UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Weber State
  
Weber State           
W-L: ( 2-23) PR = 87.9539

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0- 3 207 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 3- 6 208 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 3- 6 213 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 3- 6 214 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 2- 8 222 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 5- 7 226 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 14- 2 226 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 1- 9 227 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 4- 6 228 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 4- 5 301 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 1- 3 301 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 2- 3 301 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 1- 3 301 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 2- 3 306 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 4- 6 307 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 6- 5 307 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 5- 9 308 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 1- 9 317 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 1- 9 324 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0-13 331 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 1-12 407 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0-17 414 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 1- 5 421 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 3-12 428 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 11-11 505 A Northern Colorado BSKY ( 2- 8, 91.2) 3-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Grand Canyon            0- 3      -3    -8    ++     5.46
   207 A Southern Utah           3- 6      -3    -3           0.50
   208 H Southern Utah           3- 6      -3    -2          -0.99
   213 H Boise State             3- 6      -3    -4           0.74
   214 H Utah Tech               2- 8      -6     0    --    -5.50
   222 H UL Monroe               5- 7      -2    -4           1.94
   226 A Utah Tech              14- 2      12    -2    +++   13.98
   226 H Utah                    1- 9      -8    -7          -1.38
   227 H Utah Valley             4- 6      -2    -3           0.63
   228 A Utah Tech               4- 5      -1    -2           0.98
   301 A Southern Utah           1- 3      -2    -3           1.50
   301 A Southern Utah           2- 3      -1    -3    +      2.50
   301 A Southern Utah           1- 3      -2    -3           1.50
   301 A Southern Utah           2- 3      -1    -3    +      2.50
   306 A California Baptist      4- 6      -2    -6    +      4.00
   307 H California Baptist      6- 5       1    -5    ++     5.51
   307 A Boise State             5- 9      -4    -5           1.22
   308 A Boise State             1- 9      -8    -5    -     -2.78
   317 A Utah Valley             1- 9      -8    -4    -     -3.89
   324 A Utah                    0-13     -13    -8    --    -4.89
   331 H Utah Valley             1-12     -11    -3    ---   -8.37
   407 H Utah                    0-17     -17    -7    ---   -7.38
   414 H Utah State              1- 5      -4    -1    -     -3.30
   421 A BYU                     3-12      -9    -4    --    -4.79
   428 H Iowa State             11-11       0    -5    ++     5.36
   505 A Northern Colorado       3-12      -9    -4    --    -5.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Utah Valley             1-12     -11    -3    ---   -8.37
   407 H Utah                    0-17     -17    -7    ---   -7.38
   214 H Utah Tech               2- 8      -6     0    --    -5.50
   324 A Utah                    0-13     -13    -8    --    -4.89
   421 A BYU                     3-12      -9    -4    --    -4.79
   505 A Northern Colorado       3-12      -9    -4    --    -5.04
   308 A Boise State             1- 9      -8    -5    -     -2.78
   317 A Utah Valley             1- 9      -8    -4    -     -3.89
   414 H Utah State              1- 5      -4    -1    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Utah Tech              14- 2      12    -2    +++   13.98
   206 A Grand Canyon            0- 3      -3    -8    ++     5.46
   307 H California Baptist      6- 5       1    -5    ++     5.51
   428 H Iowa State             11-11       0    -5    ++     5.36
   301 A Southern Utah           2- 3      -1    -3    +      2.50
   301 A Southern Utah           2- 3      -1    -3    +      2.50
   306 A California Baptist      4- 6      -2    -6    +      4.00

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Grand Canyon    (53-12, 95.7)     0- 3       -4.23      15.14       0.74         0.97            -1.69
   3 A Southern Utah   (22-27, 90.7)     3- 6       -9.19      10.18       0.74         0.97            -4.09
   3 H Southern Utah   (22-27, 90.7)     3- 6       -9.19      10.18      -0.74         0.97            -4.81
   3 H Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     3- 6       -7.47      11.90      -0.74         0.97            -3.98
   3 H Utah Tech       (20-31, 89.2)     2- 8      -10.71       8.66      -0.74         0.97            -5.55
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     5- 7       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.97            -3.88
   3 A Utah Tech       (20-31, 89.2)    14- 2      -10.71       8.66       0.74         0.97            18.23
   3 H Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     1- 9       -4.58      14.79      -0.74         0.97            -2.58
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     4- 6       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         0.97            -4.52
   3 A Utah Tech       (20-31, 89.2)     4- 5      -10.71       8.66       0.74         0.97            -4.83
   3 A Southern Utah   (22-27, 90.7)     1- 3       -9.19      10.18       0.74         0.97            -4.09
   3 A Southern Utah   (22-27, 90.7)     2- 3       -9.19      10.18       0.74         0.97            -4.09
   3 A Southern Utah   (22-27, 90.7)     1- 3       -9.19      10.18       0.74         0.97            -4.09
   3 A Southern Utah   (22-27, 90.7)     2- 3       -9.19      10.18       0.74         0.97            -4.09
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     4- 6       -6.69      12.68       0.74         0.97            -2.88
   3 H California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     6- 5       -6.69      12.68      -0.74         0.97            23.15
   3 A Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     5- 9       -7.47      11.90       0.74         0.97            -3.26
   3 A Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     1- 9       -7.47      11.90       0.74         0.97            -3.26
   3 A Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     1- 9       -8.58      10.79       0.74         0.97            -3.80
   3 A Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     0-13       -4.58      14.79       0.74         0.97            -1.86
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     1-12       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         0.97            -4.52
   3 H Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     0-17       -4.58      14.79      -0.74         0.97            -2.58
   3 H Utah State      (22-32, 89.4)     1- 5      -10.50       8.87      -0.74         0.97            -5.45
   3 A BYU             (19-29, 91.4)     3-12       -8.48      10.89       0.74         0.97            -3.75
   3 H Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)    11-11       -5.85      13.52      -0.74         0.97             0.00
   3 A Northern Color  ( 2- 8, 91.2)     3-12       -8.73      10.64       0.74         0.97            -3.87
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -46.16

winning pts = 41.3795 losing points = -87.5427

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------