39
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 4- 3 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.50 11.73
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 2-11 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.50 -2.88
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 1 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.50 8.01
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 8- 7 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.50 8.01
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 0- 4 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.50 -2.31
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 1-15 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.50 -2.31
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 2- 7 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.50 -2.31
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 10- 4 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.50 8.20
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 4-16 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.50 -0.91
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 10- 7 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.50 11.01
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 3- 5 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.50 -2.13
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 7- 1 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.50 11.01
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223.10
|
winning pts = 262.9857 losing points = -39.8835
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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