UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Western Michig
  
Western Michigan      
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 90.8306

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 7- 4 213 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 4- 5 214 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 4 214 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 8 215 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 12-16 220 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 2- 7 221 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4- 8 310 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 11-10 331 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 3-11 421 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Jacksonville State      7- 4       3    -5    +++    7.68
   213 A South Alabama           4- 5      -1    -2           1.29
   214 A UAB                     3- 4      -1    -1           0.38
   214 A South Alabama           0- 8      -8    -2    --    -5.71
   215 H Jacksonville State     12-16      -4    -3          -0.81
   220 A Western Kentucky        2- 7      -5    -4          -1.50
   221 A Western Kentucky        4- 8      -4    -4          -0.50
   310 A Ohio State             11-10       1    -4    ++     4.76
   331 A Notre Dame              3-11      -8    -3    --    -5.10
   421 A Michigan State          8- 9      -1     0          -0.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A South Alabama           0- 8      -8    -2    --    -5.71
   331 A Notre Dame              3-11      -8    -3    --    -5.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Jacksonville State      7- 4       3    -5    +++    7.68
   310 A Ohio State             11-10       1    -4    ++     4.76

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     7- 4       -5.13      14.24       0.74         2.52            75.51
   3 A South Alabama   (29-27, 92.4)     4- 5       -7.52      11.85       0.74         2.52            -8.54
   3 A UAB             (21-32, 91.5)     3- 4       -8.43      10.94       0.74         2.52            -9.69
   3 A South Alabama   (29-27, 92.4)     0- 8       -7.52      11.85       0.74         2.52            -8.54
   3 H Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)    12-16       -5.13      14.24      -0.74         2.52            -7.40
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     2- 7       -6.31      13.06       0.74         2.52            -7.02
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     4- 8       -6.31      13.06       0.74         2.52            -7.02
   3 A Ohio State      (24-28, 93.8)    11-10       -6.05      13.32       0.74         2.52            70.88
   3 A Notre Dame      (24-29, 93.0)     3-11       -6.91      12.46       0.74         2.52            -7.77
   3 A Michigan State  (18-33, 90.6)     8- 9       -9.31      10.06       0.74         2.52           -10.80
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        79.60

winning pts = 146.3874 losing points = -66.7850

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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