Bucknell 
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 91.9108
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 N Manhattan MAAC ( 4-10, 85.3) 14- 8
206 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-10, 87.6) 11- 2
213 A Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 12-16
217 A Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 16- 8
221 H Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 3-10, 88.8) 12-10
228 A Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 12-11
307 A Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 12-16
314 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 14-12
321 A Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 12-13
328 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 14-13
404 H Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 8-14
411 A Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 12-13
418 H Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 15-13
424 N UMBC America Eas ( 6- 7, 90.0) 8- 9
428 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 N Manhattan 14- 8 6 7 -0.57
206 H St Bonaventure 11- 2 9 6 1.27
213 A Robert Morris 12-16 -4 -1 - -3.05
217 A Iona 16- 8 8 6 0.72
221 H Hobart 12-10 2 4 - -2.50
228 A Lehigh 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.20
307 A Navy 12-16 -4 -3 -0.55
314 H Colgate 14-12 2 0 1.71
321 A Loyola 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.78
328 H Lafayette 14-13 1 3 -1.68
404 H Army West Point 8-14 -6 -5 -1.25
411 A Boston University 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.14
418 H Holy Cross (MA) 15-13 2 3 -1.02
424 N UMBC 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.93
428 H Colgate 5- 6 -1 0 -1.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Robert Morris 12-16 -4 -1 - -3.05
221 H Hobart 12-10 2 4 - -2.50
424 N UMBC 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.93
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 A Lehigh 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.20
321 A Loyola 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.78
411 A Boston University 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.14
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 N Manhattan ( 4-10, 85.3) 14- 8 -14.56 6.04 -0.00 0.95 11.53
0 H St Bonaventure ( 4-10, 87.6) 11- 2 -12.34 8.26 -1.38 0.95 13.13
0 A Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 12-16 -8.42 12.18 1.38 0.95 -3.36
0 A Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 16- 8 -15.64 4.95 1.38 0.95 12.08
0 H Hobart ( 3-10, 88.8) 12-10 -11.11 9.49 -1.38 0.95 15.48
0 A Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 12-11 -5.16 15.43 1.38 0.95 32.08
0 A Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 12-16 -5.91 14.69 1.38 0.95 -2.16
0 H Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 14-12 -6.90 13.70 -1.38 0.95 23.51
0 A Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 12-13 -5.58 15.02 1.38 0.95 -2.01
0 H Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 14-13 -9.29 11.30 -1.38 0.95 18.95
0 H Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 8-14 -1.86 18.74 -1.38 0.95 -1.54
0 A Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 12-13 -5.22 15.38 1.38 0.95 -1.83
0 H Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 15-13 -9.63 10.97 -1.38 0.95 18.30
0 N UMBC ( 6- 7, 90.0) 8- 9 -9.92 10.68 -0.00 0.95 -4.73
0 H Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 6 -6.90 13.70 -1.38 0.95 -3.95
------
125.46
|
winning pts = 145.0515 losing points = -19.5909
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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