Western Michigan 
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 90.8306
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
213 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 7- 4
213 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 4- 5
214 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 4
214 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 8
215 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 12-16
220 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 2- 7
221 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4- 8
310 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 11-10
331 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 3-11
421 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Jacksonville State 7- 4 3 -5 +++ 7.68
213 A South Alabama 4- 5 -1 -2 1.29
214 A UAB 3- 4 -1 -1 0.38
214 A South Alabama 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.71
215 H Jacksonville State 12-16 -4 -3 -0.81
220 A Western Kentucky 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.50
221 A Western Kentucky 4- 8 -4 -4 -0.50
310 A Ohio State 11-10 1 -4 ++ 4.76
331 A Notre Dame 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.10
421 A Michigan State 8- 9 -1 0 -0.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A South Alabama 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.71
331 A Notre Dame 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.10
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Jacksonville State 7- 4 3 -5 +++ 7.68
310 A Ohio State 11-10 1 -4 ++ 4.76
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 7- 4 -5.13 14.24 0.74 2.52 75.51
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 4- 5 -7.52 11.85 0.74 2.52 -8.54
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 3- 4 -8.43 10.94 0.74 2.52 -9.69
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 0- 8 -7.52 11.85 0.74 2.52 -8.54
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 12-16 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 2.52 -7.40
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 2- 7 -6.31 13.06 0.74 2.52 -7.02
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 4- 8 -6.31 13.06 0.74 2.52 -7.02
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 11-10 -6.05 13.32 0.74 2.52 70.88
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 3-11 -6.91 12.46 0.74 2.52 -7.77
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 8- 9 -9.31 10.06 0.74 2.52 -10.80
------
79.60
|
winning pts = 146.3874 losing points = -66.7850
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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