UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Valparaiso
  
Valparaiso            
W-L: ( 2- 5) PR = 90.1653

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 219 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 7- 9 219 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 6-11 221 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 10- 7 325 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 2-10 408 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 3- 2 422 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1-14 429 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 3- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Utah Valley             7- 9      -2    -2          -0.10
   219 A UNLV                    6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.92
   221 H Utah Valley            10- 7       3     0    +      3.41
   325 A Purdue                  2-10      -8    -5    -     -2.97
   408 A Notre Dame              3- 2       1    -4    ++     4.57
   422 A Indiana                 1-14     -13    -7    ---   -6.19
   429 H Oklahoma State          3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Indiana                 1-14     -13    -7    ---   -6.19
   219 A UNLV                    6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.92
   325 A Purdue                  2-10      -8    -5    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Notre Dame              3- 2       1    -4    ++     4.57
   429 H Oklahoma State          3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.20
   221 H Utah Valley            10- 7       3     0    +      3.41

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     7- 9       -8.58      10.79       0.74         3.60           -14.11
   3 A UNLV            (29-21, 91.5)     6-11       -8.39      10.98       0.74         3.60           -13.77
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)    10- 7       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         3.60            72.37
   3 A Purdue          (36-17, 94.5)     2-10       -5.45      13.92       0.74         3.60            -8.47
   3 A Notre Dame      (24-29, 93.0)     3- 2       -6.91      12.46       0.74         3.60            95.07
   3 A Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     1-14       -3.67      15.70       0.74         3.60            -5.26
   3 H Oklahoma State  (41-17, 97.1)     3- 5       -2.79      16.58      -0.74         3.60            -6.37
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       119.45

winning pts = 167.4377 losing points = -47.9865

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------